Harness Ratings: Melton, Thursday October 12th 2017

Posted: October 12, 2017

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Melton.

Melton Markets R1 – 10

R1 | 1720m | 6:04pm

ROCKABELLA STARZ will be short, but it should be easy money. Is a much better horse over the mile, and although its 9-0-0-2 record here is uminpressive, most of those were in better class (like a third to Shartin). Leads, and wins. FINAL OVER will attempt to cross early and is coming off an easy midweek win, but doubt it can upset the One. MISS ATOMIC BETTY is a good place chance, as it will slot in nicely, LORIMERMARA has gone well with Zac driving but this is a negative d/change tonight, ROCKING is a place chance as is SEIZE POWER

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price 
1. Rockabella Starz $1.25
2. In A Rose Tattoo $130.00
3. Miss Atomic Betty $18.00
4. Lorimermara $44.00
5. Sweet Kisses $580.00
6. Rocking $19.50
7. Final Over $60.00
8. Whatajetstar $80.00
9. Seize Power $48.00
10. Jay Dub $300.00

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Rockabella Starz

R2 | 2240m | 6:34pm

IONA SPIDER is top pick here – won well at Shepparton last start, always puts in and has gate speed. CONTINENTALLADY got it all wrong last time, and Betfair knew, go on its win here three starts ago. MYRNIONG RAINBOW broke through last time when leading in a much easier grade, happy to lay it here. BILL DISPUTE could bob up at odds, RUMSPRINGER, FEAR NOT and MIZURRI are all top 4 chances.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price 
1. Myrniong Rainbow $28.00
2. Bill Dispute $20.00
3. Rumspringer $20.00
4. Fear Not $40.00
5. Continentallady $2.86
6. Iona Spider $2.24
7. Mizurri $32.00
8. Lilymaystorm $150.00

 

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Myrniong Rainbow

R3  | 1720| 7:03pm

BE NOT AFRAID won a restricted event here over a mile in decent time (1.57.3) in June when leading, has performed admirably in much tougher races since (Breeders Crown series amongst them). Back in class big time, there aren’t many hopes here and Petroff can lead all the way with this girl. CAUSENFRICTION might have an early dip for hte lead, but at 0/14, looks unders. KRISTY ANN HANOVER has a habit of running fourth (four out of last five), however I think it can run a place here. The five and six are top four chances.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price 
1. Be Not Afraid $1.37
2. Causenfriction $10.50
3. Liams Lass $620.00
4. Kristy Ann Hanover $12.50
5. Crystal Caprice $26.00
6. Gems $27.00
7. Queen Of Jenna $120.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Be Not Afraid

R4 | 1720| 7:30pm

As is the case with many of the races tonight, there aren’t many chances. LADY DANGER ran two placings in NZ before attempting the Vic Oaks, where she ran last to Petacular in a heat. Was $18 that night, all of these would be well over 100/1 in that race – have to take her on top. CHRISSY DIVINYL has a good d/change with the Puppet on tonight for Darby McGuigan, has won 1/10, and looks the danger. LISA CROCKER has run second in two runs at Mildura recently, has to improve to win this.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price 
1. Zakharova $32.00
2. Lady Danger $1.28
3. Chrissy Divinyl $8.40
4. Santanna Tiger $250.00
5. Fill My Pockets $120.00
7. Lisa Crocker $22.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Lady Danger

R5 2240m | 8:00pm

BROCKS TERRITORY is top pick but looks short in early markets, has run four placings in last five, but failed to deliver the knockout blow. Two runs this campaign have been Ok, the layers thought they were great going down as $1.80 and $1.70 favourite. Is fitter and drawn closer, no doubt will be driven closer too, but if its around the tomato sauce odds, I’ll be laying it. THE DAPPER DON is very quick and has been with Ross Sugars for one run where it ran second to the smart Miley Rose at Ballarat. WOW SHES SMOOTH will attempt to hold the lead, ARDENS LEGACY gets a cushy run, but this is a good race. WINGATUI DEW can win if there is speed on, and BLACKWARRIOR isn’t without a hope.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price 
1. Ardens Legacy $21.00
2. Wow Shes Smooth $8.20
3. Brocks Territory $2.92
4. Blackwarrior $24.00
5. Le Premiere $42.00
6. The Dapper Don $3.75
7. Wingatui Dew $8.80
8. Phil Monty $28.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair LAY (WIN) Brocks Territory

R6 | 1720m | 8:30pm

Not overly interested in this race, looks limited chances and all options are short. CRUZ is smart, has won a trial here recently and has gate speed. The obvious map here is for it to lead, and DOLLY MACH LOMBO to be behind the leader. That leaves ISLAND FIVE STAR three pegs, and that could well be the trifecta. HIS MAKERS MARK is a place chance but needs cover as it has a 200m sprint.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price 
1. Island Five Star $12.50
2. Dolly Mach Lombo $8.80
3. Chariot Lady $1,000.00
4. Tonkels Star $130.00
5. Somedreamsomewhere $42.00
6. His Makers Mark $21.00
7. Cruz $1.41
8. Sewcanhugh $590.00
9. Big Bang Raj $140.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Cruz

R7 | 2240m | 9:00pm

Looks another on pace race. FRANCO might lead with GIPSY BLUE getting a nice trail and DIKERRY in the chair. DIKERRY had NO luck whatsoever last time when no closer than three wide, will improve second up here and could be too strong. GIPSY BLUE gets its draw here, loves a trail and is racing well. FRANCO usually only knows one way and that’s forward. CHIEF SAFARI is a rough place chance.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price 
1. Gipsy Blue $4.30
2. Franco $6.50
3. Platinum Power $110.00
4. Desert Safari $240.00
5. Chief Safari $28.00
6. Dikery $1.80
7. Braeview Brave $240.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Dikerry

R8 | 2240m | 9.30pm

CAMPAIGN DRIVE was a HUGE drifter on betfair last time, and it told the story. Was never put into the race and to top things off, galloped on the home turn. Has shown ability in Vic before, but it’s a hit and miss conveyance. SIDDLE is also hit and miss – 10-4-0-0, but at its best can win. The rest look pretty even, BLUE CHIPPED will take up a handy spot, IRISH PLAYER looks unders and ALL HONOUR can even sneak a place as can STARESS.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price 
1. All Honour $30.00
2. Blue Chipped $13.00
3. Staress $14.00
4. Campaign Drive $2.10
5. Irish Player $15.50
6. Siddle $3.85
7. Animi Sub Ingis $85.00


Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Irish Player

R9 | 2240m | 10.00pm

Another race I’m not too interested in. KYVALLEY VICE was first up for more than a year with a stablemate in the race, when it was restrained and never put in the race. Has won 4/17, is smart at its best, and from the draw, and sans stabelmate, should be driven more aggressively here. CARGERIE has ability and is a hope in this weak race as is EUREKA ENCOUNTER and ILLAWONG SUNNY.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price 
2. Illwaong Sunny $14.50
3. Sumo Grin $36.00
4. Kyvalley Vice $2.02
5. Eureka Encounter $6.70
6. Rockstar Confusion $45.00
7. Cargerie $4.40


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (Win) Kyvalley Vice

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