Ratings2Win: Randwick, Saturday August 20th 2016 – Silver Shadow Stakes Analysis

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Feature Race Analysis

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R5 Silver Shadow Stakes 1200m GP2 3YO F SWP $177,000


Currently rated Soft 6, Rail is in the 3m position. There are showers predicted for Saturday morning (60% chance) so it’s difficult to see how this track will improve from its current rating. The best going/position might be on pace and 4-5+ off the fence.


For Saturdays race, the R2W Early Speed Map below predicts an Average to Above Average tempo.

Early Speed Map

Map Notes: Either Adam Hyeronimus on Thyme For Roses or Tommy Berry on Zeladys Night Out will look to control the speed. Cudabeen has speed if it wants to use it but has drawn awkwardly so could face a wide trip.

Race Overview

Early fixed odds markets have four runners in single figures. The R2W computer has three. Despite there being six runners resuming and another off a 28-day break there does seem to be an opportunity here.

Runner Analysis

Advantaged Horses

5. Omei Sword: Our view is that this filly would always make a better 3YO. Has had three trials in preparation for this and despite mapping towards the rear of the field appeals as the horse to beat, can finish hard.

Neutral Horses

4. Manaya: Created an impression when winning on debut at Scone over their carnival. Resumes here off a 98-day break and has had 2 trials in preparation for this. Will be running on.

1. Calliope: Resumes here off a 154-day break. Only had the one 850m trial leading into this. Does have a victory over Omei Sword last preparation. Current markets have her shorter than our assessed price.

Disadvantaged Horses


Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be two potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Omei Sword at $2.40+ (2 units)

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