Utilising a vast array of variables and proven statistical methods, the NRL Prediction Model takes a purely statistical approach to predicting NRL outcomes.
Predicted NRL probabilities can be used to identify value Back & Lay bets. Factors such as injuries and weather aren’t considered in the assessments but can be manually considered in your wagering to give you an added edge.
Data Scientists Comments
The model rates Minor Premiers Melbourne as a strong favourite for the NRL Grand Final, giving them a 58% ($1.71) chance of lifting the trophy on Sunday evening. Taking them at the minus -1.5 points at close to even money also offers up some value.
All times below are EST.
Melbourne Storm v Cronulla Sharks
Sunday October 2, 7:15pm – ANZ Stadium
Predicted Margin: Storm by 4 points