Gold Coast, Saturday 26 December 2015: The Betfair Insider

Posted: December 24, 2015

Betfair Insider

Gold Coast, Saturday 26 December 2015

Track

Dead

Rail true

Weather forecast – www.bom.gov.au

Friday 25th – Max 27, showers

Saturday 26th – Max 29, possible shower

 

R4 BJ McLachlan Stakes 2Y0 1200m

Speed Map

BJ McLachlan Stakes

 

Race Profile

  • 2 of past 5 winners had won Calaway Gal Stakes at previous start
  • 2 of past 5 winners had previous run in New South Wales
  • 4 of past 5 winners <SP$5
  • 4 of past 5 winners were last start winners

 

Previous Race Winners and Lead Up Result

 

2014 – Soft 7, Rail True (Run at Gold Coast)

1st – Mishani Honcho – SP$21 57kg BR1 – 4th up, 1 week, 10th 2yo handicap 1100m Doomben

2nd – Wicked Intent – SP$1.40 57kg BR2 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 1st Listed Phelan Ready 1050m Doomben

3rd – Star Of Night – SP$41 55kg BR5 – 3rd up, 2 weeks, 5th Listed Calaway Gal 1050m Doomben

 

2013 – Good 3, Rail out 5m (Run at Doomben)

1st – Unencumbered – SP$4.60 57kg BR1 – 5th up, 2 weeks, 1st Magic Millions 2yo 1100m Wyong

2nd – Stroak – SP$21 55kg BR4 – 3rd up, 3 weeks, 1st 2yo handicap 1200m Doomben

3rd – Sagatona – SP$21 55kg BR5 – 3rd up, 1 week, 4th 2yo handicap 1100m Doomben


2012 – Good 3, Rail True (Run at Doomben)

1st – Missy Longstocking – SP$4.80 55kg BR6 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 1st Listed Calaway Gal 1000m Eagle Farm

2nd – Sweet Idea – SP$6 55kg BR8 – 3rd up, 8 weeks, 2nd 2yo handicap 1100m Rosehill Gardens

3rd – Architect – SP$61 57kg BR12 – 5th up, 3 weeks, 2nd 2yo handicap 1200m Eagle Farm

 

2011 – Good 3, Rail out 4m (Run at Doomben)

1st – Driefontein – SP$2.90 54kg BR4 – 2nd up, 8 weeks, 1st 2yo handicap 1000m Randwick

2nd – Sizzling – SP$3.10 56kg BR12 – 3rd up, 2 weeks, 2nd Listed Phelan Ready Stakes 1000m Eagle Farm

3rd – Snipzu – SP$6 54kg BR2 – 5th up, 2 weeks, 3rd Listed Calaway Gal 1000m Eagle Farm

 

2010 – Heavy 10, Rail out 3m (Run at Doomben)

1st – Military Grace – SP$5 54kg BR12 – 3rd up, 2 weeks, 1st Listed Calaway Gal 1000m Eagle Farm

2nd – Wonderful You – SP$4.60 56kg BR2 – 3rd up, 2 weeks, 5th Listed Phelan Ready Stakes 1000m Eagle Farm

3rd – Merryanna – SP$61 54kg BR4 – 4th up, 2 weeks, fell Listed Calaway Gal 1000m Eagle Farm

 

Major Players

1. Sundance: Heavily supported from $4 to $2.70 and won by close to five lengths in Listed 1050m Phelan Ready Stakes at Doomben last start. The time of 1:02.04 was a touch slower than Zelady’s Night Out (1:01.99) on the corresponding program.

3. Nikitas: Has the benefit of already winning at the distance when cruising to five length win on debut in open two-year-old event at Doomben back on December 5. He showed brilliant speed from a wide barrier and just kept running.

4. Detective: SCRATCHED

7. Zelady’s Night Out: Two starts for two very impressive wins over 1050m on rain affected surfaces. Expect that she will once again show speed and be prominent in the run but 1200m can be a different beast for juveniles tackling the distance for the first time.

11. Slumber Party: Placed third on debut in Listed Gimcrack Stakes behind Calliope at Randwick before being given short break. Gai Waterhouse loves to target this race with horses she believes are capable of winning the Magic Millions Classic. Trialled very sharp over 900m at Rosehill, winning easily in a time that was quicker than Capitalist and Extreme Choice.

12. Sugarparma: Started favourite on debut at the Gold Coast in a 900m maiden and warmed up nicely late to score a comfortable win on the soft conditions. Her racing style suggests a rise in distance would be of benefit.

