#BSPIndex: Caulfield, Saturday August 27 2016

Posted: August 27, 2016
BSP Index

Betfair punters are able to diversify their betting with the Betfair Starting Price Index. Instead of simply Backing & Laying runners in a race, traders can Back & Lay on the BSP Index Market allowing them to take a position on the aggregate BSP value of all winners.

What is a ‘Betfair Starting Price Index’?

A BSP Index is the aggregate value of the BSP (Betfair Starting Price) of all winners over a pre-determined number of races. For example, the BSP Index at a 9 Race Card at Flemington would be the combined number of all 9 BSP winner prices after the end of the last race.

 

#BSPIndex Today at Caulfield

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Tips From The Experts

Daniel O’Sullivan – @TRBHorseRacing

UNDER 95.5 – “The first half of the program looks less likely than the last few races to provide double figure upsets. Even if the heavily favoured runners get rolled early, their conquerors still look likely to be well fancied in the market. For that reason I’m keen on the under 95.5 line as a strong starting position. I’ll be looking to play that early and see the price shorten from race to race until we get into the last half of the program. I’ll then be assessing for opportunities to trade the “overs” at a much longer price and lock in a profit.”

The Profits – @TheProfitsComAu

UNDER 95.5 – “Expecting the track to significantly favour the leaders today and that just so happens to play well into the BSP Unders. We should be going into the 4th race of the day with a BSP of $20 or less with an average of around $11 BSP expected from here, even with several short favourites on the card. This number accounts for the Memsie where i’m expecting a BSP of closer to $20. If results go our way, we should find a strong hedging position after Race 6 heading into the three races we believe will record the highest BSP numbers of the day.”

Betfair Insider

The Betfair Insider – @Betfair_Aus

UNDER 95.5 – “Leotie appears a standout in the first, but from there I’m keen lay the early market favourites in races two, three and four and five. That said I think the dangers in those races will provide single figure odds winners (2nd or 3rd favourites in market order). Highland Beat profiles well in the McNeil and I feel the Memsie Stakes is the race to expect a double figure result (possibly between $10-$26) with Black Heart Bart more likely to have a BSP of $4.00 or more. The Heatherlie looks set to be dominated by the those hardest in the market and in the final race I lean towards 1,3,5,13,14 & 15. The ‘Overs’ looks in for a tough day unless the Memsie can produce an upset result… I’m siding with the Unders… Just.”

Bookies Bag

Jonathan Walsh – @VicBookmaker 

UNDER 95.5  – “After viewing the program my initial thoughts are that a total of 95.5+ for The Memsie card is generous. The line does provide for a great trade opportunity but consideration has to be taken of the real possibility of a blowout result. I view races 1,2,6 and 9 as ‘skinny races’ which are unlikely to add much to the total. Race 3 is open and could throw a rough winner but I think the day will hinge on Black Heart Bart.  It’s no secret that the stable rate Black Heart Bart and if he wins the “unders” will be in the box seat. The Memsie does have class horses with some unknown levels of fitness 1st up, a big swooping run from Prince of Penzance or Tally could finish BSP line betting in one race. My position for the day is favouring the unders with a view to trade throughout the program for a ‘green book’.

Trevor Lawson – @championpicks

UNDER 95.5 – “Leotie looks hard to beat in the first. Prince Of Brooklyn is a lay in race two, but the other chances are all single figure odds. Race three is a knockout race with a blowout likely. Camdus will be hard to beat, but wide of him there’s genuine value. Under The Louvre looks a risk but his dangers are well in market. We’ve rated Black Heart Bart close to his early market price and the Heatherlie looks to be between the first few in the market.”

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