Menangle, Saturday 13th February: The Harness Pro

Posted: February 11, 2016

Harness Pro

Distances:  Cordina Chicken Farms Sprint: 1609m (MS), Coca-Cola Amital Sprint: 1609m (MS), Chariots of Fire: 1609m (MS)

Track Record: 1609m (MS) Adore Me (Mar 2015)

There is NO sprint lane.

 

Group 1 Cordina Farms Sprint – 1609m Mobile Start

Past Winners

2014 – Suave Stuey Lombo: 1:52.0

2013 – Smoken Up: 1:49.4

2013 – Gaius Caesar: 1:51.7

2011 – Mr Feelgood: 1:51.1

Speed Map

Speed machine Mach Beauty should be able to spear across early and take up the running. Bettor Get Black also possesses brilliant gate speed and should be the first to the breeze. My General Lee gets a start as the emergency from the pole, is inexperienced at this level but should be able to hold the leader’s back. Bling It On is likely to come straight to the death seat when they settle and the swooper’s in the straight look to be Monifieth and brilliant Western Australian sit-sprinter My Hard Copy.

Major Players

1.My General Lee: Is inexperienced at this level and is better than what he showed fresh. He should have the necessary gate speed to be on the back of the leader and can run a place.

4. Bling It On: Star of the all-powerful Belinda McCarthy stable that has stepped up to open company well this season. Driver Luke McCarthy should come to the breeze and be able to control the race from that spot. They will be running time here so if he does have to sit in the chair it will be a colossus run to win.

6. Mach Beauty: Genuine speedster suited at the mile. Chased home champion Beautide last time, wasn’t at his best at the recent Interdominion series but back here to the big track and being able to dictate in front. Looks one of the chances.

8. My Hard Copy: Brilliant WA sit-sprinter, winner of the WA Pacing Cup this year that ran a bolter in the Hunter Cup last week. He will get back from the draw but if he gets the right cart into the race, will be finishing super strong. Likely to get the right tempo with the speedsters in this race.

10. Monifieth: Suited by the likely early pace we will see here, he will sit back and get home hard. The only question mark will be if he is the one leading the three wide train or not. If he is the trailer look for him flashing late.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – My Hard Copy (8) > $5 for 2 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Monifieth (10) >$21 for 0.5 units

Laying on Betfair LAY – PLACE – Bling It On (4) <$2 for 3 units

 

 

Group 1 Coca-Cola Amital Sprint – 1609m Mobile Start

Past Winners

2015 – Beautide: 1:50.4

2014 – Restrepo: 1:54.5

2013 – Mach Alert: 1:50.9

2012 – Franco Jamar: 1:52.5

Speed Map

The key here looks to be with the Tritton runners again. Suave Stuey Lombo can fly the gate and with last start winner Easy On The Eye drawing the pole, he may cruise across. Major Crocker will also have a crack for the lead early from out wide. Whichever leads will be most beneficial to hand up to champion winner of the last edition of this race Beautide, with two places assured in the big one on a fortnight. Beautide will stroll forward and even if the lead isn’t there will get the death seat without too much issue. Our Sky Major looks the second best horse in the field but looks challenged with the draw and will have to work hard from the back.

Major Players

4. Beautide: The race really looks at his mercy and looks to have come back super. Won’t have to work early, should stroll around to the breeze/front and be able to control the race. Impossible to see something attacking him and although short, should be too good.

6. Suave Stuey Lombo: Has great gate speed when they want to use it and look for what the tactic changes will be if any. Should be able to get across with the stablemate drawn the pole, best chances if handing up to Beautide and if so, should be able to run a place, preferably the top two to gain automatic entry to the Miracle Mile.

7. Major Crocker: Has great gate speed and may be able to apply some pressure. He showed in Perth that he can do it tough and at the huge odds should run a race. If Beautide rolls to the front he should get it easy, but if Beautide sits in the breeze he should be on his back. Either way looks a good place bet.

9. Our Sky Major: Brilliant Kiwi from the all-powerful Purdon stable. May not have been at his best this season, always tough for the five year olds to step into the open class. Was vulnerable first up in Australia last week, will have to work here from the back with it more than likely that the short price favourite will be many lengths ahead of him turning for home.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – PLACE – Major Crocker (7) >$4 for 2 units

Laying on Betfair LAY – WIN – Our Sky Major (9) <$12 for 1 unit

Laying on Betfair LAY – PLACE – Our Sky Major (9) <$2 for 3 units

 

 

Group 1 Chariots of Fire – 1609m Mobile Start

Past Winners

2015 – Our Sky Major; 1:51.5

2014 – Guaranteed: 1:50.4

2013 – Christen Me: 1:50.5

2012 – Caribbean Blaster: 1:52.6

2011- Lanercost: 1:52.5

Speed Map

Looks a great betting race. The Shane Tritton pacer Arms Of An Angel has blistering gate speed and should be able to get across Ameretto, which should be first across to the pegs. Tact Tate has brilliant gate speed as well, probably best served to roll forward and wait for the brilliant Kiwi Have Faith In Me to come and give him cover. Cruz Bromac has good speed but I doubt that outstanding reinsman Luke McCarthy will want to get in a war early with all the speed drawn around. Lord Zin Zan should get a quiet run three back the pegs, great place hope from there.

Major Players

1. Lord Zin Zan: Was good enough last week in the Paleface Adios to show that with improvement and a more economical run, can run a place from a three pegs position. Will get out to a good price the place.

3. Ameretto: Should be able to cross the pole early and then likely end up behind the leader. She had every chance in a lead-up race last week, she is better than what she put out there.

4. Cruz Bromac: Beaten in the Paleface Adios last week by this week’s favourite, looked to have every chance in front then. Will have decisions to make early, but hard to see him racing better than last week in a hotter field and without the front there for him.

9. Arms Of An Angel: Has brilliant gate speed and should be able to zoom across and lead. It’s doubtful that the inside horses will want to get in a speed battle with her, she has shown she can run time, but with the pressure coming from outside, will have to be a mighty performance to do it at both ends.

10. Tact Tate: Last start Group One winner at Melton to gain entry into this. He has come along leaps and bounds lately, has put together six straight victories. Has gate speed and Amanda Turnbull should use it early and then hand up the breeze to the brilliant Kiwi drawn outside. Can do it at both ends as he showed last week. Live chance.

11. Have Faith In Me: Demolished some of these in the Paleface Adios last week, albeit in “slowish” time. We know that the Purdon stable knows how to have them firing for the “Grand Final”. My speed map has him working to the breeze and simply being too good. Danger will be on his back in the run. Superstar of the future.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Have Faith In Me (11) >$1.70 for 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Tact Tate (10) >$10 for 0.5 unit

Back on Betfair BACK – PLACE – Lord Zin Zan (1) >$3.5 for 1 unit