Melton, Saturday 16th April 2016: The Harness Pro – Victoria Oaks

Posted: April 14, 2016

Track: Melton

Length of Home Straight: 205.00m

Circumference: 1040.00m

There IS a sprint lane.

 

R7 Group 1 Victoria Oaks Final – 2240m Mobile Start

Past Winners

2015 – Niki No No

2014 – Barynya

2013 – Frith

2012 –  Beauty Secret

2011 – Better Cover Lover

Speed Map

Celebrity Guest will more than likely lead early and hand up to the stablemate Heavens Trend. Badelaide will get a nice run three back the pegs. Dancingwithsierra and A Piccadilly Princess will both forced well back from their draws.

Major Players

1. Celebrity Guest: Stablemate of the favourite Heavens Trend who led in its heat as a $2.60 favourite but was run down late. May opt to lead here and then hand up to the more fancied stablemate to get the cushy run. She won three in a row prior to a third in the SA Oaks and its last start second. Distance stats are impressive: 6-2-1-2 and looks a good chance for finish in the placings.

2. Im Wrongly Accused: Nice ex-Kiwi who had been extremely unlucky at its first two Australain starts at Mt Gambier then Cranbourne before winning its heat here sitting behind the leader and sprintlaning to a 2.4 metre victory. Might struggle to get a cushy run here but no doubt every time this filly runs she improves meaning she is place chance.

3. Heavens Trend: Smart filly from the strong Stewart stable with Gavin Lang on board – what a combination! A bit hit and miss as she is 8 wins from 12 starts but without placings. Led in her heat and held off Dancingwithsierra who had the dream run behind her. Her best win thus far is in the NSW Breeders Challenge final which she won in the slick time of 1.52.1. Looks the leader and will be very hard to beat.

12. Dancingwithsierra: Ran second in her heat when sat behind Heavens Trend but couldn’t run her down. Was a phenomenal winner on Hunter Cup night when she won the Trackbred Classic and followed that with two more wins including the Tasmanian Oaks. The draw is against her but she definitely can win with the right run – and who better to provide that than ‘the Puppet’ Chris Alford.

13. A Piccadilly Princess: Talented Kiwi from the All Stars Stable of Mark Purdon. She has won 7 of 13 with four second placings. Impressive winner of her heat after leading running 1.56.3 (coming home in a flying 55.2) hard held by 11.5m. Won the Northern Oaks in New Zealand and also ran second in the 3yo Fillies Championship final behind Golden Goddess. Looks the class horse but has the worst draw – meaning more value.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) A Piccadilly Princess (13) > $2.00 for 2.5 units

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Celebrity Guest (1) >$2.50 for 2 units