Harness Ratings: Albion Park, Saturday 15th July 2017

Posted: July 15, 2017

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Albion Park.

Albion Park Markets R1 – 10

R1 | 2138| 5:05pm

Interesting map here. Exceptional Mach somehow managed to get crossed from gate one here last week over the mile. He has been leaving very well from the mobile from the 2138m start so here tonight I think they will have a good crack with the driver engaged. He loves launching this bloke and if this horse can spear across here he will run a big race.

Village Witch is air born. Her run two weeks ago outside the leader in a strong race was very good. She did all the work and went down fighting. The draw is awkward tonight but if she can push forward and land a nice spot she wont be far away here. Written In Red is flying and was something beat here last week.

This draw is no good, he might have to float forward here. With any luck in running here however he can win this, keeping him safe tonight a win is not far away with this horse. Match Point comes from down south to take these on. His form is very good for a race like this. He has some gate speed but gate seven over the 2138m is tricky.

Wide gates here in Queensland are a different story to wide gates on the spacious Menangle circuit so he is going to need to be at his very best to win this. Bettabe Perfect is going OK but has a big driver change tonight with Pete going off and his wife Chantel on. She could end up in trouble from this tricky draw and at the short quote in early markets ($2.70) I am very happy to take it on in this strong class race.

Annika Magic should be crossed early here so from a peg ling position a place looks her best chance. Not keen on any of the back row runners here all look to map bad. Open race look for value here to kick things off.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Annika Magic $15.00
2. Gidup Spanish Red $260.00
3. Bettabe Perfect $9.00
4. Village Witch $5.00
5. Exceptional Mach $6.00
6. Written In Red $5.00
7. Match Point $4.00
8. Cold Ideal $101.00
9. Bull Market $501.00
10. Strawberry Courage $251.00
11. Verdot $251.00
12. Our Leonardo $1,001.00

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Village Witch

R2 | 2138| 5:40pm

Looks a Grant Dixon benefit race here with the two main chances. Outlaw Fella and Chapter One will fight this out. Outlaw Fella always had ability in NSW and has converted that since moving North. Four from 10 with 4 placings here and looks hard to beat. Chapter One broke his Aussie duck last week when a good winner defeating Ima Grumpy Possum. Surprised if the winner doesn’t come from these two. The Charging Moa gets a soft draw as does Sweet As Candy.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Sweet As Candy $67.00
2. Outlaw Fella $2.50
3. Chapter One $2.64
4. Countdown $501.00
5. Regal Nightshade $101.00
6. Subtle Advice $101.00
7. Summertime Lizzie $21.00
8. The Charging Moa $10.00
9. Sicilian Slumber $101.00
10. Crowning Glory $501.00
11. Ima Grumpy Possum $51.00
12. Reddy Fire $1,001.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Outlaw Fella

R3 | 1660| 6:18pm

Catcha Lefty is short and deservedly so. Won at Menangle two starts ago before a last there in a good race. Is first up here for five months but should be too good. Jerrys Jet improved with a second at his first run in the Sunshine State and will find it tougher from the draw though. Magnussen might have an early dip and could get a good run here having won two in a row but again this is wayup in grade. Lets Cut Loose and Recipe For Dreaming are both smart NSW horses but draw poorly. Not much value to be had anywhere here.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Catcha Lefty $1.10
2. Magnussen $51.00
3. Fire And Ice $1,001.00
4. Franco Nepia $1,001.00
5. Pantheon $1,001.00
6. Jerrys Jet $21.00
7. Im Johnny Jet $1,001.00
8. The Duke Downunder $101.00
9. One Mans Pass $501.00
10. Lets Cut Loose $51.00
11. Recipe For Dreamin $101.00
12. Reddy Fire $1,001.00


B
etting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Catcha Lefty

R4 | 2240m | 6:44pm

Race of a few chances this one. The More The Better deserves to be favourite for this race. He has done all he has had to since coming to Queensland for the winter. He beat up on a moderate lot in the Premiers Cup easily and than last week with the way the race was run he had to win really and did it easily. Purdon will have him spot on for tonight and he will be hard to beat but this will be his biggest test in Queensland and from the draw I think the early quote ($1.35) is too short from the draw.

Shartin was almost perfect last week. She left the gate very well and won in second gear. I don’t think the extra distance here will worry her what so ever and she gets gun big race driver Luke McCarthy who I have little doubt will give this filly a good trip. She is around the $6.50 mark in early markets and on her run last week and the way the barriers have fallen here I don’t think there should be as big a gap in the market here between these two horses.

Pretty Hot can fly the gate. He did last week and ran a really nice race out in front. The extra distance is a query here for him and this class is no easier so do think place is best for him. Motu Meteor gets a nice gate here. In my opinion however this horse isn’t in the same class as Shartin or The More The Better.

