Feature Race Analysis
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R4 Up And Coming Stakes 1300m GP3 3YO HCP $126,000
Currently rated Soft 6, Rail is in the 3m position. There are showers predicted for Saturday morning (60% chance) so it’s difficult to see how this track will improve from its current rating. The best going/position might be on pace and 4-5+ off the fence.
For Saturdays race, the R2W Early Speed Map below predicts a Below Average to Moderate tempo.
Early Speed Map
Map Notes: Either Brenton Avdulla on Pound Sterling or James McDonald on Thronum will look to control the speed.
Early fixed odds markets have six of the 9 runners in single figures. The R2W computer concurs, selecting the winner here is no easy task. Three of the six main winning chances are resuming from a spell which makes it even more difficult to assess. Remember you can beat a race but you can’t beat the races! Currently there does not look to be much of a wagering opportunity in this race but that could change. If playing work around trying to obtain good value about the Neutral Horses detailed below.
2. Thronum: Racing well on heavy tracks. Lining up here for his fifth run in his first preparation which is really the only query.
3. Divine Prophet: Went out quite well and is resuming here off a 126-day break. Has trialled twice in preparation for this but this is probably not the target race.
4. Derryn: Up from Victoria and coming off what was a fairly impressive performance last time. Is stepping up in distance from 1100m to 1300m and going clockwise the first time are the queries, but can finish off.
1. Prized Icon: Went out very well and resumes here off a 126-day break. Has also trialled twice in preparation for this. Chance at odds.
On current prices there looks to be NO potential value bets in the race.
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