Rosehill 2/1/2016: The Trial Spy

Posted: January 2, 2016 at 11:23 am

TheTrial Spy_W_RGB

Rosehill 2/1/2016

 

Track: Good 3

Rail: +6m

 

Race 1: 1100m Open 2YO Set Weights plus Penalties

 

Summary

A small field of seven runners line up with a speedy Gai Waterhouse Filly on debut holding the key to this race.

The Track

With the rail in the +6m position at Rosehill it will prove advantageous to be up on speed or taking inside runs. Wide will be a no go zone.

Major Players

AjaniThe Snowden’s 2YO Colt ran fourth on debut at this track however it was a monster run. Trapped 3 wide at Rosehill is never a good thing and he finished off strongly despite the tough run. He has good tactical speed and the wide barrier was the reason it had to get so far back last start.

SyrahThis Godolphin colt trialled back in September and was left flat footed in a strongly run trial taken out by eventual Metro winner Star Turn. He returned mid December and in a slowly run trial went to the line under a nice grip. I wont be letting that latest trial fool me, we can gain more from the first trial which was run at a strong tempo.

CudabeenShe trialled nicely before coming out and winning on debut at Kembla. A nice solid effort that day, although the form around her only proved to be average.

Scarlet RainThe short priced favourite in early markets won a 740m trial in ‘impressive style’. However, a 740m dash is a lot different to race day and I’ll be taking her on despite the advantage she will receive with todays track + rail configuration.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on BetfairBACK – WIN – AJANI at $4+ for 3 units

Scarlet Rain will lead and look very hard to beat at the 200m, however AJANI will be strongest late and I think will get her on the line.

 

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