Menangle, Miracle Mile Day February 28th 2016, The Harness Pro

Posted: February 26, 2016

 

Sprint Lane – No

Track Circumference – 1400m

Length of Home Straight – 350m

 

Race 3 – Form 700 NSW Oaks (Group 1) – 2400m Mobile Start

Track Record

Global View 1.53.4 (1st March 2015)

Past Winners

2015 – Fight For Glory

2014 – Shes A Runa

2013 – Itz Nosurprisesthere

2012 – Marquess De Posh

2011 – Courageous Annie

Speed Map

Dodolicious led in its heat and won well so expect it to go forward early. Soho Madeliene will then get a lovely trail behind the leader. The favourite Our Dream About Me won’t want to end up 3 pegs so Nat Rasmussen will be looking to get off the pegs as soon as possible. Can’t see too many mid race moves as the fillies won’t want to do too much work over the gruelling 2400m.

Major Players

1. Soho Madeline: Michael Stanley will get a nice cushy run here behind the leader and can fight it out for exotics. Was the leader when beaten 30m behind Our Dream About Me last week.

3. Dodolicious: Extremely good WA filly who has won 10/15, including its last five in a row. Won its heat after ambling to the lead and never in doubt winning by 10m. Is working through its grades beautifully and with master driver Luke McCarthy on board will be given every possible chance to run a place.

7. Rocknroll Magic: Trained by champion Victorian Emma Stewart, whose horses go like jets when they come North to Menangle. Won 10/16 and had to do work last week when second to Our Dream About Me. Prior to that was beaten as a $1.20 favourite on Hunter Cup night. If driver Mark Pitt can get some cover she is definitely a place chance.

5. Art Mistress: Flew home in its heat behind Dodolicious for second beaten 10m. A very rough place chance.

11. Our Dream About Me: Champion Kiwi mare who has won 11/11 and going for the dozen here. The only possible hurdle is the horror inside second row draw but even that shouldn’t stop her. Her last 800m last week was home in 53.5, a time unheard of for a 3yo filly. She looked down and out but in the end won comfortably by 1.5m with 25m to 3rd. She has won literally everything she has stepped out in including The G3 Raith Memorial, Breeders Crown Heat and Oaks heat at Menangle and also the Group 1 Breeders Crown Final, Jewels and Sires Stakes Fillies Championship. Potential to be the best filly ever.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Our Deam About Me (11) >$1.10 for 4.5 units

Back on Betfair BACK – PLACE – Soho Madeline (1) >$8.00 for 0.5 units

 

Race 4 – Cordina Chicken Farms Ladyship Mile (Group 1) – 1609m Mobile Start

Track Record

Adore Me – 1.47.7 (1st March 2015)

Past Winners

2015 – Adore Me

2014 – Vansumic

2013 – Our Sixpence

2012 – Torque In Motion

2011 – Broadways Best

Speed Map

Going forward early will be the outside brigade of Nike Franco, Frith and Start Dreaming. Frith is the most likely to cross even from its outside alley with go-forward driver Todd McCarthy on board. Start Dreaming might get to the death seat where its won its last 2 races from. Berisari is also a chance of going forward early looking to gain some cover. Fight For Glory doesn’t usually have gate speed so it could get shuffled back here.

Major Players

5. Fight For Glory: Won 14/30 has this Kiwi up to $650k in prizemoney. Trained by the All Stars Camp of Mark Purdon and driven by Nat Rasmussen, she won last week in open class company after a third behind Frith (as $1.80 favourite) two starts ago. Ran second to The Orange Agent in the Jewels after a win in the G1 NZ Oaks. Usually whatever Purdon puts the polish on absolutely flies on the big days and this should be no different.

7. Berisari: Another handy mare who has won 12/29. Trained by Emma Stewart and driven by Nathan Jack. Ran second after doing work behind Start Dreaming last time after a good third to Quick Draft on Hunter Cup night. Didn’t look to travel well to WA in its campaign late last year. Best win has probably been the G3 Platinum Mares Sprint at Melton in April 2015.

8. Nike Franco: Another extremely handy mare who has won 16/27. Won three in a row late last year including the Westral Mares Classic at Gloucester Park. Won the QLD Oaks at Albion Park in July 2014 and the G1 Raith Memorial at Menangle in February 14. Looks to have come back stronger than ever with a last start second to Frith, beaten 1m after running fourth at Melton to Yankee Rockstar.

