Ratings2Win: Rosehill Saturday September 10th 2016 – Sheraco Stakes

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Feature Race Analysis

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R8 Sheraco Stakes 1200m GP3 3YO+ F&M SWP $126,000


Currently rated Soft 5, Rail is in the 2m position. There are further showers predicted in the lead up to Saturday so it’s difficult to see how this track will improve from its current rating and could easily get worse. The best will most likely be 2+ off the fence.


For Saturday’s race, the R2W Early Speed Map below predicts an Average tempo.

Early Speed Map

Map Notes: Jason Collett on Magnajoy will most likely look to lead with others like Cana (Jay Ford) will need to make an early decision and Fine Mist all contenders for the on pace positions.

Race Overview

Early fixed odds markets have five runners single figure odds, the R2W computer has three although this is an open race with plenty of queries given there are eight horses resuming from a spell and one other off a let-up. Based on current fixed odds at the time of writing there appears to be value in our top selection.

Runner Analysis

Advantaged Horses


Neutral Horses

4. Savoureux: In off a 28-day let-up into this. Raced well first up and appeals as a better chance than what the market suggests in an open race. Gets Bowman which is a massive switch and will be running on.

10. Dixie Blossoms: Raced quite well first up, lightly raced and still has natural improvement. Current odds though do not appeal.

12. Ravi: Personal best on a heavy track at the end of last prep. Resumes here off two trials and has ability. Just a slight query on whether it was flattered winning last time and can maintain that rating here first up.

Disadvantaged Horses


Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be one potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Savoureux at $5.00+ (0.8 units)

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