Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Flemington Race 9, Thursday 3rd November 2016

Ratings2Win Betfair

Midweek Metro Preview

Axis is Australia’s leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings. www.ratings2win.com.au

R9 Flemington 1100m GP3 3YO F SWP $202,000

Track

Good 4, Rail is at 3m.

Tempo 

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts an Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning fixed odds markets have two runners at single figure odds whereas the R2W computer has three. This race appeals as a good opportunity to work around the favourite and support our second and third rated selections.

Advantaged Horses

5. Kentucky Miss: In good form, having won her last two, the latest in good figures. Has already proven herself up the straight here when Damien Oliver won on her.

11. Faiths Encore: Appeals as the main value in the race. Her effort last start behind Kentucky Miss was full of merit. She raced in what is arguably the inferior ground that day and with the winkers on here today has scope for improvement. The current fixed odds of $18+ are very attractive.

Neutral Horses

4. Spright: Won both runs back this preparation in decent time however the negatives associated with her profile weigh heavily against her chances of success today. Her trainer is only average and does not have a good record travelling horses. The filly’s is travelling first time and has a nervy temperament. Whist we still have her top selection, her current fixed odds do not adequately reflect these concerns so we are happy to work around her at the value.

19. Miss Wonderland: Only had the 1 run in which she won in fast time by a big 6L margin at the Packenham Synthetic track back in June. She is trained by the very astute Ciaron Maher and Luke Nolen has been booked to ride who has an excellent record for the stable. Watch for any betting support, currently $11 in fixed odds markets.

13. Rosa Carolina: Goes in as the last of the main winning chances. Appears here for the first time up the straight but her figures suggest she is in this with a chance slightly better than her current fixed odds of $15.

Disadvantaged Horses

NIL

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be two potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Faiths Encore at $8+ (0.8 units)

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Kentucky Miss at $6+ (0.8 units)

Back on Betfair BACK – SAVE (WIN) Miss Wonderland at $11+ (0.15 units) – only if there is betting support

©ratings2win Pty Ltd 2016. Printed under licence to Betfair Pty Ltd. This document is for personal use only and must not be reproduced. This information is supplied “as is” and is to be used for general guidance only. Use of this information is entirely at your own risk. Neither Betfair nor ratings2win make any representations or warranties of any kind, including but not limited to, the accuracy, quality or completeness of the information contained herein. The Early Speed Map graphical format is provided to Betfair by Racing and Sports Pty Ltd. All intellectual property of the Early Speed Maps is owned by ratings2win Pty Ltd. Please gamble responsibly. For more information, visit Betfair’s Responsibility Gambling Policy.

Related Articles