Randwick, Saturday January 23, 2016: The Betfair Insider Trial Analysis

Posted: January 22, 2016

Betfair Insider

Randwick, Saturday January 23, 2016

 

Current track condition: Soft 7

Expected track condition: Soft – Heavy

Rail: +4m

 

Race 2: 1000 2YO Plate. Set Weights plus Penalties

Summary

An intriguing 2YO race on the card at Randwick on Saturday with seven debut runners to work through.

The Track

A wet and testing Randwick track is expected on Saturday with more showers due to fall over the next 24 hours.

Speed Map

Randwick 2201

The Favourite 

Scarlet RainI said she was a speedy filly that would be vulnerable late and she was there to be beaten at Rosehill but had enough in the tank to hold out the fast finishing Cudabeen on debut. A wet Randwick surface will test her this weekend, however the drop back 100m is ideal for her. I want to be against her again.

Ones To Watch

Twist TopsShe was an impressive trailer at the opening Randwick 2YO trials. She ran out of her skin on debut after being trapped wide and them was a forgive run in Melbourne. That was a lot of racing for the speedy filly and for those that have seen her from day one, she had a lot of growing to do. She has come back with one impressive trial at the provincials and should she have strengthened up a touch (which she has looked to have done) then she will be mighty hard to hold off.

Prized IconHe was impressive at his debut run at Randwick when a fast finishing third to Capitalist. He’s had two trials back in this time which gives him a nice little advantage on a number of the first-up runners who have only had the one trial this time in. He a big striding colt who will naturally want longer but the wet Randwick track will bring him right into this late.   

Snow SurrenderShe was not match for Twist Tops at the early Randwick 2YO’s and was sent straight out for a spell. This time back she has put in two perfect trials and looks to have come back a stronger filly. The Joe Pride stable is flying and is drawn perfectly. She is a good chance at EW odds.

BrittanyThe Godolphin owned Brittany has just had the one career trial and it was a nice professional effort working home into a distance fourth. I can’t be with her due to a lack of experience and is one to keep a firm eye on moving forward.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK -WIN – Twist Tops at $7 + for 2.5 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Snow Surrender at $8 + for 2.5 unit

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Prized Icon to ‘chop out’ (save) should we get $4.50 + 1.5

 

We’re taking on Scarlet Rain again.