Harness Ratings: Cranbourne, Thursday January 18th 2018

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Cranbourne.

Cranbourne Markets R1 – R7

R1 | 20806:20pm

MYGOLDENGRINNER has been beaten fair and square lately but is down in grade from its 2nd to Sir Briggen last time. Can show good gate speed when needed and Lang may put his foot down here. OUR EDUARDO DENARIO has drawn well and is a place chance, MAGIC IMPACT also has good gate speed and may have an early dig – looks overs in early markets. ONE TUFF NUT was awful last time as was HIGHVIEW STARZZZ 1st up in the state.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Our Eduardo Denario $9.00
2. Magic Impact $12.50
3. Mygoldengrinner $1.48
4. One Tuff Nut $35.00
5. Staress $210.00
6. My Highlights $28.00
7. Monterey Jack $65.00
8. Break Of Dawn $140.00
9. Highview Starzzz $27.00

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Mygoldengrinner

R2 | 2080| 6:53pm

No awards for tipping $1.20 shots but hard to bet against GOODTIME HEAVEN who has won 3/5 and its last two in a row – one of those a $20k final at Menangle when leading. Has trialled brilliantly and should win again despite the poor draw. CARRAMAR ARAPAHO has a good draw and can . RAINBOW STYLING has a nwe trainer and might run a race and MELCHOIR and REDAND BLUE FELLA should run home well for exotic players.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Aaliyah $590.00
2. Carramar Arapaho $13.50
3. Daybreak Drama $310.00
4. Queen Of Jenna $85.00
5. Rainbow Styliing $32.00
6. Melchoir $36.00
7. Goodtime Heaven $1.25
8. Reclusive $44.00
9. Magic Caesar $310.00
10. Redand Blue Fella $48.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Goodtime Heaven

R3 | 2575| 7:18pm

Small field where GLENFERRIE BELLE looks the one despite the 40m handicap. Ran a good race in a Monte recently for 2nd when resuming. Prior to that 2nd to Saxon Rose was good enough for this race. KIWI CANNON is an interesting one now with Courtney Slater however needs to improve. JUST HOLD ON did a real good job last time after bungling the start – can run a race at odds here if begins. ITS NOT DARK YET gets the front row draw and BILLY PHELPS has the 50m. Nearly anything could win here.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Its Not Dark Yet $8.60
2. Just Hold On $11.00
3. Scr $0.00
4. Kiwi Cannon $4.30
5. Glenferrie Belle $2.02
6. Billy Phelps $17.50

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) Just Hold On

R4 | 1609| 7:48pm

The class looks to be drawn the worst here – STAROFSAHARA and STONE OF DESTINY have met before in race conditions and trials, I think the 10 is a better horse. Both have tough draws over the mile however – Starofsahara is 1st up for 6 months but has won 5/13, Stone ran a good 2nd to Makoa last time and is 4/14 and probably has the fitness edge. ANYBEACH ANYWHERE improved when 2nd last time with Jack in the bike – looks the best chance off the front row. ROSANNA RAIDER is a chance but drawn poorly.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Run Myles Run $110.00
2. Fowsands $110.00
3. Sammy Seelster $240.00
4. Somedreamsomewhere $20.00
5. Our Fabiolla $60.00
6. Anybeach Anywhere $6.90
7. Social Media $130.00
8. Rosanna Raider $23.00
9. Stone Of Destiny $4.10
10. Starofsahara $2.16

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Starofsahara

R5 | 2080m | 8:18pm

Good class race here – LOCHINVAR HUGO is the best horse here but drawn inside 2nd row. Won by 35m at Leeton last time, only has to negotiate the bad draw. REGAL CHEVAL may look to lead – won nicely in the chair at Ballarat four starts ago, and has been close up in good races since. ROLL WITH ROCKY has had 3 starts for a win and 2 placings and is 1st up – tough way to come back to racing. LENARD ESS is always around the money and despite the draw, ANDREW JAY might be value – has looked impressive in 3 starts.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Scr $0.00
2. Barranjoey $34.00
3. Luvyoubabe $38.00
4. Picard $18.00
5. Regal Cheval $3.85
6. Roll With Rocky $8.00
7. Morgan Art $75.00
8. Lochinvar Hugo $4.20
9. Lenard Ess $15.00
10. Andrew Jay $5.70

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) Andrew Jay

R6 | 1609| 8:48pm

HOT race with a few question marks – JILLIBY ROAD RUNNER has won 6 in a row and most of them easily. Started odds on at all of those too, hard to beat again. ASCOT ENCOUNTER is a former smart horse who never really clicked with Andy Gath, Now with Dean Braun, a huge watch on it. LETS STRIKE THE GOLD is an ex kiwi who did well in NSW , now with Sonya Smith. Right in this at its best. JILLIBY ROYAL has lost form, but on its best work, would be right in this. BEAU REVE can show pace, BLACKWARRIOR is very tough and HURRICAN STRIDE will finish off late.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Beau Reve $11.50
2. Blackwarrior $19.50
3. Jilliby Royal $23.00
4. Ascot Encounter $5.20
5. Hurricane Stride $60.00
6. Jilliby Road Runner $2.25
7. Lets Strike The Gold $6.50

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Jilliby Road Runner

R7 | 2080| 9:18pm

Only four going around here over the 2080m – CLASSY GUY flew around Melton last time with McDonough on in 1.53.9 over the mile – Sugars is on here so should go well again, but the query is the 2/45 over the distance. BEACH BOY ADIOS was 2nd in the chair there and Alford will be up hammering it again. This could all fall into the hands of WASHMEPOCKETS who will get a cheap run on the pegs and hasnt been far away lately. MIGHT BE LUCK will probaby be in the 1×1 and finish well.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Washmepockets $3.25
2. Classy Guy $8.20
3. Scr $0.00
4. Might Be Luck $24.00
5. Beach Boy Adios $1.92
6. Scr $0.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Washmepockets

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