The Betfair Insider takes a look into Holler’s chances of saluting at Royal Ascot.
The £600,000 Diamond Jubilee Stakes is run over 1200m with the course gradually rising from the start to the winning post.
Holler Trading: High $16.50 & now into $13.00.
Holler (AUS) 3YO Colt
11 Starts: 4 wins 3 seconds 2 thirds
Prize money: $748,625
With James McDonald booked to ride for Godolphin. He went to a new level at his most recent preparation taking out the Canterbury Stakes Group 1 in a very high rating race when leading on the speed.
He proved that performance was no fluke a week later in the William Reid Group 1 at Moonee Valley when narrowly beaten by Flamburge (who strung together consecutive Group 1 wins after a winning the Oakleigh Plate a month earlier).
He has a very similar profile to the Chris Waller trained Japonisme (3rd William Reid) who along with Exosphere were the benchmark sprinters for their age. Using Chautauqua as the international benchmark for our local sprinters, Holler would rate 2 or 3 lengths inferior to that galloper. His natural ability to race in the forward group of horses makes him dangerous in any race up to 1400m.
That said, I think his best chance here would be to find some cover in running, if the surface is no worse than Good to Soft track he’s a 3yo capable of being in the finish.
Key Race Points
- 3 Australian Horses have won the race; 2012 Black Caviar, 2010 Starspangledbanner & 2003 Choisir
- 2 of the past 10 winners have been 3YOs; 2009 Art Connoisseur & 2008 Kingsgate Native
- 6 of the past 10 winners have been 4 & 5yos
- No horse has won Back-To-Back since 1959 Right Boy. Last year’s winner Undrafted is $11.
Twilight Son (UK)
Trained by Harry Candy and looks the better valued runner at $8.20 when compared to the early favourite Magical Memory at $6.00. Twilight Son was first up in the Duke Of York Stakes Group 2 beaten around 3 lengths by Magical Memory who was second up and carried 3kg less.
He won the Sprint Cup Group 1 at Haydock last season when on level weights with Magical Memory and has beaten that runner home in all three times they have met. Fergus Sweeney looks set to keep the ride on the 4yo colt and the connections would be confident they can add to his impressive race record of 5 wins from 7 starts.
Hong Kong galloper trained by Richard Gibson who was game in defeat last start in the Chairman’s Sprint Prize Group 1 at Sha Tin in early May. Beaten less than 3 lengths to Chautauqua after tracking three wide in running.
He’s come up $12 on the Exchange which looks slightly over the odds based on that performance alone. He’s won Hong Kong Group 1 races up to 1400m and his ability to sit midfield and sprint off a solid tempo should play out well for him here.
Against him is the stat that no 7yo has won the race in 11 years, the last to do so was the British born, Hong Kong superstar Cape Of Good Hope who was the inaugural winner of the Global Sprint Challenge in the same year.