Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Gold Coast Race 3, Wednesday 19th October 2016

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Midweek Metro Preview

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R3 Gold Coast 2200m MDN HCP $20,000

Track

Good 4, Rail is at 2m.

Tempo 

The R2W Early Speed Map below predicts a Below Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning fixed odds markets have five runners at single figure odds whereas the R2W computer has only two. This race appeals as a good opportunity to support our top rated selection and save on our second pick.

Advantaged Horses

4. Fashion Saga: Has now had two runs back this preparation and his figures from both his last two starts rank very competitively in this field. Michael Cahill replaces Terry Treichel which is a plus and the step up to 2200m will not be a problem. Can map just forward of midfield and can be too strong for these late. Current fixed odds of $2.90+ appeal.

Neutral Horses

7. Fairy Dancer: Has had 11 runs now in her first preparation which is a concern but her last run suggests that the step up in distance to 2200m will not be a problem. A clear second pick to Fashion Saga and looks to have the balance of this fields measure.

Disadvantaged Horses

6. Elusive Element: Had 11 runs this preparation and his ratings and map position suggest that he should be much longer than his current price of $9.00. One to avoid.

3. Teos Belle: Ran a fair race last time but her figures do not suggest that she can be considered a genuine winning chance. Maps back in the field and the current fixed odds of $9.00 again should be much longer. Another market chance to avoid.

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be one potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Fashion Saga at $2.50+ (1.6 units)

Back on Betfair BACK – SAVE (WIN) Fairy Dancer at $5.50+ (0.4 units)

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