Atlanta 53.5 @ New Orleans -3
Tuesday September 27, 10:30am AEST
Atlanta picked up a big win last week at Oakland following their home loss in week one. They defeated Oakland 35-28 and were in control for most of the game. They out passed Oakland 11.1yps to 6.5yps. They did get out rushed 6.2ypr to 4.8ypr but still managed to run the ball for 139 yards. They did allow 155 yards rushing. Overall, they out gained the Raiders 8.3yppl to 6.4yppl.
The Saints lost on a last second field goal in NY to the Giants, 16-13. But, they were dominated at the line of scrimmage and if not for three fumbles by the Giants the score could have been worse. NO held the Giants to 2.0ypr but allowed 8.2yps and were out gained 5.6yppl to 4.9yppl.
Atlanta comes in pretty average on offence, gaining 7.0yppl against 7.1yppl and allowing 7.3yps against 6.5yps.
The Saints are also pretty average on offence, gaining 6.4yppl against 6.3yppl. On defence, NO allows just 4.0ypr against 4.7ypr but gives it right back in the air, allowing 8.3yps against 7.5yps. Overall, they allow 6.5yppl against 6.3yppl.
Atlanta qualifies in a couple of early season situations, which are 74-25-6 and 68-29-5. They also qualify in a momentum situation, which is 89-45-4 and 45-16 in weeks 3-5.
For Atlanta Julio Jones who hasn’t really practiced much, if at all this week, but says he will play. They are likely without LB DeVondre Campbell but may get back S Keanu Neal to make his first ever start in the NFL.
For New Orleans, they could very well be without their LT Terron Armstead, WR Willie Snead, LB Dannell Ellerbe and S Kenny Vaccaro. They lost CB Delvin Breaux earlier and now PJ Williams is out as well. They are hurting in the secondary. This will be a challenge. The Atlanta secondary is healthy but not that talented but Marcus Trufant is a very good corner so at least Atlanta has one corner that can provide help on defence between the two teams.
New Orleans has lost 10 of their last 14 games at home. This game marks the 10th anniversary of the return to the dome on a Monday night when the Saints upset Atlanta after Hurricane Katrina so emotions should be at a high early on.
Atlanta has not fared real well in New Orleans and this isn’t a great Falcons team, especially their defence. But, this also isn’t a great Saints team either and they are really banged up. The situations are too good to ignore and I always am looking to take a dog against a bad defensive team.
Atlanta by 7