The Harness Pro Ratings: Melton, Sunday August 28 2016 – Breeders Crown Day

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Melton.

Melton Markets R1 – 10

R1 Haras Des Trotteurs Breeders Crown Series 18 (3yo Trotting Fillies) Final | 2240m | 1:26pm

Map: Will be a charge for the front here as that will probably land you the plum position behind WILMAS MATE who will more than likely circle the field at some stage to take over.

Comment: WILMAS MATE has been impressive in two starts in Australia. Won the VIC Trot Derby even though she went roughly and withstood a protest. She then went up in grade to a TM0 in the open class and demolished the field by 20 metres as a $1.10 favourite. COURCHEVEL was very good winning in track record time last start beating HIGH GAIT who had to death seat. They look the only three possible hopes as the below market suggests.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
2. Wilmas Mate $1.31
5. High Gait $8.80
3. Courchevel $11.00
10. Princess Phoenix $75.00
7. Aldebaran Eve $180.00
4. Aldeabaran Ay M $440.00
6. Sky Majesty $440.00
1. The Cooler $151.00
11. Social Fireball $500.00
9. Illawong Fireball $800.00
8. Fear Not $1000.00

Betting Profile

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Courchevel

R2 Aldebaran Park Breeders Crown Series 19 (2yo Trotting Fillies) Final | 2240m | 2:02pm

Map: The Golino runners drawn two and three and NIETA the favoured one I can see it getting the lead with IONA SPIDER getting the gun run behind it. Stablemate to Nieta, SVAL QUEEN could sit in the chair and the pair can dictate the race. OUR REGAL LOVE, UNE BELLE ALLURE and DERRIE AIRE will have to make wide runs, on a Breeders Crown day that scenario is usually not ideal.

Comment: The Golino stablemates hold the key here. Usually the pegs are the place to be today and I can see NIETA leading with stablemate SVAL QUEEN in the death seat thus dictating the pace of the race. Nieta is 2/2 and has been short both times and comes from the premier trotting stable. OUR REGAL LOVE was an effortless winner last time but will have to do it tough. DERRIE AIRE has talent but is prone to making mistakes. UNE BELLE ALLURE has just drawn terribly for this.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
3. Nieta $2.30
9. Our Regal Love $3.45
1. Iona Spider $11.50
13. Une Belle Allure $16.00
2. Sval Queen $19.50
12. Derrie Aire $30.00
5. Kyvalley Kyrie $70.00
10. Valsue $110.00
4. Illawong Shimmer $570.00
6. Midnightatpinevale $570.00
7. Betty Hall $570.00
8. Ten Spanners $570.00
11. Garston Girl $570.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Nieta

R3 Aldebaran Park Breeders Crown Series 19 (2yo Trotting Colts & Geldings) Final | 2240| 2:39pm

Map: ILLAWONG BYRON is the leader here and can’t see too many in a hurry wanting to get to the chair so that may be left to the main rival CUSTODIAN.

Comment: ILLAWONG BYRON is the best 2yo Trotter in Australia and deserves this victory. CUSTODIAN looks the only danger (ran 2nd in the Redwood Classic to him), he galloped out in a T1-T2 last time as the $1.50 favourite. Empire Bay would have to improve 50 metres on its Sydney form to figure.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
2. Illawong Byron $1.64
9. Custodian $3.00
5. Empire Bay $34.00
11. Claudys Prince $75.00
4. Eyrish Mist $400.00
3. Mano De Dios $600.00
6. Kheiron $600.00
7. Endson A Party $600.00
10. Just Oscar $800.00
12. Red Rustler $800.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Illawong Byron

R4 IRT Breeders Crown Series 18 (3yo Colts & Geldings) Final | 2240| 3:14pm

Map: OUR WAIKIKI BEACH will bully his way to the front here and looks unbeatable. ROCK OF AMERICA and MATCH IN HEAVEN should be two and three pegs and that could well be the trifecta as is so often the case in these races.