 

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY – WIN – Detective for 10 units

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Slumber Party to 2 units

 

R8 Vo Rogue Plate 1300m

Speed Map

Vo Rogue Plate

 

Race Profile

  • Only 1 place getter in last 5 years had previous run outside of Queensland
  • 0 of past 5 years have been SP favourite
  • 4 of past 5 winners had previous run at 1200m

 

Previous Race Winners & Lead-Up Result

 

2014 – Soft 7, Rail True (Run at Gold Coast)

1st – Mywayorthehighway – SP$81 55kg BR11 – 2nd up, 3 weeks, 1st maiden 1000m Sunshine Coast

2nd – Hijack Hussy – SP$2.60 55kg BR9 – 6th up, 3 weeks, 3rd Listed George Moore Stakes 1200m Doomben

3rd – Worth Cause – SP$26 57kg BR12 – 2nd up, 2 weeks, 4th 3yo handicap 1000m Sunshine Coast

 

2013 Good 3, Rail out 5m (Run at Doomben)

1st – Enquare – SP$4.80 55kg BR10 – 3rd up, 3 weeks, 1st Listed Mode Stakes 1200m Doomben

2nd – Gundy Spirit – SP$13 57kg BR7 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 3rd Listed Gold Edition Stakes 1200m Doomben

3rd – Missy Longstocking – SP$2.70 55kg BR5 – 5th up, 3 weeks, 3rd Listed Mode Stakes 1200m Doomben

 

2012 Good 3, Rail True (Run at Doomben)

1st – Lucky Hussler – SP$12 57kg BR4 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 4th Listed Gold Edition Stakes 1200m Eagle Farm

2nd – Sizzling – SP$1.45 57kg BR5 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 1st Listed Gold Edition Stakes 1200m Eagle Farm

3rd – Heza Jetsetter – SP$17 57kg BR7 – 6th up, 3 weeks, 1st 3yo handicap 1600m Sunshine Coast

 

2011 Good 3, Rail out 4m (Run at Doomben)

1st – Punch On – SP$9 54kg BR14 – 2nd up, 3 weeks, 2nd Listed Mode Plate 1200m Doomben

2nd – Noisy Ocean – SP$51 56kg BR9 – 3rd up, 2 weeks, 8th class 4 1200m Sunshine Coast

3rd – Lucky Morna – SP$31 54kg BR15 – 2nd up, 3 weeks, 6th Listed Mode Plate 1200m Doomben

 

2010 – Heavy 10, Rail out 3m (Run at Doomben)

1st – Benny’s Buttons – SP$11 56kg BR5 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 6th Listed Gold Edition Stakes 1200m Doomben

2nd – Falino – SP$3.80 56kg BR3 – 5th up, 2 weeks, 1st 3yo BM75 1200m Rosehill Gardens

3rd – Mossriver – SP$6.50 54kg BR4 – 3rd up, 2 weeks, 1st C3 1100m Sunshine Coast

 

Major Players

2. Dram Of Read Settled off the speed and surged to the line to defeat Sold For Song, who subsequently won the Listed Gold Edition Stakes, last start. Since had month break with tidy barrier trial at the Gold Coast 11 days ago with Jeff Lloyd in the saddle. Draw likely to force connections hand to go back and look for cover.

7. Perfect Dare Narrowly beaten in Sydney at past two starts when looked the winner behind Torgersen and We’re Sure. Drawn perfect to get a soft run on the fence just behind the expected strong speed. Rises significantly in weight after carrying only 53.5kg and 54kg at previous two starts 

8. Privlaka Worked forward over 1200m and was gunned down by Sold For Song in the Listed Gold Edition Stakes last start. Expected to get a cosy run in transit from favourable barrier draw and can certainly be right in the finish at this track.

11. Single Gaze Horrendous draw and will need luck but has the runs on the board at a higher level than many rivals here. She finished third in the Magic Millions Classic before being beaten only three lengths in the Golden Slipper. Produced a smart run against older mares first-up at Randwick and could surprise here at decent odds if the cards fall her way in the run.

12. Madotti Inside draw a huge favour in this field as she should find a nice position without spending any energy in the early stages. Proved in the Magic Millions Classic when finishing fourth that she is capable at this level.

14. Sold For Song – SCRATCHED

15. Egyptian Symbol Had her colours lowered for the first time behind the very smart Flippant last start in the Magic Millions three and four-year-old race at Wyong. She was caught wide on that occasion and is likely to need luck again from her awkward barrier. Glyn Schofield returns to the saddle and there is no doubting this filly has top class ability.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK – WIN – Egyptian Symbol for 3 units at $4 or better

 

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