Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Doomben Race 3, Wednesday July 13 2016

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Midweek Metro Analysis

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R3 Doomben, 1350m MDN F&M HCP $20,000

Track

Soft 5, Rail is at 6.5m

Tempo

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts a Fast tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning markets suggest five main winning chances. This race appeals as an opportunity to make a book against two of the favoured runners.

Advantages Horses

2. Dame Van Winkle: Second up today and the blinkers go back on which is a plus. Jim Byrne stays on and can map just off the good early speed. Looks the best chance in this race.

1. Hooriya: Ex–Mick Price horse who has performed well in Victoria having its first start for the Zielke stable. Likely to get back here but can be very dangerous late if ready.

Neutral Horses

6. Chelsea Star: Stablemate of Dame Van Winkle. Will race on speed and is third up today, chance.

Disadvantaged Horses

3. Georgette: Has had six runs this prep already, will be on speed, meets Dame Van Winkle 2kg worse today and will be hard pressed to turn the tables on that horse.

9. Bella Uno: Had stable change and appears here from its last start at Gosford which was 41 days ago. Back in distance, winkers first time can be seen as positives but her jockey is likely to struggle to produce the right ride here.

 

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be three potential value bets in the race.

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Dame Van Winkle at $2.45+ for 2.3 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Hooriya at $4.20+ at 1.2 units

Back on Betfair BACK – SAVER (WIN) Chelsea Star at $8+ at 0.5 units

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