The Betfair Insider’s Harness Ratings: Ballarat, Friday November 4 2016

Posted: November 4, 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Ballarat.

Ballarat Markets R1 – 9

R1 Bray Raceway 50 Year Anniversary Pace Final | 1710m 6:40pm

Some early speed here with Jackjess and Lisandros both liking to lead which should give Shezaseven a nice run from Barrier 3 who is chasing a hat-trick here. Macdawn will get a nice run two or three pegs but not sure it’s going well enough to win.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
3. Shezaseven $2.22
1. Jackjess $5.90
4. Impressive Guy $11.00
2. Surreal Dreamer $15.50
10. In A Rose Tattoo $19.00
5. Lisandros $23.00
6. Metro Princess $23.00
8. Macdawn $38.00
11. Kai Star Fella $38.00
9. Cosmopolitan Way $48.00

Betting Strategy 

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Shezaseven

R2 Laser Electrical Ballarat Automation Pace Final | 1710| 7:10pm

Katsina is a tough horse to map – depending on who drives it. It can go forward or back but here at Ballarat with no sprint lane and Jason Lee on board you would expect he will be trying to lead. The only real danger – Top The Ace has drawn the back row so you would imagine Lee would want to find as much space between them early as possible. Gunbalunya can do work and Tiza Nightmare can place although with a 33-0-0-6 record, you would imagine it will struggle to win.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
4. Katsina $2.38
9. Top The Ace $2.52
10. Gunbalunya $21.00
11. Black Magic Mara $32.00
1. Tiza Nightmare $40.00
2. Fremarks Ellie $55.00
3. Pats Legacy $55.00
6. Kathys Son $70.00
7. Tobi John $90.00
8. Polandie $260.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Katsina

R3 Regional Compressors & Pneumatics Vicbred Trot |1710| 7:40pm

Back to the mobile here – Our Elvis may go forward as he did at his only victory – in 2014! This talented trotter has obviously had problems – a year off before resumed last time when $3.10 favourite in a decent race but galloped from the tapes. Sky Me A River who is the main danger has drawn well and the race to the first turn may prove vital here.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
4. Our Elvis $2.55
1. Sky Me A River $2.96
2. Straps $19.50
7. Enticing Smile $19.50
5. Rhyme Not Rhythm $24.00
8. Declan Henry $24.00
6. Scottish Sardius $38.00
9. The Blue Valiant $50.00
11. Bella Fenton $50.00
10. Mick Dundo $110.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Our Elvis

R4 Laser Electrical Ballarat 24 Hour Service Pace | 2220| 8:10pm

Not the quickest front line here – short favourite Ample Power will no doubt go forward at some stage with Alford on board. Valentina Brave is a better sit-sprinter and with Ridis in the gig will no doubt be driven for luck.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. Ample Power $1.50
5. Valentina Brave $4.80
2. Nickys Idol $17.00
3. Okeleho Lad $26.00
8. Larisas Advice $55.00
7. All Honour $500.00
1. Noble Vision $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Valentina Brave

R5 Laser Electrical Ballarat Industrial Pace 2200m | 8:40pm

Top clash coming up here with two stars in Don’t Hold Back and Cruz Bromac. Keep On Rocking who will be third pick is a decent horse too and will get a nice run. Want to take on Don’t Hold Back here – I am a fan but this horse goes better without Mario Attard driving it. Cruz Bromac has a bit of “X factor” about it – this could be his season. Miss Metro Glen is a place chance with a soft run.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
9. Cruz Bromac $2.16
6. Don’t Hold Back $3.50
1. Keep On Rocking $6.50
5. Our Jabari $40.00
8. Miss Metro Glen $40.00
3. Bernie Winkle $120.00
4. Johns Grin $120.00
7. Justbritell $120.00
10. Metrofromelle $120.00
2. Just Call Me Mac $260.00
12. Chirpy Chuckles $590.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Cruz Bromac

R6 Laser Electrical Ballarat Engineering Pace | 1710m | 9:10pm

Tough race – Swiftly Tothebeach has good speed and should be able to cross over. Bull Market can be a hard horse to steer and Emma Stewart has given that job to Jackie Barker tonight. It has immense ability and on that alone it goes on top. Shadow Of Fortune can improve back in Vic here. Can’t see the second row getting into the race here.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
5. Bull Market $2.48
4. Swiftly Tothebeach $8.80
2. Shadow Of Fortune $8.80
1. Ithappensinvegas $32.00
8. Tearitup $40.00
10. Spot Ona Shadow $50.00
9. Reeds May $70.00
11. Jialiner $70.00
6. Im Lonely $120.00
3. Black Cougar $580.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Bull Market

R7 Cooke & Foley Accountants Trotters Handicap | 2200m | 9:40pm

Tough to predict a speed map on a Trotters standing start event. The best horses have handicaps so will need to make a move at some stage.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
8. Little Lucy $4.10
11. Gaelic Lass $6.20
6. Spud $7.80
9. Argyle Melody $7.80
12. Dora Pepperell $7.80
13. Stunning Jasper $14.50
2. Tella Tall Tale $27.00
1. Playboys Dream $45.00
3. Majestic Mirage $45.00
5. Makarewa Monarch $45.00
10. Defence Got Jumped $45.00
4. Kit Keller $500.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Delta Safari

R8 South West Diesel & Mechanical 3yo Pace | 2200m | 10:10pm

Knight Sky Safari, Soho Leviathan, Phoenix Prince and Mista Lombo have all led at recent starts so there should be some good early speed. This could suit a horse like Keayang Da Vinci who could let it all unfold early.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
5. Phoenix Prince $1.82
6. Keeyang Da Vinci $6.40
3. Soho Leviathan $9.00
7. Mista Lombo $12.00
2. Makoa $21.00
4. Rosanna Raider $42.00
1. Knight Sky Safari $90.00
8. Blissfull Stride $12.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Phoenix Prince

R9 Flying Horse Bistro 3yo Trotters Handicap | 2200m | 10:39pm

Hope you are not relying on this event to “get out” tonight. 3yo trotters that have had limited experience is tough. First starters Garshaway and No Republic have trialled well. Magic Owens gets a driver change and was in the market before galloping last time.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
4. Garshaway $2.96
2. Breezin Around $4.50
6. Magic Owens $6.80
7. No Replublic $6.80
1. El Swavo $16.00
3. Showemyourmuscles $24.00
5. Armchair Drive $30.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Delta Safari

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