Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Eagle Farm Race 3, July 27 2016

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Midweek Metro Preview

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R3 Eagle Farm 1200m CL4 E&G HCP $20,000


Soft 5, Rail is at 9m


The R2W Early Speed Map predicts an Average to Above Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning markets suggest that there isn’t a lot between four main winning chances. This race appeals as an opportunity to oppose the early favourite and support two other runners.

Advantaged Horses

1. Rough Eddie: Worked quite hard on pace last time for a decent win when racing outside the leader. Should be able to lead today from the gate and providing the early favourite Fortini doesn’t pressure the horse too much early then a repeat of that latest performance makes this gelding the one to beat.

Neutral Horses

6. Try ’N’ Catch Me: Can be forgiven its latest performance on the heavy track at Caloundra. Its previous start at Toowoomba when racing wide/no cover and in blinkers again suggest that this gelding may go around well over its assessed price.

Disadvantaged Horses

2. Fortini: Has had a break of 35 days since its latest effort. Is a horse that keeps trying in its races but I don’t like the jockey switch from Jim Byrne to Sairyn Fawke which could make all the difference here. Is well under the odds here based on current fixed prices of $3.20.

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be two potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Rough Eddie at $2.50+ for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Try ‘N’ Catch Me at $9+ for 0.5 units

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