Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Doomben Race 6, Wednesday 12th October 2016

Posted: October 12, 2016 at 11:39 am

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Midweek Metro Preview

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R6 Doomben 1350m CL3 SW $20,000

Track

Good 4, Rail is at 5m.

Tempo 

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts a Below Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning fixed odds markets have five runners at single figure odds whereas the R2W computer has three. This race appeals as a good opportunity to support our top two rated selections.

Advantaged Horses

1. Deitch: Has now had three runs back this preparation and his figures from both his last two starts rank as the best in this field. Maps right on pace and in a race devoid of early speed with three of the other market hopes giving him a decent start appeals as one of two value chances.

Neutral Horses

6. Delightful Feeling: Comes out of a decent Saturday form race. 4th up today and up in distance looks ideal. Would prefer it over Deitch if I knew that there was more early speed. If he is within 2-3 lengths of that horse at the turn, then it looms as a big danger.

Disadvantaged Horses

7. Kim Nior: Resuming off a 109-day spell and will most likely settle back which does nothing to enhance its chances. One to avoid especially at the current odds.

8. Lady Macan: Had one run for the new stable and is fitter for that but is another whose likely map positon will suggests its one to avoid.

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be two potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Deitch at $3.80+ (1 unit)

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Delightful Feeling at $2.80+ (1.4 units)

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