Richmond

Race 1 Maiden Final 

#4 Miss Utah

She’s been most unlucky in her recent starts over this trip. Last start finding trouble, continually bumped into the first turn last week and then when making ground down the back she received another heavy check. Unlucky to miss a placing and can atone here.

Betting Strategy

  BACK (WIN) Miss Utah on the Betfair SP

Geelong

Race 1 P &R Food Services

#3 Nukstar

This chaser has been prone to finding trouble in recent starts. He’s been missing the start in recent runs and may get shuffled back early. There are plenty of question marks over some other chasers who are capable of improvement and he is likely to be over bet. In his most recent run at Ballarat, he appeared to tire over the concluding stages over 450 metres. The 460m here at Geelong is a tough circuit and I am banking on him not being able to run the journey.

Betting Strategy

  LAY (WIN) Nukstar on the Betfair SP