Feature Race Reports: Flemington, Saturday 18th March 2017

Current Track Rating: Good 4

Rail: Out 3m

Weather Forecast: www.bom.com.au

Friday 17th – Max 24c. Becoming Sunny

Saturday 18th – Max 31c. Sunny

R4 Tbv Thoroughbred Breeders Stks G3 2000m 2YO F SWP

Speed Map

(Note: Blue – Back, Best Profile/Value; Pink – Lay, Worst Profile/Value)

Gear Changes

#7 Peristrophe – Blinkers first time.

Race Comment

An open race with no particular lead–up race being dominant amongst past winners. We can see that runners with provincial races as their lead–up, have not been sighted in the winners or place getters over the last four years. Arctic Angel is the clear top pick based on overall benchmarks, but may have a chink in her armour at the end of a 1200m race. Should this ‘chink’ become exposed late in the race, Time Awaits has the Last 600m benchmark to b the one finishing over the top of her.

Confidence Level: Medium

Bet Recommendations

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Arctic Angel

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Time Awaits

R5 Incognitus Blamey Stakes G2 1600m 3YO+ SWP

Speed Map

(Note: Blue – Back, Best Profile/Value; Pink – Lay, Worst Profile/Value)

Gear Changes

#4 Sir Isaac Newton – Approved race plates front off first time, approved race plates hind off first time, bits off first time, cross over noseband off first time, gelded .; #7 Harlem – Lugging bit first time.

Race Comment

A really good edition of the Gr 2 Blamey Stakes probably deserved of Group 1 status this year. Two key factors come out of profiling the previous years races. 1. Key Lead up race being the Futurity Stakes. 2. The horse that’s best weighted from the right race. The moons align for Tosen Stardum here coming from the Futurity Stakes where it was nosed out by Black Heart Bart but meets the WFA star 4kgs better here. It will improve in fitness on that run (on route to the Doncaster and QE) and will also improve to 1600m. Not the mention the map which will heavily be in its favour. Strong Bet.

Confidence Level: High

Bet Recommendations

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Tosen Stardom

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