The A-League Analyst Season 2016/17: Week 2

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Melbourne Victory v Melbourne City

Saturday October 15, 7:50pm AEDT

Match Odds

 

Match Overview

On the back of the pulsating Sydney derby we move to Melbourne for their derby.

Victory toughed it out against Brisbane to eventually take the lead once the hosts went down to 10 men. Their defence looked more solid and as suspected Carl Valeri showed his immense worth to the team

City impressed before the sending off of keeper Thomas Sorenson before holding on late. Tim Cahill will make his long awaited debut after missing last week to play international football. It will be fascinating to see how the partnership with Bruno Fornaroli plays out.

Key Statistics

  • Melbourne Victory lost only once at home last season winning seven and playing out five draws.
  • Since the start of 10/11 excluding derbies the Victory have played 23 matches at Etihad with a record of 13-8-2 (WDL).
  • City were clear top scorers last season with 63 goals from a league high six goals on target.
  • City faced 146 shots well above the league average last season
  • Head to head there have been 19 derbies Victory winning eight, City seven and only four draws. 14 of the 19 have been over 2.5 goals. At Etihad the teams have played nine times with Victory winning five, two draws and City twice.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Melbourne Victory for 2 units at 2.3+

 

kosts-barbarouses-wellington

Perth Glory v Wellington Phoenix

Sunday October 16, 7:00pm AEDT

Match Odds

 

Match Overview

Perth Glory threw away a three-goal lead at home to the Central Coast Mariners costing favourite punters with $33k matched at 1.01. The archetypal game of two halves with the respective defences covering themselves in less than glory.

Wellington struggled without their All-White representatives and cracked to immense pressure late on in the first half against Melbourne City. They got back into the match after the sending off of City keeper and were unlucky not to pick up a point in the end as flattering as it may have been. The A-League return of Kosta Barbarouses in a Nix shirt will be a highlight.

Key Statistics

  • Perth have lost just two of their last 14 home matches back to the start of last season, one in this fixture last season
  • After round 11 Perth ranked first for goals scored (40)
  • 24 of Perth’s last 28 home matches have been over 2.5 goals
  • Wellington won 3 of 14 on the road last season, in Perth as mentioned and at both Sydney teams
  • Wellington had the second worst defence in terms of goals conceded (54) and clean sheets (3)
  • 21 of Wellington’s last 27 away matches have been over 2.5 goals and six of the last seven over 3.5.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – Over 2.5 goals at 1.45+ for 3 units

Back on Betfair BACK – Over 3.5 goals at 2.25+ for 1.5 units

 

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