Ratings2Win Midweek Metro Preview: Doomben Race 2, Wednesday 3rd August 2016

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Midweek Metro Preview

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R2 Doomben 1050m MDN E&G HCP $20,000

Track

Soft 7, Rail is at 5.5m

Tempo & Speed Map

The R2W Early Speed Map predicts an Average to Above Average tempo.

Race Overview

The early morning markets suggest that this race will be won by one of three runners, one of which is unraced. This race appeals as a good opportunity to oppose one of the fancied runners.

Advantaged Horses

NIL

Neutral Horses

5. Ignite The Light: Showed speed in an 850 trial back in January when beaten 0.8L behind Itz Alrite who has gone onto win and place in Metropolitan Saturday 2YO OPN grade. Ignite The Light was plated that day whereas Itz Alrite was shod which suggests that the beaten margin in that trial should have been greater. In any case we must respect the market.

10. Rahdane: It’s debut performance last preparation warrants this gelding from the Chris Munce stable being given a great chance if ready. Has had two trials in preparation for this, the latest when it led and won given a fairly easy time, importantly was shod on this occasion. Look for late market support if considering backing this runner.

Disadvantaged Horses

1. Zou Der Zee: Has been racing OK of late but is now having its sixth run this preparation. Back in distance today and given its rating profile this horse presents as a very good risk.

Betting Strategy

On current prices there looks to be one potential value bet in the race.

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Zou Der Zee up to $5.50 (lay liability exposure up to 5% of betting bank)

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