Harness Ratings: Melton, Saturday 12th August 2017

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Melton.

Melton Markets R1 – 11

R1 | 2240| 5:33pm

MOONROCK is a smart ex-Kiwi who has had four starts in Australia now, ran three placings in Vicbred’s then won at Cranbourne when leading. Looks too good again here. KENRICK won on its Australian debut at Cranbourne then couldn’t handle an inside second row draw. Better suited here. EMILIANA is always a chance in this type of race, CAPTAIN SSNOOZZZE and SIR BRIGGEN both have soft draws.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Sir Briggen $34.00
2. Emiliana $22.00
3. Kenrick $6.50
4. Carl Mattgregor $44.00
5. Moonrock $1.60
8. Captain Snoozzze $65.00
10. My Highights $450.00
11. Roll With It $14.50
12. Christian Major $50.00
13. Kankkunen $95.00


Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Moonrock

R2 | 2240m | 6:00pm

WILLEM is flying and is my best bet of the night. Has won five from 11, including two from its last three. Last week in the heat was inside second row but still managed a 12.5m win over MAKEN ART MAGIC. Drawn better here, looks extremely hard to beat. MOST HAPPY CULLEN was a good second to MORVAH last week and always goes well. ELTEEARR might be able to lead here, FLIGHT OFFICER is always around the money but is becoming the bookies best friend. MORVAH and FOUR STARZZZ FORSA are both better with front line draws.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Goodtime Bobby $95.00
2. Most Happy Cullen $9.40
3. Willem $2.05
4. Flight Officer $17.00
5. Elteearr $19.50
6. Maken Art Magic $110.00
7. Ourgirlbililee $36.00
8. Morvah $9.80
9. Four Starzzz Forsa $10.50
11. Madison Louise $75.00
12. Stunning I Am $75.00
13. Chief Safari $340.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Willem

R3 | 2240| 6:33pm

SOHO MONZA, OUR SIR IVANHOE and SAVESOMETIMETODREAM will all want to lead here so whoever does will shape the race. Going with the 3 here, COT more aggressive last time when led and beat a smart one in Lucky Lombo at Swan Hill. The 4 is liking this grade having won well when leading beating the 2 here two starts ago. SAPPHIRE SWAYZE has been disappointing lately but is always a chance. TRISON is a nice sit sprinter who has it’s draw.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Trison $29.00
2. Soho Monza $36.00
3. Our Sir Ivanhoe $2.72
4. Savesometimetodream $3.20
5. Sapphire Swayze $8.40
6. Coldplay Road $230.00
7. All I Can Be $48.00
8. Washmepockets $15.50
9. Lovable Larrikin $24.00


B
etting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Our Sir Ivanhoe

R4 | 2240| 7:00pm

No prizes for finding SAN CARLO here who has won 16 of 18. Will start prohibitive odds and probably best to stay out of win and place punting for this race. BOU CHARD gets a nice draw but from the pole will be skinny place odds. CHRISTMAS JOLT is back to its best with a win over the 2 horse last week but this is another step up in grade. DONT HOLD BACK isn’t quite the horse he was as a youngster and is a place chance.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
2. Bou Chard $17.00
3. San Carlo $1.19
4. Christmas Jolt $22.00
5. Murranji Track $150.00
7. Keep On Rocking $55.00
8. Top The Ace $630.00
9. Le Premiere $1,000.00
10. Arrokeefe $1,000.00
11. Don’T Hold Back $55.00
12. Jialiner $1,000.00
13. Virgil Hilts $1,000.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) San Carlo

R5 2240m | 7:30pm

MAJORDAN is flying and has now won seven of its past 11 starts. Will have a dig for the lead again no doubt but the big negative here is Nathan off for the less experienced Lisa Bartley. CHANTREY is a smart NSW visitor who needs a soft run and maybe a small track so looks a good risk here. SPIRITWRITER is a nice horse who has won 12 from 27 and comes up with the prime draw. Gavin Lang on for Michael Stanley. REAL STRIDE is another smart NSW visitor but has the inside 2nd row. ANIMATED has good gate speed and may look to cross early. ITZ BETTOR TO WIN will need speed on but is more than capable of winning.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Spiritwriter $6.50
2. Chantrey $16.00
3. Animated $8.40
4. Yerrington Bob $38.00
5. Majordan $3.85
7. Bells Beach House $40.00
8. Real Stride $92.00
9. Riverboat Jasper $17.00
10. Allies Mate $120.00
11. Love Ina Chevy $18.50
12. Itz Bettor To Win $11.00
13. Lucky Lombo $55.00


Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Chantrey

R6 | 2240m | 8:00pm

I’m tipping MR MOJITO to get back to its best here. Couldn’t handle a lower class Star Of Memphis last week but not sure Kerryn’s horses went well that night. Go on this gelding’s huge fifth at Albion Park the start before behind Hectorjayjay. BURNAHOLEINMYPOCKET led and won well last start beating TEE CEE BEE MACRAY. That horse has come back well from an enforced layoff with two wins in a row so beware though it is one dimensional and will need the right run again. The backrowers of KEAYANG STEAMER and IT IS BILLY are both right in this with the right runs.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Nowitzki $34.00
2. Mr Mojito $6.20
3. Costa Del Magnifico $160.00
4. Gotta Go Henry $80.00
5. Ideal Majority $100.00
6. Burnaholeinmypocket $5.20
7. Tee Cee Bee Macray $2.80
8. Flaming Flutter $23.00
9. Keayang Steamer $12.50
10. It Is Billy $10.50


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Mr Mojito

R7 | 1720m | 8:30pm

OUR MAXIM is a very nice Kiwi who is coming off a win at Alexandra Park. Has won two from three here before and looks the one to beat again. VINNY CHASE comes up with a good draw however prefer this horse when Taiba is driving it himself. CANT REFUSE won well last start and is an each way chance. JUST ROCKON BYE used the sprint lane to win last time and will get its chance from a similar spot again. ITZ BILLY HILLIS has won nine from 13, including his last three but comes up with the hardest test to date but you cant fault winning form.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Vinny Chase $16.50
2. Wingatui Dew $40.00
4. Our Maxim $1.60
5. Bazzas Art $85.00
6. Cant Refuse $9.80
7. Lanista $85.00
8. Just Rockon Bye $40.00
9. Duke Of Albany $40.00
10. Itz Billy Hillis $11.50
11. Mar Nien $48.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Itz Billy Hillis

R8 | 2240| 9:00pm

KEYSTONE DEL is a champion trotter having won 42 races from 68. Got back to its best when a good winner last week when first up for four months. KYVALLEY BLUR has had two runs in this campaign for two fourths, gets a soft draw here but will need luck. MAORI TIME is always a chance, MAORISFAVOURITESUN won two in a row before two midfield finishes from bad draws and drawn to improve again here. GLENFERRIE BURN is going well and CARDIGAN BOKO was fourth last week from a shocking draw, can improve too. Really wouldn’t surprise me to see anything win though.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Illawong Helios $75.00
2. Sparkling Success $25.00
3. Glenferrie Burn $18.00
4. Cardigan Boko $15.00
5. Maorisfavouritesun $5.10
6. The Boss Man $16.50
7. Maori Time $19.50
8. Kyvalley Blur $12.50
9. Keystone Del $2.34

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Keystone Del

R9 | 2240| 9:30pm

Good trotters race here. CHARMING LAVRA has good gate speed and may be able to lead and give them something to chase here. INTO THE UNKOWN is probably the most talented horse here but due to its driving pattern, you have to take it on most times. RIFT VALLEY has won two from its last four, seventh last time from the SS can be forgiven. SUN OF ANARCHY and SUN OF SONOKO are always chances given the right run.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Tiavons Dream $38.00
2. Rift Valley $8.40
3. Death Defying $75.00
5. Into The Unknown $5.40
6. Charming Lavra $2.94
7. Sun Of Anarchy $6.40
8. Desert Flyer $23.00
9. Sun Of Sonoko $9.20


Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Into The Unknown

R10 | 1720| 10:00pm

AIMFORTHEMOON is down in grade for this and will be hard to beat despite the back row. ROCK TONIGHT can do things wrong but at its best would be very hard to beat. Last start was a good second to the talented My Skypocket when outside the leader. TAIMATE SUCCESS is only just an average but gets the draw to contend here. SHIFTYWALL has won two in a row with Puppet on by leading but has a terrible draw here and also a downgrade in driver.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Brochel Bow $200.00
2. Taimate Success $5.70
4. Royal Dream $23.00
5. Flash Angus $13.00
7. Brandons Price $85.00
8. Shiftywall $30.00
9. Aimforthemoon $3.70
10. Ghent $20.00
11. Rock Tonight $3.10

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Aimforthemoon

R11 | 1720| 10:32pm

Very open race here where nearly anything can win. SIRLADYN REBA was very ordinary last time and must be taken on here if short odds. THE NOBLE STEED hasn’t won for along time but is down in grade here. CROCKETS CULLEN can show gate speed and may get across. Has been OK lately in better grade lately. PHIL MONTY is going OK but gets a bad draw.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Springfield Tattoo $18.00
2. Village Safari $21.00
3. Crockets Cullen $4.10
4. The Noble Steed $4.80
5. Sirladyn Reba $2.85
7. Phil Monty $11.50


Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Phil Monty

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