Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Doomben Race 6, Wednesday 17th August 2016

Posted: August 17, 2016

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Midweek Metro Preview

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R6 Doomben 1110m CL3 F&M HCP $20,000

Track

Good 4, Rail is at 9.5m

Tempo 

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts an Average to Above Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning fixed odds markets suggest that this race will be won 53 times in 100 by one of top two in the betting. Our assessment suggest that it is closer to 60 times so this race appeals as a good opportunity to support our preferred elect and save on the other.

Advantaged Horses

2. Shamfrancisco: Only the one run in Sydney last prep when it bled. Now in Queensland with her trainer David Vandyke she has trialled well leading into this showing good speed. Should race close to the lead and with the rail in the 9.5m position gets all favours and profiles as a strong chance.

Neutral Horses

3. Lanikai: Ex-John Sargent mare now with Tony Gollan and making her Queensland debut. Profiles as the second pick but has drawn awkwardly.

Disadvantaged Horses

NIL

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be two potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Shamfrancisco at $2.35+ (1.7 units)

Back on Betfair BACK – SAVE (WIN) Lanikai at $6+ (0.3 units)

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