Champion Bets: Adelaide Ratings – Morphettville, Saturday August 13 2016


Race Comments, Ratings and Betting Strategy across the entire card at Morphettville.

Morphetville Markets R1 – 8

Champion Bets Morphettville Full Card Analysis

R1 Morphettville | 1000m | 12:28pm

Race Summary

Rail back normal today. Doubt that they’ll be heading for the outside rail today. SUPER FUN looks the leader. ALABAMA MISSILE had blinkers off last start and wasn’t ridden up and went OK so assume same tactics here. BAY ROAD may go forward and sit second. $7 BRIMARVI PRINCE will get me and or $9 Alabama missile. Doubtful we’ll be betting.

R2 Morphettville | 3200m | 1:03pm

Race Summary

Hurdle…Will just pass.

R3 Morphettville | 1550| 1:38pm

Race Summary

OUR EXCHANGE will lead and looks to control the race. Only runner I doubt could win is FLOW METER. Terribly weighted in my opinion. Who knows what REFULGENT will do? VICTORY DOWNS won well here two runs back and was plain over the mile last start. OUR EXCHANGE had all the favours last start but probably will again here. Only interested in backing VICTORY DOWNS if $5 or better. Not backing anything else.

R4 Morphettville | 1300m | 2:18pm

Race Summary

Think NICOISE may lead. ARROW LANE ran a much improved race last start and with the claim should be hard to beat. Thought MUSTARRID trialled very well. Having its first start in a race over 1300m but think it will run well. Only really interested in backing ARROW LANE at $3.80 or better and still happy to at least be saving MUSTARRID at the $5. If it is $6.50 or better i will be having normal stake on it.

R5 Morphettville | 1950m | 2:58pm

Race Summary

Distance race and not really interested. Prices a guide for quaddies etc. I won’t be betting.

R6 Morphettville | 1000m | 3:38pm

Race Summary

CLASSY JACK, IXCATAN, KINGSGROVE and NORDIC ECLIPSE all should go forward. If NORDIC ECLIPSE jumps well and gets across to no worse than two wide think it has a good chance. Has had a trial and gets in 1.5kg under the minimum after the booking of Poon. WINGARD’S MARK won its maiden well but tends to lay in and found the rail last start which helped. It will be running on hard. WAR THUNDER returned a career high rating last start. If E Boyd gives it every chance it can win. Only runners I am interested in backing are NORDIC ECLIPSE at $9 or better WAR THUNDER at $6 or better and WINGARD’S MARK if it gets out to $11 or better. Happy to pass on DANUKI. Wont be backing anything else.

R7 Morphettville | 1300m | 4:18pm

Race Summary

Think LUCKY FLIPPER may lead and REDEEM BOUNTY could sit second. Doubt they’ll go too quickly. REDEEM BOUNTY was fair first up off a trial. Would have preferred it to have had one more run but its form here is very good. Happy to be on it at $6 or better. DOUBLE POCKETS is hard to catch but its from here over similar trips is good. Will be saving it at least and normal stake if get to $14 or better. Will be saving COUNTER SPIN if it gets to my price.

R8 Morphettville | 1400m | 4:56pm

Race Summary

Think GO THE JOURNEY will go straight to the front and be hard to beat. Maybe ARCTIC SONG sits second. Happy to forgive GO THE JOURNEY its last run where it didn’t have the best of luck. Happy to be on GO THE JOURNEY at $4.50 or better. Will only be saving ARCTIC SONG at best and happy to be on MARCO POLO at $15 or better and anything else that is close to a 50% overlay.

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