The Betfair Insider’s Harness Ratings: Cranbourne, Thursday November 10 2016

Posted: November 10, 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Cranbourne.

Cranbourne Markets R1 – 8

R1 Decron Pace | 20806:22pm

Donaricca is first up from a long break for Brendan Said – has trialled well and performed well in the past. Will be able to secure a gun spot from the pole. Main danger Hes Going Places has drawn outside the back row, and around Cranbourne, that will make it difficult.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
1. Donaricca $2.36
11. Hes Going Places $4.40
5. Fremarks Ellie $13.00
6. Feel The Rhythm $13.00
10. Pats Legacy $19.50
2. Jackmichaels $24.00
9. Justalilbitgreek $24.00
4. Caesars Astrum $50.00
7. Rhyflective $50.00
3. Sudden Explosion $250.00
8. Interuptus $250.00

Betting Strategy 

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Hes Going Places

R2 – Mark Gurry & Associates Pace | 16096:49pm

Some early speed across the front here. Big Boy Blue will try and hold up or at the very least be behind the leader. He has trialled Ok of late but his numerical form (09888) is awful. Glen Alpine Drive, Ocean Bay and Ears Ponder can all show speed so it may be an interesting first 400m.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
1.  Big Boy Blue $2.38
4. Ocean Bay $4.30
2. Glen Alpine Drive $13.00
7. Ears Ponder $15.50
8. Sopranos Fury $15.50
3. Sammy Seelster $23.00
5. Break A Wrist $23.00
6. No Corsetnocaboose $23.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Ocean Bay

R3 Seelite Windows & Doors 3yo Pace | 2080| 7:18pm

Soho Savannah is first up after an unsuccessful Bathurst Tiara campaign where she started in the market in a good race. Might be able to cross here. Concentration has trialled well in preparation for this. Playlist is flying and going for three in a row however has drawn poorly in seven.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
3. Soho Savannah $3.05
7. Playlist $3.05
5. Concentration $4.20
2. Fourbeatz $30.00
8. Blissful Stride $50.00
1. Shilah $50.00
4. Murpholous $70.00
6. Fremarksgonzo $110.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Soho Savannah

R4 Aldebaran Park Trot | 2080| 7:48pm

Sky Me A River was too good after taking a trail last week.  Can do it tough or surge forward and looks the one to beat. Aldebaran Ten has won 6 from 25 and would be nearly top pick with a better draw. Surprised if the winner doesn’t come from those two.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
4. Sky Me A River $1.99
8. Aldebaran Ten $3.80
3. Ghent $7.40
2. Rhyme Nor Rhythm $32.00
6. Express Yourself $32.00
5. Supplements $75.00
1. Innocent Fling $120.00
7. Barbra Jean $270.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Sky Me A River

R5 Mypunter.com Pace | 1609| 8:18pm

Good speed from the inside duo here with Bellas Jet and Bubbling Gypsy both keen to assert the upper hand on each other. Little Bit Sassy gets a soft run behind them and was an unbelievable win last time before being sent to the paddock. Even race, happy to look for value here.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
2. Bubbling Gypsy $3.60
1. Bellas Jet $5.00
6. Im The Boss $6.60
8. Little Bit Sassy $6.60
9. Regal Lager $12.00
4. Village Safari $15.50
3. Queen Of Kings $19.00
10. Tenfour $110.00
7. Feel The Buzz $250.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Bubbling Gypsy

R6 Hyland Harness Colous Pace | 2080| 8:48pm

Egyptian Art can elect to show some speed here or get a nice trail. Monterey Jack has shown speed at times, and with Neil McCallum on board you can expect him to go forward. Millwood Brandy is the other horse that may look to go forward with Caldow in the gig however it is first up and was going back at its last few runs. Run Myles Run has ability but will struggle from the draw.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
1. Egyptian Art $3.80
2. Monterey Jack $3.80
4. Mister Rufus $7.40
5. Millwood Brandy $7.40
3. Macdawn $15.00
7. Run Myles Run $15.00
9. Major Charge $36.00
8. Hidden Promise $46.00
6. Officially Perfect $110.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Monterey Jack

R7 Blue Hills Rise Pace | 2080| 9:18pm

Spot Ona Shadow has good speed and can lead here. Fire Up Franco could be the other horse to come out running or even Major Laugh if King can stoke him up. The Gingerbreadman is probably the best horse in a tough race, but is first up in a decent field.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
6. Fire Up Franco $2.90
2. Spot Ona Shadow $3.60
3. The Gingerbreadman $5.80
4. Bushrod $15.00
7. Major Laugh $15.00
5. Grins Rendition $28.00
1. Anvil Gav $35.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Fire Up Franco

R7 Blue Hills Rise Pace | 2080| 9:18pm

Spot Ona Shadow has good speed and can lead here. Fire Up Franco could be the other horse to come out running or even Major Laugh if King can stoke him up. The Gingerbreadman is probably the best horse in a tough race, but is first up in a decent field.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
6. Fire Up Franco $2.90
2. Spot Ona Shadow $3.60
3. The Gingerbreadman $5.80
4. Bushrod $15.00
7. Major Laugh $15.00
5. Grins Rendition $28.00
1. Anvil Gav $35.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Fire Up Franco

R8 Hygain Pace | 1609| 9:48pm

It’s a low race to finish here, hopefully this isn’t your “get-out stakes”. Royal Canvas and Eljulio are the speed horses. Cullen Regent was the best horse but is out of form. That being said, the Puppet Chris Alford is on board and he can do anything.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
2. Royal Canvas $4.20
3. Eljulio $4.20
1. Sheezawingate $6.40
8. Cullen Regent $6.40
6. Stuart $7.80
7. Greenough $21.00
5. Frosty Union $44.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Royal Canvas

Related Articles