11. Frith: Champion Mare who has won 36/52 with all of them from the mobile. Enjoys a 12/18 record at the track and 11/17 at the distance. In form driver Todd McCarthy takes the reins and there is no better horse on a leader at present. She led from Gate 3 last time in the G2 Sibelia Stakes and fought off the likes of Nike Franco and Fight For Glory in 1.52.0. There isn’t too many races she hasn’t won with victories in the Breeders Crown (twice), Breeders Challenge, WA Oaks, VIC Oaks and NSW Oaks and a Gold Tiara amongst them. Just when you think she may be beaten she kicks like a true fighter. Whatever beats her should win.

12. Start Dreaming: Kiwi mare who has drawn horribly here in 12. Has won 6/16 but more importantly her last two including last week in the G2 Robin Dundee Stakes beating Berisari and Betabcool She did finish second in the Breeders Crown in August at Melton to The Orange Agent. She may have now taken the next step. Has a clear advantage with Blake Fitzpatrick driving, not many drive Menangle better.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Fight For Glory (5) >$5.50 for 1.5 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Start Dreaming (12) >$5.50 for 1.5 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Berisari (7) >$5.50 for 1.5 units

 

Race 5- Bohemia Crystal Free For All (Group 1) – 2400m Mobile Start

Track Record

Global View – 1.53.4 (1st March 2015)

Past Winners

2015 – Franco Ledger

2014 – Abettorpunt

2013 – Gaius Caesar

2012 – No Race

2011 – Washakie

Speed Map

Easy On The Eye and Suave Stuey Lombo (both Shane Tritton trained) have Gate Speed and will be searching forward – possibly EOTE taking a trail off Stuey. Cold Major can go forward but needs a trail as can Major Crocker. Smolda (the favourite) has drawn terribly inside the second row and will need to get off the fence as early as possible. Mach Beauty is now a sit sprinter so it will trail its stablemate through.

Major Players

8. Cold Major: Won at Melton three starts ago in the flying time of 1.50.8 after getting a soft run three pegs. Has since been at the tail of the field behind Beautide and Smolda. Will have to improve and needs a soft run.

10. Major Crocker: Absolutely flying at the moment. Fourth last week when forced to do work in the G1 Amatil behind Beautide followed a huge third at Melton on Hunter Cup night when chaired in 1.50.8. Competed admirably in the Interdominion recently at Gloucester Park where he won the Consolation. Has notched some big wins in the past including the G1 Breeders Crown. The distance won’t hurt and it has good speed when needed.

11. Smolda: A grand horse who topped $1.3m in prizemoney with wins in the Hunter Cup and second in the Victoria Cup going down to Lennytheshark. Prior to that ran a track record to win the Ballarat Cup. Was a touch out of form back in NZ prior to this but loves Australia and always goes well here. Most unlucky not to get a start in the Miracle Mile but fine-tuned for this with a win in the G3 Brian Hancock Cup here beating Mach Beauty.  Has won 8/14 at the distance but the price in early markets doesn’t reflect its true chance. Keen to take it on.

12. Mach Beauty: Very good horse trained by Shane Tritton who ran second to Smolda last week. Has developed into a sit-sprinter and will get a good run through here trailling stablemate Easy On The Eye. Best wins were the Group 1 Breeders Challenge, G3 Nick Robin and G2 Interdominion Heat at Menangle.

4. Suave Stuey Lombo and 2. Easy On The Eye: Stablemates of Mach Beauty both probably past their prime.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Major Crocker (10) >$10 for 1 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Mach Beauty (12) >$5.50 for 1.5 units

Laying on Betfair LAY – WIN – Smolda (11) <$1.50 for 2 units

 

Race 6 – Coca-Cola Amatil NSW Derby (Group 1) 2400m Mobile Start

Track Record

Global View – 1.53.4 (1st March 2015)

Past Winners

2015- Ideal For Real

2014- Major Secret

2013- Lennytheshark

2012- Smolda

2011- Excel Stride

Speed Map

Cant Refuse will be looking to get to the pegs first followed by Kingofthestars and Our Waikiki Beach coming across looking for the lead. Can’t see too many moves over the longer journey.

