Ratings2Win: Randwick, Saturday August 20th 2016 – Up And Coming Stakes Analysis

Posted: August 18, 2016 at 11:10 am

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Feature Race Analysis

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R4 Up And Coming Stakes 1300m GP3 3YO HCP $126,000

Track

Currently rated Soft 6, Rail is in the 3m position. There are showers predicted for Saturday morning (60% chance) so it’s difficult to see how this track will improve from its current rating. The best going/position might be on pace and 4-5+ off the fence.

Tempo

For Saturdays race, the R2W Early Speed Map below predicts a Below Average to Moderate tempo.

Early Speed Map

Map Notes: Either Brenton Avdulla on Pound Sterling or James McDonald on Thronum will look to control the speed.

Race Overview

Early fixed odds markets have six of the 9 runners in single figures. The R2W computer concurs, selecting the winner here is no easy task. Three of the six main winning chances are resuming from a spell which makes it even more difficult to assess. Remember you can beat a race but you can’t beat the races! Currently there does not look to be much of a wagering opportunity in this race but that could change. If playing work around trying to obtain good value about the Neutral Horses detailed below.

Runner Analysis

up and Coming Stakes Runner Analysis

Advantaged Horses

NIL

Neutral Horses

2. Thronum: Racing well on heavy tracks. Lining up here for his fifth run in his first preparation which is really the only query.

3. Divine Prophet: Went out quite well and is resuming here off a 126-day break. Has trialled twice in preparation for this but this is probably not the target race.

4. Derryn: Up from Victoria and coming off what was a fairly impressive performance last time. Is stepping up in distance from 1100m to 1300m and going clockwise the first time are the queries, but can finish off.

1. Prized Icon: Went out very well and resumes here off a 126-day break. Has also trialled twice in preparation for this. Chance at odds.

Disadvantaged Horses

NIL

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be NO potential value bets in the race.

 

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