Premier League: Liverpool v Everton – Football Form Labs

Posted: April 19, 2016

Daniel Sturridge

Liverpool v Everton 

Thursday April 21, 5:00 am

Match Odds

 

Jurgen Klopp will be hoping to extend Liverpool’s run of 10 unbeaten league matches against Everton when he takes charge of his first Merseyside derby in midweek. In truth both sides should have eyes on upcoming semi-finals more than this match but there’s no such game as a meaningless clash between these two.

Liverpool

Liverpool backed up their incredible 4-3 win over Dortmund last week with a regulation 2-1 victory over Bournemouth. Both sides have netted in their last five league matches and six of their last seven have had Over 2.5 Goals. Under Klopp, the Reds have lost just 2/11 at Anfield but they’ve struggled for wins as they’ve drawn five times. Interestingly, they’ve been level in nine of the games at the break.

Everton

Everton have had a shocking season. If it weren’t for their upcoming FA Cup semi-final clash with Man Utd on Saturday, coach Roberto Martinez would be under a lot of pressure. The likeable Spaniard has arguably underachieved more than any other manager in the league this term.

With the talent at his disposal in a weak edition of the Premier League, the Toffees should have been challenging for the Champions League spots not tied on points with new boys Watford and Bournemouth in mid-table mediocrity. It’s the visitors home form that has really disappointed though as they’ve picked up seven fewer points at Goodison than on the road.

They are winless in six in the league and were fortunate to get a point hosting the Saints at the weekend. In a similar fashion to their local rivals, Everton have been level at the break in six of their last eight road games as they’ve recorded four D/D doubles.

Verdict

Liverpool look a little short at 1.72 given Everton should welcome back James McCarthy, Ross Barkley and Romelu Lukaku here though the hosts themselves should have Philippe Coutinho back in the Starting XI.

The Brazilian and Daniel Sturridge have started just 12 games together since the start of last season and Liverpool’s record in those matches is an impressive W6-D3-L3.

Six of the last seven Merseyside Premier League derbies have ended level and five of the stalemates were tied at half-time as well.

The draw at 4.10 and the half-time draw 2.30 are tempting but given the strength of the stats it’s worth going for the longer Draw/Draw HT/FT double at 7.0 in a clash that could be feisty and tight.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – Draw / Draw HT/FT 7.00