Comment: OUR WAIKIKI BEACH is a star – colours lowered only once at Menangle in an open race but has shook that off since. His win in an M0 here two starts ago which was simply awesome. May as well engrave the trophy now and make it 23/24. ROCK OF AMERICA and MATCH IN HEAVEN will get gun runs two and three pegs and are both place chances. FRANCO CRISTIANO was awesome two starts ago in OWB’s race but disappointed big time last week as $1.40 favourite. KINGOFTHESTARS and ICEENOTHINK’s can’t win with their draws.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
2. Our Waikiki Beach $1.13
8. Rock Of America $29.00
10. Franco Cristiano $29.00
9. Match In Heaven $80.00
6. Kingofthestars $80.00
7. Icenothink $120.00
5. Spirtwater $200.00
12. Soho Tribeca $470.00
3. Blackbird Power $500.00
4. Herehecomes $500.00
11. Keep On Rocking $600.00
13. Professor Tom $800.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Match In Heaven

R5 Woodlands Stud Breeders Crown Series 18 (3yo Fillies) Final | 2240| 3:48pm

Map: What happens at the start here is interesting, HEAVENS TREND doesn’t have blinding speed and is drawn one, can she hold up? DANCINGWITHSIERRA has very good speed and could cross and then take a sit. ROCKNROLL ANGEL has a decision to make, to follow the one through or go back and come off the fence, it probably has to play the waiting game.

Comment: Good race where HEAVENS TREND comes up favourite but I think it’s a lay at the price. If it leads, then it has a very good horse in ROCKNROLL MAGIC on its back, if it doesn’t lead then where will it be in the run? ‘RNR Magic’ has won 21/28 including an incredible 11 in a row and nobody is driving better than Chris Alford at present. LUISIANABELLE MIDFREW was disappointing on its Aussie debut but looks the only other danger to win. ROCKSTAR ANGEL is a place chance as it will be three or four pegs and DANCINGWITHSIERRA also a place chance if can cross early.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
1. Heavens Trend $2.22
8. Rocknroll Magic $2.72
2. Louisianabelle Midfrew $20.00
6. Dancingwithsierra $32.00
9. Rockstar Angel $32.00
12. Nikkibadwagon $55.00
5. My Mackenzie $55.00
3. Whirly School $120.00
11. Just Rockon Bye $120.00
13. Get In The Groove $550.00
4. Ilikemillie $1000.00
7. All In Your Hands $1000.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Rocknroll Magic

R6 Woodlands Stud Breeders Crown Series 19 (2yo Colts & Geldings) Final | 2240| 4:22pm

Map: Shane Tritton runners usually have good gate speed and TINGIRA BEACH is no different. Draws beautifully with SCOOTERWILLREV getting the gun run behind it. OUR LITTLE GENERAL will have to go forward to have any hope in my opinion. PACING MAJOR will come with a run at some stage.

Comment: TINGIRA BEACH has been the best 2yo so far and should continue on its winning ways here. Lauren Tritton should be able to get him to lead and he won his heat with ease. Did get beat by OUR LITTLE GENERAL at Bendigo in June but drew horribly then. That horse has drawn outside the front row here so Chris Alford has a decision to make, he should go forward I imagine after leading in his heat win beating the smart PACING MAJOR who was disappointing. Expect improvement from that colt here 2nd up in Australia. SCOOTERWILLREV is a huge place chance following the leader home.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
2. Tingira Beach $1.55
9. Pacing Major $4.90
7. Our Little General $18.50
8. Scooterwillrev $18.50
3. Wrappers Delight $46.00
13. Astride $140.00
6. Big Gun Johnny $330.00
10. The Defiant $330.00
11. Wardan Express $700.00
12. San Domino $700.00
4. Canada Bay $1000.00
5. Sunset Zeus $1000.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Tingira Beach

R7 Alabar Breeders Crown Series 19 (2yo Fillies) Final | 2240| 4:59pm

Map: If the semi is anything to go by then PARTYON might come out running. MISS GRACELAND hasn’t shown gate speed yet but that doesn’t mean anything – could be saving it for here. WALTZINGWITHSIERRA will get a good run from the pole. PETACULAR will have to do it tough, she’s drawn the carpark! EMOJI is the other speed horse here.

Comment: Think PARTYON is pretty special. Unbeaten from 4 starts she won the Diamond on Jewels day in NZ then came here and charged through the pack early to lead and won with something in reserve beating MY CASINO BELLE. That filly was very good there and has been at both Aussie starts however this is harder from the back row. MISS GRACELAND has been very good since debuting only a month ago. PETACULAR will have to do it tough but she has won 8/10 and her last five in a row. Dominant winner last time but taking her on from the draw here.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
7. Partyon $1.65
4. Miss Graceland $6.40
13. Petacular $9.00
9. Miss Casino Belle $12.00
6. Emoji $120.00
2. Miss Dangerfield $120.00
8. Sanna Cruz $120.00
3. Intrusive $270.00
5. Taylors Reason $270.00
1. Waltzingwithsierra $600.00
11. Go Home Jo $600.00
12. All Done Up $600.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Petacular

R8 Breckon Farms Breeders Crown Championship (4yo Entires & Geldings) | 2240| 5:29pm

Map: ARTISTIC FLITE looks the leader here with IDEAL FOR REAL possibly death seating. Up to Gavin Lang really if he wants to press forward for the lead but previously has been happy to chair on this horse. TEE CEE BEE MACRAY has drawn terribly in seven and with no gate speed will be dragged back to last and come with one run. MENIN GATE has drawn badly too and can’t see him getting into the race from there.