I do think the good gate has had an impact on his early price. Wont be far away this horse but I do feel place is best. Our Uncle Sam was butchered last week, every chance he will be butchered again, back to Bathurst after tonight for this camp, no hope. Cowboys N Aliens ran a nice race last week, gate hurts here and in this glass I don’t think he can overcome the gate. My Casino Belle had her chance last week but Shartin was simply too good. So with this poor gate tonight she faces an uphill battle I feel. Shartin and The More The Better clear top two here with Shartin looking to be good value.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Motu Meteor $12.00
2. Shartin $2.64
3. Our Uncle Sam $501.00
4. Pretty Hot $51.00
5. Rock With Sam $1,001.00
6. Cowboys N Aliens $251.00
7. Subtle Delight $1,001.00
8. Parisian Rockstar $1,001.00
9. Key Largo $1,001.00
11. The More The Better $2.00
12. There Of The Best $501.00
13. My Casino Belle $101.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Shartin

R5 | 1660| 7:10pm

Good quality race this one. Feel The Courage draws well in barrier one here, he is normally a go forward horse and likes to lead when he can. With Chantel going on tonight it is hard to know how she will play things at the start. She will either hold the front or hand the lead over to the iron horse Destreos. In this quality race I do think that Feel The Courage will either be a sitting shot in front or wont be able to chase down the front runner in Destreos so I’m happy to risk Feel The Courage tonight.

As much as I respect Destreos I do feel he will need to lead these to win and he doesn’t get out of the gate as good as he used too so there is a question mark with him. Feel The Courage can hold the front I really like the chances of Tijuana Bromac.

This horse is air born and has been racing in the open class races every week for the past month and has been very good. Any luck here he wins. Polished Rocks was in a hurry to get things over with last week and crossed them gate seven and took them all the way. He does get Charlie Cini tonight in the gig apposed to Dannielle Mcmullen last week which I don’t think is a positive. He will be aggressive at the start Charlie but I am not sure he can get this horse to the front. No doubting the horses form however and he will push forward and run his usual honest race. Major Cam has as much ability as any horse in this race.

Really don’t know were he goes at the start, heaps of speed inside him so outside the leader is best case scenario here for him I think. With a tough trip likely have to risk him here tonight. Birdy Mach got the race run to suit last week. Again he will go back, if they go mental in front he is a chance, if not he cant win. Thats just the type of horse he is, will need luck but can be dangerous with a hot tempo.

The Space Invader is a blow out hope here I think. He is nice odds in early markets ($13) and there aren’t many horses in Queensland who are racing better than this horse. With a nice trialing draw he can land a nice spot and with a bit of luck will be finishing hard. Very good quality race here. Tijuana Bromac on top with the chance he can get the gun run here but there are some nice ones in this race who with a bit of luck can feature so as always look for the value here.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Feel The Courage $24.00
3. Polished Rocks $15.00
4. Destreos $4.00
5. Major Cam $12.00
6. Birdy Mach $10.00
7. War Dan Apollo $501.00
8. Tijuana Bromac $3.00
9. The Space Invader $8.00
11. Mafuta Vautin $1,001.00
12. Munroe $501.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) The Space Invader

R6 | 2240m | 8:00pm

Dixon looks to have a mortgage in this Group 1 with Colt Thirty One having won five from seven with his last three done fairly comfortably. Can do work (as he will need to here) so looks the winner. Corey William has won three from five and placed twice but gets the inside second row draw. Won his last two well when either leading or behind the leader. Ark Patrol is the stablemate to the top pick and should lead. Ran two placings behind Colt Thirty One at last two starts abut beaten fair and square. Ruhtrebo is up in grade but can sneak along the pegs for a top half finish. Pinup Boy has won two from 4 but has the visitors draw here.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Rated Price
1. Ruhtrebo $101.00
3. Ark Patrol $12.00
5. Ifoundthebeach $1,001.00
6. Only One Promise $501.00
7. Mighty Montana $1,001.00
8. Corey William $10.00
9. Colt Thirty One $1.25
11. Pinup Boy $101.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Colt Thirty One

R7 | 1660m | 8:08pm

Really like Fame Assured as a horse. Think this filly has a very nice future ahead of her. She has only had three starts to date and has won two of them. She has done the work in all of her wins which included a very strong run when sitting outside Corey William and winning going 1.57. Corey William was able to win very easily last week and is well in the market in the boys division of this race. Grant always has these babies spot on for this race every year and I think at around the $5 mark in early markets she is very good value this horse as she has very good ability.

Arts Treasure will start short here and is a very good chance. If she goes straight to the front she will be very hard to run down however both horses drawn in gates one and two have gate speed so its not a given she will lead. Two and three runs ago she led and ran into very nice horses and went good time. With some speed inside her I do think she is a shade of unders in early markets at $1.60.

Bronski Mackenzie draws well here and the gate gives her a place chance I think. Datsgood gets Keith Durston tonight in the group one so what happens here is a mystery. I do think all he can acheive in this race is making life difficult for James Rattray on Arts Treasure. Well Disguised is a very much improved horse. She is likely to be buried on the fence here but with a slice of luck at the right time she can pinch this one.

