Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Eagle Farm Race 3, July 27 2016

Ratings2Win Betfair

Midweek Metro Preview

Axis is Australia’s leading horse racing software and database; with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings. www.ratings2win.com.au

R3 Eagle Farm 1200m CL4 E&G HCP $20,000

Track

Soft 5, Rail is at 9m

Tempo 

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts an Average to Above Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning markets suggest that there isn’t a lot between four main winning chances. This race appeals as an opportunity to oppose the early favourite and support two other runners.

Advantaged Horses

1. Rough Eddie: Worked quite hard on pace last time for a decent win when racing outside the leader. Should be able to lead today from the gate and providing the early favourite Fortini doesn’t pressure the horse too much early then a repeat of that latest performance makes this gelding the one to beat.

Neutral Horses

6. Try ’N’ Catch Me: Can be forgiven its latest performance on the heavy track at Caloundra. Its previous start at Toowoomba when racing wide/no cover and in blinkers again suggest that this gelding may go around well over its assessed price.

Disadvantaged Horses

2. Fortini: Has had a break of 35 days since its latest effort. Is a horse that keeps trying in its races but I don’t like the jockey switch from Jim Byrne to Sairyn Fawke which could make all the difference here. Is well under the odds here based on current fixed prices of $3.20.

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be two potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Rough Eddie at $2.50+ for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Try ‘N’ Catch Me at $9+ for 0.5 units

©ratings2win Pty Ltd 2016. Printed under licence to Betfair Pty Ltd. This document is for personal use only and must not be reproduced. This information is supplied “as is” and is to be used for general guidance only. Use of this information is entirely at your own risk. Neither Betfair nor ratings2win make any representations or warranties of any kind, including but not limited to, the accuracy, quality or completeness of the information contained herein. The Early Speed Map graphical format is provided to Betfair by Racing and Sports Pty Ltd. All intellectual property of the Early Speed Maps is owned by ratings2win Pty Ltd. Please gamble responsibly. For more information, visit Betfair’s Responsibility Gambling Policy.

Related Articles