The Betfair Insider: Rosehill, Saturday 27th August 2016 – Premiers Cup

Posted: August 25, 2016 at 5:31 pm

Current Track Rating: Heavy 9

Rail: True

Weather Forecast: www.bom.gov.au

Friday 26th – Max 16°C: 80% chance of rain (1-5mm)

Saturday 27th – Max 19°C: 40% chance of rain (0-1mm)

 

R8 Premiers Cup Quality 3YO+ 1900m Group 3  

Speed Map

Race Profile

  • 2 of past 5 winners have come via the Spring Preview
  • 2 of past 5 winners have been imports in their first prep in Australia
  • 5 of past 5 winners raced within 3 weeks
  • 4 of past 5 winners had a starting price of $5.50 or less

 

Previous Winners & Lead Up Result

Rail True Soft 6

1st Magic Hurricane – BR 4 54KG SP $3.60 – 4th up, 2 weeks, 3rd Spring Preview OPEN 1400m Rosehill

Rail +6m Heavy 9

1st Greatwood – BR 1 54KG SP $5.50 –  2nd up, 2 weeks, 3rd Spring Preview OPEN 1400m Rosehill

Rail +6m Good 3

1st Less is More – BR 8 54.5KG SP $3.80 – 6th up, 2 weeks, 2nd Premiers Prelude Open 1800m Rosehill

Glencadam Gold –BR 1 54KG SP $2.80 – 2nd up, 3 weeks, 1st 1MW HCP 1550m Canterbury

Break Card – BR 11 53KG SP $15 – 10th up, 3 weeks, 3rd NM90 1500m Rosehill

Major Players 

1. Magic Hurricane: Just a fair return first up and although he won this race second up last year it was off a much shorter spell compared to this year. He rises in weight from his win and will look past him today.

3. Allergic: Won the Premiers Prelude in good style when slightly underdone. Is now third up and is sure to have come on from the run and will be in the finish.  

4. Ruling Dynasty: A dynamic return at Rosehill before racing dour second up as can be expected. Third up is sure to peak but is yet untested on a heavy track despite being bred to handle it.

5. Sacred Master: Hampered straightening and vetted when 5.5L behind Allergic in the Prelude. Third up will come right on with it and looks most advantaged by the heavy rated surface.

6. Singing: Although well backed during the week, Singing was completely unwanted in betting race day at his last start. He was only run down on the line by a Canterbury specialist in Song And Laughter. With that run under his belt he looks ideally placed dropping 4kg from that run and gets a positive jockey change in Kerrin McEvoy. As the import second up I’m confident he’s the horse to beat.

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Singing – 5 units at $4 or more.

** Speed Maps courtesy of www.racingandsports.com.au

 

Good Luck Backing & Laying.

The Betfair Insider

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