Ratings2Win: Rosehill, Saturday August 27th 2016 – Run To The Rose Analysis

Ratings2Win Betfair

Feature Race Analysis

Axis is Australia’s leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings. www.ratings2win.com.au

R7 Run To The Rose 1200m GP2 3YO SWP $177,000


Currently rated Heavy 8, Rail is in the true position. There are further showers predicted in the lead up to Saturday so it’s difficult to see how this track will improve from its current rating. The best going might be 3+ off the fence.


For Saturdays race, the R2W Early Speed Map below predicts an Average to Above Average tempo.

Early Speed Map

Map Notes: Hugh Bowman on El Divino or James McDonald on Astern look the two likely to sort out the lead with Tim Clark on Gadfly having to make an early decision whether to push for a forward spot. Glyn Schofield on Good Standing looks to face a wide trip which may not be a disadvantage on the Heavy track.

Race Overview

Early fixed odds markets have five runners in single figures. The R2W computer mirrors that but only one appears to be value based on current fixed odds at the time of writing. Favourite punters have enjoyed great success in this race with seven of the last 10 saluting. These early 3YO races can be tricky as we don’t really know how the 2YO horses will come back. Trials are obviously a guide but resuming with a lack of race fitness on the heavy track could prove significant. Our focus is therefore focused around the 3YOs already up and running.

Runner Analysis

Advantaged Horses

4. Star Turn: Returned winning impressively beating the talented and very fit Tango Rain. The figures recorded in that race well and truly eclipse anything produced from last season’s 2YO crop lining up here. Maps well and if he handles the going looks a worthy favourite.

Neutral Horses

9. Mediterranean: Is third up into this race which should ensure he is at or close to his peak. Probably should have won last time on the Heavy 10. Had 21 days off which is reassuring for his backers. Will be running on but is no value on current markets.

Disadvantaged Horses


Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be one potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Star Turn at $3.30+ (1.5 units)

©ratings2win Pty Ltd 2016. Printed under licence to Betfair Pty Ltd. This document is for personal use only and must not be reproduced. This information is supplied “as is” and is to be used for general guidance only. Use of this information is entirely at your own risk. Neither Betfair nor ratings2win make any representations or warranties of any kind, including but not limited to, the accuracy, quality or completeness of the information contained herein. The Early Speed Map graphical format is provided to Betfair by Racing and Sports Pty Ltd. All intellectual property of the Early Speed Maps is owned by ratings2win Pty Ltd. Please gamble responsibly. For more information, visit Betfair’s Responsibility Gambling Policy.

Related Articles