Gloucester Park, Friday 3rd June 2016: The Harness Pro – Diamond Classic

Track: Gloucester Park

Length of Home Straight: 143m

Circumference: 804.50m

There IS NOT a sprint lane.

 

R7 Del Basso Smallgoods Diamond Classic – 1730m Mobile Start

Past Winners

2015 – Bethany Aitch

2014 – Tricky Styx

2013 – Highest Royalty

2012 – Eagle Rox

2011 – Sensational Gabby

Speed Map

Gloucester Park is always fun – a small track without a sprint lane means it can be “on for young and old” so to speak. I’m Stylish should have no problems kicking through and leading, with three stablemates off the front row it’s doubtful that anything will cross her. Mint Edition has speed so she shouldn’t have any trouble in finding the leader’s back, she doesn’t look a realistic winning chance but if the speed is on, she will have the easy rails run and can fall into third. Red Hot Roxy may challenge for the lead and Hall is as good as any at getting them off the gate.

The other main dangers in the betting to the pole marker are drawn out the back, and over the mile they will have to get going early. Angel Bromac may get ahead of Beach Goddess early and get to the breeze first, and over the 1730m it is hard to see her handing up that position, especially after how well she went last week on debut. Beach Goddess is most likely to be posted wide for the journey.

Major Players

There are only four main players in the race and the market will probably show that. Two drawn well off the front line and two off the back line. All four were heat winners and all four were < $1.20 in the betting in winning those heats. Looks a huge task for anything else to win.

1. I’m Stylish: The barrier draw really has fallen in her favour drawing the pole and her main rivals in the betting off the back line. She should have no problem finding the front, so long as she can hold out the three horse she should be able to dictate the first half until the other fancied runners more than likely make their moves to the breeze. She’s done enough to be the solid favourite for this and looks very hard to beat but at the price I won’t be all in.

3. Red Hot Roxy: Super start to her career, Gary Hall Junior may stoke her up in the preliminaries and have a dip for the lead here, it looks the only way she will be able to win. Otherwise she is going to have to sit parked, or wait for the other fancies off the back row to come to the breeze, shuffling her out of contention. Lots of decisions to be made in the run, the right man steering for the job.

11. Beach Goddess: She was at un-backable odds in her easy heat victory, on that occasion she led and had an easy time of it. With Red Hot Roxy likely to come off the arm and the two stablemates to one, it’s possible that she may get dragged back early, enabling the horse drawn to her outside to roll forward first and go for the death seat. She may have to be three wide without cover for the majority of the race. Impossible to see her doing this much work and still being there at the finish. She has raced the favourite I’m Stylish before from a more favourable draw and been beaten on her merits, making it hard to see a form reversal.

12. Angel Bromac: She was great on debut winning her heat when she ambled to the front, controlled the race and got home in a decent 57.3 to win comfortably. Has the horror draw to contend with over the mile here, but she should be the first moving three wide and if she gets to the breeze quick enough, the spot should be hers. Obviously has untapped ability and looks the value in the race.

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Angel Bromac (12) > $1.20 for 1 units

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Angel Bromac (12) >$2.00 for 4 units

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Mint Edition (10) >$4.00 for 1 unit