The Harness Pro Ratings: Geelong, Thursday July 14th 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Geelong.

Geelong Markets R1 – 7

R1 Flying Brick Original Cider Pace (MS) | 1609m 6:27pm

Looks to be a leader/behind the leader map race with Courageous Eagle leading (big driver change with Gavin Lang on) and Our Summer Wind behind it (down in class). ‘The Eagle’ likes the distance and should lead for a long way but tipping OSW to zoom up the sprint lane to beat it. A big gap to third here.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
8. Our Summer Wind $1.99
1. Courageous Eagle $2.62
6. Gnotuk $19.00
2. In A Rose Tattoo $29.00
5. Shark Alert $65.00
3. Frank The Duck $140.00
7. Lively Operative $140.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Our Summer Wind

R2 Flying Brick Draught Cider Trotters Handicap (SS) | 2570| 7:00pm

Small field of trotters here where pretty much anything can win. Majestic Moves won well last time in the Silver Trot from a bad draw – if it steps it looks top pick. Kapitan Claire was in rare form before galloping last time. Illcryifhewinds will be suited by the small field.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
4. Majestic Moves $3.15
5. Kaptain Claire $3.15
1. Coimadai Lodge $7.50
2. Its Not Dark Yet $12.00
3. William John $12.00
6. Illcryifhewinds $22.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Majestic Moves

R3 Flying Brick Pear Cider Pace (MS) | 2100m | 7:30pm

Looks a moral exacta here – Kingofthestars is a quality 3yo and will be very short but deservedly so. second to the smart King Of Rocknroll last time was disappointing as $1.30 favourite but will bounce back here. Franco is also a smart 3yo who ran sixth to Ryley Major at Melton last time in the 3yo Bronze.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
7. Kingofthestars $1.27
6. Franco $4.90
5. Major Scandal $260.00
3. Nymeria $300.00
4. Saint Davids Field $400.00
1. Archduke Joseph $500.00
2. Goodtime Kelsi $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Franco

R4 Easywaste Waste Management Pace (MS) | 2100m | 8:00pm

Blacknbrown wasn’t disgraced with a fourth to Ideal For Real two starts ago. Our Jabari might be under the odds here – only one win from four starts in Australia. Jimmy The Editor is tough but has drawn the carpark. Tiz A Jamane is two from two since coming North from the Apple Isle but is up in class and Gozo Lightning is better in front.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
5. Blacknbrown $1.98
6. Our Jabari $6.60
3. Tiz A Jamane $6.60
7. Jimmy The Editor $12.50
8. Gozo Lightning $17.50
1. Sir Kapitar $18.00
9. Lucky VC $60.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (E/W) Itz A Jamane

R5 Jims Mowing Geelong Pace (MS) | 2100m | 8:30pm

Bad Boy Cullen gets the nod here after running home well last time when four back the pegs early from the ‘one gate’. It doesn’t like being cluttered up so forge that run. Led when third at Melton prior to that and three starts ago won well at Yarra Valley from an awkward draw. True Stride has won two in a row and four of 12 however gets a bad draw here. Grand Attack can improve from this draw and the key driver change. Looks pretty thin outside of the top two.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
3. Bad Boy Cullen $2.56
8. True Stride $2.86
1. Grand Attack $11.50
4. Sir Liberty $17.50
5. All Eyes And Ears $17.50
9. Warpie $27.00
2. Sopranos Fury $200.00
6. This Is Your Life $500.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) True Stride

R6 Devcon Properties 3yo Pace (MS) | 2100m | 9:00pm

Kalinda was sixth, sixth and twelfth in much tougher races before going to Cranbourne last time and finding the leaders back and proving too good for Franco Jameson. Expect something similar here. Ideal Lifestyle also has been running in better races since its win at Charlton as a $1.30 favourite. It could be the leader while Without You has to do it tough from 7 but has Alford on so anything is possible. Good second placings at Yarra Valley and Ballarat put it in contention.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
4. Ideal Lifestyle $2.90
1. Kalinda $3.00
7. Without You $4.50
5. My Sophisticated Lady $18.00
2. Ilikemillie $35.00
6. Missing Mary $200.00
3. Aussie Cruiser $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Kalinda

R7 AON Business Insurance Geelong Pace (MS) | 2100m | 9:30pm

Major Star has had three starts since crossing the Tasman – the first a good second to Ive Gottalife (Cold Major third) then had no luck when $1.80 favourite behind Macterra Lad (won again since). Drew bad and went well when third to Lord Monaloo at Melton last week. Wins this for fun. Goodtime Rusty has been consistent lately without winning and is a place chance as is Mister Hairy Maclary who will like the small field.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
4. Major Star $1.20
5. Goodtime Rusty $10.50
3. Rory Mach $42.00
6. Mister Hairy Maclary $42.00
1. Artoc $75.00
2. Hi Tech Fury $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Major Star

Related Articles