Champion Bets NZ Racing: Riccarton Park, Saturday 5th November 2016 – G1 2000 Guineas

Posted: November 4, 2016 at 11:38 am

Champion_Bets

Current Track Rating: Dead 4 or Good 3 (By Saturday Afternoon)

Rail: TBA

Weather Forecast: www.metservice.com

Friday 4th – Max 16, Mostly sunny with a few showers developing in the evening

Saturday 5th – May 18, Mainly fine with a risk of a shower in the afternoon

 

R7 2000 Guineas G1 3YO SW 1600m

Speed Map

Tempo: Looks solid with 3-4 possible leaders

Major Players 

1. Heroic Valour: His Ashburton run was disappointing last start would need to find a few lengths on that to be competitive, Matthew Cameron opts for the stablemate which is a good lead.

2. Ugo Foscolo, 3. Mongolian Falcon & 5. Wyndspelle: All came out of the Sarten Memorial Stakes at Te Rapa last time and I don’t think there is much between the three with riding tactics and barriers deciding the outcome of that race. All three are winning chances with Mongolian Falcon the shortest of the three and no value at $3.00.

4. Hall of Fame: Matthew Cameron on is the guide needed from the Te Akau team. Hall Of Fame has been beating up average fields but running good time. The only real contender with Riccarton experience and will be on pace and out of trouble.

6. Cha Siu Bau: Soft wins at his last two in weaker company but did it easy. Obviously needs improvement which is likely so rates as a strong chance.

8. Jon Snow: Hard to get a line on this bloke, only one start as a 3yo and that was on a slow track. The money did come that day and Opie Bosson’s first ride back from Hong Kong for Murray Baker and Andrew Forsman rings alarm bells at double figure odds.

9. Oreillys Choice: Runs closing sectionals of a good horse but is always giving away a big start, if the go crazy up front could surprise but will need a split having drawn inside.

 

 

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Mongolian Falcon – 10 units at $3 or less.

 

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