Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Doomben Race 4, Wednesday 7th September 2016

Posted: September 7, 2016

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Midweek Metro Preview

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R4 Doomben 1050m CL2 HCP $20,000

Track

Good 4, Rail is at 2m

Tempo 

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts an Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning fixed odds markets have 4 runners at single figure odds and suggest that this race will be won by one of them 95 times in 100. The R2W computer prices the same four runners and assigns a probability that one of them will win only 73 times in 100. Therefore, this race appeals as a good opportunity to oppose one of the fancied runners.

Advantaged Horses

NIL

Neutral Horses

6. Lanikai: Is second up today and has the blinkers removed. Knocked up after racing on the pace first up, gets Jim Byrne who has a good record with the stable. Chance at odds.

11. Magic Love: Was a solid win at its second start at the Sunshine Coast but didn’t beat much that day. Does have the map advantage and will have a start on the other favourite Majella Magic.

10. Liesl Lass: Racing OK but the 1050 is as long as it likes it.

Disadvantaged Horses

7. Majella Magic: Looked impressive winning at Ipswich last time but did get the breaks in running. Is likely to be ridden quiet again so will be giving Magic Lass and others a start. I doubt whether she will be strong enough the last bit of this race to reel in the other hopes and at current fixed odds presents as a risk.

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be one potential value bets in the race.

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Majella Magic up to $3.50 (lay liability exposure up to 4% of betting bank)

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