The Harness Pro Ratings: Melton, Thursday July 21 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Melton.

Melton Markets R1 – 8

R1 COGS 2yo Pace (MS) | 1720m 6:30pm

Bundy Playboy dropped in class at Horsham when it led for a comfortable victory. Prior to that was racing in stronger races such as the Vic Bred series which included a HFHD to Misterfreeze. Delightful System debuted with a nice victory – drawn badly but a chance with the right run. Big Gun Johnny is drawn to get a soft run as Donomoor and Chic Boutique could be vying for the early lead. Mustang Bart was a good second to Bundy Playboy and benefits from having Alford on tonight.

Race Confidence: Medium 

Runner Name Rating
9. Bundy Playboy $2.52
7. Delightful System $6.90
4. Mustang Bart $8.60
8. Big Gun Johnny $8.60
1. Speculator $20.00
6. Chic Boutique $20.00
2. Batman Bart $25.00
5. Our Surrogate $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Bundy Playboy

R2 Aldebaran Park Trot (MS) | 2240m 6:59pm

A field full of horses with limited ability sees Sonetto come out on top courtesy of having not only won a race but also having Chris Alford on board. He was in the gig last start when this mare ran a creditable sixth from a back row draw. Wah Keen is the best horse in the race but has won only one from 14 and that could be the only time it hasn’t galloped. It does many things wrong so if Nigel Milne can get the best out of this gelding it can win. Long Story Short can make a nuisance of itself from the pole however the rest look to be racing for minor prizemoney.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
7. Sonetto $2.14
12. Wah Keen $3.20
1. Long Story Short $10.50
11. Fill My Pocket $22.00
2. Ruby Victory $34.00
4. Invasion Force $44.00
6. My Skypocket $80.00
3. Lauxmonts Success $130.00
5. Yakka $300.00
10. Hanlon Parade $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Sonetto

R3 Hero – Life After Racing Pace (MS) | 2240| 7:30pm

Thin race where Saint Davids Field is clearly on top after resuming from a year long layoff to be running home hard when third to Kingofthestars and Franco last time. That is many classes down from this race. Gunbalunya can show gate speed and did well when second from the death seat at Charlton last time. Keayang Sassy was OK at Hamilton last time after being behind the leader. Social Media won at big odds here on debut but has done little since.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
4. Saint Davids Field $1.80
5. Gunbaunya $6.00
2. Keayang Sassy $7.00
6. Irish Player $10.50
3. Social Media $60.00
1. Tiseh Lucky Lady $300.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Saint Davids Field

R4 Haras Des Trotteurs Handicap (SS) | 2240| 8:00pm

Coimadai Lodge was good when beaten a NK behind Majestic Moves last time at Geelong from the tapes. Just hope that Matthew Whittle can negotiate possible pest Mister OZ at the start. Girls Go First ran home well at Kilmore when beaten just over a metre to Jeter. Always around the money and a big chance. Alabamas Invasion always goes well but is only 1/27 at the SS – is coming off a three month spell but can run well fresh. Opia did a huge job when winning off 50m three starts ago and has gone OK since. Spud and William John are outside chances in what is an open race.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
1. Coimadai Lodge $3.35
10. Girls Go First $3.65
8. Albamas Invasion $7.80
7. Opia $11.50
9. Apollos Gift $13.00
5. William John $20.00
4. Spud $32.00
11. Just Call Me Earl $32.00
2. Mister Oz $120.00
6. Kit Keller $270.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Girls Go First

R5 Schweppes Pace (MS) | 1720m | 8:30pm

Looks a race with limited chances. Paying Your Way may head forward tonight with the “slowish” front line. Suicide tactics three starts ago at Shepparton when it ran last but since has run a good third at Cranbourne and then a great third in the Empire Bronze at Melton.

Can show gate speed when it needs to. Kotare York is a “gunna”, It needs to win tonight to break that voodoo – 10 seconds in 32 starts means it has so often been the bookies friend, but tonight it gets its chance. Illawong Maestro is dropping a ton in class here – its fifth in a semi of the Vicbred behind Soho Tribeca only beaten 5m was awesome then understandably ran last in the final off a horror draw. Iam Aw Sam is next best

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
7. Paying Your Way $3.80
6. Kotare York $3.80
11. Illawong Maestro $4.40
10. Iam Aw Sam $9.00
9. Jilliby Escape $25.00
1. Our Miss Vivienne $32.00
3. Illawong Fantasia $42.00
5. Surreal Dreamer $42.00
2. Lils Dreamer $290.00
5. Surreal Dreamer $500.00

Betting Strategy

BACK (WIN) Paying Your Way

R6 Join The Pegasus Club Pace (MS) | 1720| 8:57pm

Abitgoingonhere has improved big time – racing in South Australia before coming to Melton and running a good race behind My Kiwi Mate in an M0 then backed it up with a win at Kilmore last time after using the sprint lane. May come up too short however here. Royal Capone is a former nice horse who last won at Kilmore three months ago. Three efforts this campaign have been in better class races. Ithappenstbeametro is going OK – competed in better races at Melton prior to 2 x 3rds at its last 2 starts. Silky isn’t without a chance having won three of its last four starts and gets Chris Alford on board tonight.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
3. Abitgoingonhere $3.10
1. Royal Capone $3.75
7. Ithappenstobeametro $4.30
5. Silky $8.60
6. Chirpy Chuckles $29.00
8. Bushi $95.00
2. Bliztsuzy $160.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Abitgoingonhere

R7 Nevele R Stud 3yo Pace (MS) | 1720| 9:27pm

Very even race here – Kaanapali and Ideal Lifestyle can both show speed – Kannapali won well at Cranbourne and has backed it up with 2 placings since. Ideal Lifestyle found Kalinda too good last time after running a great fourth in the Vicbred Final. Scipio broke its duck last time in style at Charlton beating The Russian and Backinthegame who draws well here. Our Skinny Maree is a chance and His Makers Mark would win on its earliest form.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
7. Ideal Lifestyle $4.50
3. His Makers Mark $4.50
5. Scipio $5.90
2. Backinthegame $8.60
4. Our Skinny Maree $16.00
1. Tonkels Star $55.00
8. Sewcanhugh $120.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Ideal Lifestyle

R8 Pace (MS) | 2240m | 9:57pm

Keep On Rocking is a very smart 3yo gelding who should be able to add to its 4 from 16 record. Won two in a row before a sixth and seventh in the Vicbred’s. Royal Deviate may be the hardest to beat after returning to form last time at Echuca in an easier race. Montu is drawn to get the good run behind the one and can place.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
1. Keep On Rocking $1.60
2. Royal Deviate $6.10
8. Montu $10.50
4. Seven Ounce $26.00
7. Tere T $32.00
5. Jialiner $55.00
6. Illawong Libby $55.00
3. Our Pontiac $420.00

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Keep On Rocking

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