NRL Finals Week 3 Predictions: Data Scientists’ Predictive Model

Posted: September 21, 2016

Utilising a vast array of variables and proven statistical methods, the NRL Prediction Model takes a purely statistical approach to predicting NRL outcomes.

Predicted NRL probabilities can be used to identify value Back & Lay bets. Factors such as injuries and weather aren’t considered in the assessments but can be manually considered in your wagering to give you an added edge.

Data Scientists Comments

It will be a Melbourne Storm v North Queensland Cowboys NRL Grand Final to round out the 2016 season if our predictive model is correct. The model is almost identical with the early markets in both preliminary finals.

Is there a hidden value to be found by siding with the Sharks? They have the benefit from the week-off, compared to the Cowboys who are coming off two bruising matches in a row, as well as enduring Extra Time last weekend.

All times below are EST.

Cronulla v North Queensland

Friday September 23, 7:55pm – Allianz Stadium
Predicted Margin: Cowboys by 2 points

Melbourne v Canberra

Saturday September 24, 7:40pm – AAMI Park
Predicted Margin: Storm by 8

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