The Dixon trio of Miss Costalot, Ark Teamo and Red Charmer are all honest horses but the draw here makes it a little tricky for them, need luck. Queen Zenobia is a tough little filly. The draw really hurts her here and she will need a lot of pressure up front. Fame Assured on top here at a bit of value here in a race that is more open than it looks on paper in my opinion so play the value.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Rated Price
1. Bronski Mackenzie $26.00
2. Datsgood $501.00
3. Arts Treasure $2.88
4. Sammari $501.00
5. Miss Costalot $67.00
6. Ark Teamo $51.00
7. Red Charmer $67.00
9. Well Disguised $5.50
10. Fame Assured $2.75
11. Queen Zenobia $51.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Fame Assured

R8 | 2680m | 8:38pm

What a race! There are some huge odds about some good horses here. Tiger Tara is the benefit from the draw here and the early map can go two ways. Major Crocker will lead, and Mach Doro will either spear across or go back from the draw. Either way , surely Todd will be off early with Tiger Tara and looking for the lead.

This horse is airborne at Menangle at present but the scary thing is I think he’s even better suited here at Albion Park on a smaller track. His wins have been devastating to say the least. Lennytheshark is huge odds for a champion but he doesn’t seem to like “the Creek” and the draw is a shocker. Hectorjayjay won the snoozefest last week (unless you were on him) when leading in slow early sectionals – back to this draw he will have to come with one final burst, but that is probably his best go.

My Field Marshal has really come of age at his last two, the winner of the Len Smith Mile two starts ago he was gallant in defeat when driven upside down in the chair behind Hector last week. The rest really cant win with place chances to Major Crocker and Mach Doro.

Race Confidence: Tiger Tara

Runner Rated Price
1. Spare Me Days $250.00
3. Major Crocker $30.00
4. My Chachingchaching $1,000.00
5. Tiger Tara $1.87
6. Alleluia $1,000.00
7. Mach Doro $20.00
9. Majestic Major $1,000.00
10. My Field Marshal $7.00
11. My Mojito $250.00
12. Hectorjayjay $7.00
13. Joys A Babe $1,000.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Tiger Tara

R9 | 1660| 9:08pm

Adrift was good here last week when he ran fourth in good time to Corey William when working home well out wide on the track. If he can force his way to an early lead here than he will be very hard to run down if not impossible. Looks a good race for him to finish his season off this one. Jakes Ark is an interesting runner here. He is only a horse and is no world beater but he comes up with a good draw here. He should be taking cover here and from the pocket spot is a small winning chance and a solid place hope.

If he decides for whatever reason to hold the front than it will bring Fakerocknroll into calculations. He has ability this horse and will be winning a race very soon. Tuesdays Fella trialed pretty well here on 4 July. He left the gate well found the front and ran second in good time (1.57). He will have to lead these to be any real chance and he can do things wrong at times this horse but with Nathan Dawson going on he wont be far away.

Oh Stanley finally broke through on Wednesday but this looks a bit harder and the draw hurts him here, place best. Major Generaljujon has a lot to learn and from this awkward draw I am happy to bet around him. Adrift hardest to beat here.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Jakes Ark $15.00
3. Ifyoubelieve $251.00
4. Beef City Blaze $501.00
5. Tuesdays Fella $10.00
6. Oh Stanley $26.00
7. Willsintown $251.00
10. Major Generaljujon $101.00
11. Ultimate Ad $501.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Adrift

R10 | 1660| 9:38pm

Thankheavnforgirls looks the likely leader here. She has been around all season and at times has shown good ability. I’m sure she races better on this bigger track and gets out of the mobile better here.

If she can land in front she will take some running down here. Meant To Be Me wouldn’t be out of place in the main 2yo Fillies race tonight. She started her season a little later than most but she looks to have good ability. In all her runs to date she has shown good manners, good speed and a will to win. This is not the strongest line up she has seen this season so I give her a great hope tonight against these.

The two horses mentioned seem a clear top two for mine. Always A Jewel can push forward here but she has been only average all season and is first up here, place best. Justalittle Torque does her best racing in front I think. Very unlikely she will find that spot tonight so she is going to need a lot of luck here. Statement Please has been OK this season. He can stick to the peg line here and from there is some hope of running top three. Very even lot the rest but do think this is a two horse race with Thankheavnforgirls and Meant To Be Me on top.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Rated Price
1. Mini Miracle $67.00
2. Thankheavnforgisl $2.64
3. Long Legs Lou $101.00
4. Always A Jewel $21.00
6. Diamonds For Coco $251.00
7. Justalittle Torque $21.00
8. Statement Please $51.00
9. Groovy Miss Annie $251.00
10. Meant To Be Me $2.12
11. Tellella $501.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Always A Jewel

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