Comment: IDEAL FOR REAL is a star, winning 12/20 including his last six in a row. Won the NSW Derby last campaign and is on the way to a Crown here. Toyed with an M1 last week as $1.04 favourite. Looks too strong and can dictate this race. ARTISTIC FLITE has drawn well and can lead, is going OK but isn’t quite up to the class of the number one pick. I’m laying MENIN GATE who has to lead to win, it can’t win here. TEE CEE BEE MACRAY is in all sort having drawn the carpark, is a one-dimensional horse who can only come with one run. It is a very fast horse but the draw makes it tough.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
5. Ideal For Real $1.16
7. Tee Cee Bee Macray $14.00
12. Menin Gate $30.00
2. Artistic Flite $60.00
1. Repeat After Me $110.00
8. Admiral Bronski $110.00
11. Egodan $200.00
13. Solarsonic $200.00
6. My Chachingchaching $460.00
3. Controversial $1000.00
4. Lookofalegend $1000.00
9. Blacknbrown $1000.00
10. Its Just Kenny $1000.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Ideal For Real

R9 Woodlands Stud Breeders Crown Series 18 (3yo Trotting Colts & Geldings) Final | 2240| 6:02pm

Map: It will be a charge for the pegs here with CRUISIN AROUND, SUNDONS COURAGE and SUN VALLEY ROAD all potential leaders but think the one can hold them out. This give TEMPORALE a good run behind the leader. CONON BRIDGE has led at both starts here but from the draw will have to follow the two horse through.

Comment: Going with CRUISIN AROUND here who should be able to hold the top which is so vital around Melton on these days. Outside the leader last time when 3rd to SUNDONS COURAGE but I’m going back to the form where he won five in a row including the Super Series and Holmfield. CONON BRIDGE will get a nice run through, an extremely smart Kiwi who won the Breeders Crown last year. TEMPORALE isn’t quite as good as Conon but will get the gun run here on the pegs and will be very hard to beat. Sundons is flying and has won 12/23 but this is tough and MAORI LAW has won 4/4 but this is the acid test – not sure I could take the shortish odds here.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
1. Cruisin Around $2.88
10. Conon Bridge $3.05
8. Temporale $6.20
5. Maori Law $13.50
2. Sundons Courage $20.00
4. Big Jack Hamer $50.00
11. Skyflyer $260.00
3. Sun Valley Road $580.00
6. Hudson Bay $580.00
7. Aleppo Murphy $580.00
9. Kyvalley Tinman $1000.00
12. War Dan Destroyer $1000.00
13. Enrolled $1000.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Maori Law

R10 Nevele R Stud Breeders Crown Championship (4yo Mares) | 2240| 6:32pm

Map: Extremely interesting race where all the big guns have drawn the back row, leaders could be either of the Keayang’s, KEAYANG EBONYROSE or KEAYANG MERCEDES. MISS RIVIERA BELLE and KATY PERRY have pace but I think a Keayang will lead initially. It’s then up to the drivers of the fancies to see who makes the first move = possibly for the lead.

Comment: DELIGHT ME deserves favouritism here in my view ONLY as CYCLONE KATE has drawn inside the 2nd row. DM is flying having won 11/13 and five in a row this prep including a win in an M0-M1 last week beating subsequent winner Miley Rose. CYCLONE KATE is going as good as any open class horse in Sydney but has drawn terribly which is a shame. AMERETTO was unlucky to be caught without cover last week, has a good finish on her when race is run to suit.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
12. Delight Me $1.72
8. Cyclone Kate $3.95
7. Lovelist $17.00
11. Ameretto $3200
1. Miss Riviera Belle $75.00
2. Keayang Ebonyrose $75.00
3. Keayang Mercedes $75.00
4. Katy Perry $75.00
5. Soho Berlin $270.00
9. Miss Dreamin $270.00
13. Glenferrie Blade $270.00
6. Chilled Desire $610.00
10. Soho Tokyo $610.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Delight Me