Major Players

3. Cant Refuse: Has been a revelation since coming to Australia for the Matt Craven stable. Has only won a low race in NZ but has since run fourth in a Vic Derby Heat, fourth in the Vic Derby final and third in its heat here behind Our Waikiki Beach. Absolutely flew home here last week in an eye catching run. If it can get a soft run again it’s a definite chance to trouble the favourite.

7. Our Waikiki Beach: Like Purdon’s filly Our Dream About Me, this gelding is unbeaten winning 15/15. Won its heat narrowly but convincingly after beating a handy field of older horses here in 1.50.6. Has won the Breeders Crown, Breeders Challenge and Australian Pacing Gold in Australia and in NZ the G2 Welcome Stakes and G3 Kindergarten Stakes. Can he make it 16/16? I’d say so.

10. Zee Dana: Ran a World Record time for a 3yo over 2400m last week when it led then took a trail and won easily in 1.54.6. Will find it a lot tougher from Gate 10 here and Nathan Jack will have to decide whether to use this horses blinding GS early and hand up, or go back and try and find a position.

11. Stanley Ross Robyn: Kiwi who has looked good since arriving in Australia, most recently when behind the leader for a close fourth to Our Waikiki Beach.

12. Brallos Pass: Won its heat easily after leading in 1.55.8. Prior to that was a very good fifth to Lazarus in the VIC Derby. Will get a nice run through but a First 4 placing is probably the best that he can hope for.

14. Ascot Encounter: Absolutely huge when given no hope by the driver last week when flying home for fourth behind Brallos Pass. Will need a ton of luck from the draw but can fluke Top 4.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Can’t Refuse (3) >$2 for 2.5 units

Laying on Betfair LAY – PLACE – Zee Dana (10) <$3 for 1.5 units

 

Race 7 – SEW Eurodrive Miracle Mile (Group 1 and Grand Circuit Event) 1609m Mobile Start

Track Record

Adore Me – 1.47.7 (1st March 2015)

Past Winners

2015- No race this year

2014- Christen Me

2013-2 –  Beautide

2013-1 – Baby Bling

2011- No race this year

Speed Map

Map looks easy but when that happens it often changes. Arms Of An Angel should lead with Monifieth on its back. Beautide to the chair, Lennytheshark in the 1×1 with Have Faith In Me 1×2 and My Hard Copy on its back.

Major Players

1. Arms Of An Angel: The X-Factor, the controversial addition to the Miracle Mile this year. She is only a C7, M2 however she won seven in a row in Australia progressing from maiden class three months ago to winning the Hondo Grattan (G2) here three starts ago. Galloped out in the Chariots and was out to last before running home in near track record time to finish an unbelievable third to Have Faith In Me. Will be the leader but can she cop the pressure?

4. Beautide: The winner of this race in 2013, he is the king of Menangle having also won the Interdominion here. Has won 21/31 at the track. The former Tasmanian is without doubt in the top three horses we have seen in the last five years. Topped this off nicely with an effortless win in the G1 Coca-Cola Amatil last week in 1.50.7. Looks a clear second pick but my only worry is he may have to death seat. In saying that, he did win the Inters over 3000m deathseating.

6. Lennytheshark: The winner of $1.7m in prizemoney, he has taken all before him as a 5 and 6yo. Won the Interdominion in Perth before a second in the Ballarat Cup to Smolda. Then went to Melton and was an unbelievable effort winning the Victoria Cup beating Smolda. Was a walk in the park for him at Bendigo in their cup where as a $1.04 fave he smashed them. Looks to get a lovely trail here in the 1×1, however I just don’t know if he’s quick enough, with enough natural speed to run sub 1.48 which is what they might do here.

7. Have Faith In Me: The more I do form for this race the more I cannot see this horse losing. Superstar 4yo could potentially be the best we have ever seen. Has won three in a row at the track winning a FFA then stepping up to win the G2 Paleface Adios Stakes in 1.53.2, getting home in 54.6 under a stranglehold after sitting in the breeze, then won the G1 Chariots of Fire in 1.48.8 after being three wide the first 800m then to the chair and surging away to win by 10m. It was quite an unbelievable effort and this 4yo who has won 13/21 and $875k in prizemoney looks to map beautifully. Should peel at the top of the straight and take off.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Have Faith In Me (7) >$2.20 for 4 units

Laying on Betfair LAY – WIN – Lennytheshark (6) <$6 for 1.5 units

Laying on Betfair LAY – WIN – Arms Of An Angel (1)<$10 for 1 unit