The Betfair Insider Ratings: Pakenham, Thursday November 10 2016

Posted: November 10, 2016 at 11:03 am

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Pakenham.

Pakenham Markets R1 – 8

R1 Lion Mdn Plate | 1200m | 6:00pm

Take a Selfie comes off a strong finishing effort when second at Mornington over 1000m on debut with clearly the best rating of the raced horses here. The step up to 1200m looks suitable and she won’t be too far off them in the small field.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
7. Take A Selfie $2.20
6. Nova Rocha $4.60
8. Zafeera $7.00
1. Bettys Thrills $14.00
2. Little Bita Sass $16.00
5. Miss Pickle $23.00
3. Love In The City $41.00

Best Profile

R2 Star News Group Mdn Plate | 1400m | 6:30pm

This is a very moderate race and Heavenly Descent bring standout ratings from her two runs so far when beaten less than two lengths in solid Maiden class races. She looks to have the speed to overcome a wide draw and with the right run in transit will be very hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
6. Heavenly Descent $2.50
10. Stryking Miss $7.50
4. Selfish Miss $8.00
1. Dame Largo $10.00
11. Sunita $13.00
5. Bellaria $14.00
2. Falika $26.00
7. Helmaski $26.00
3. Magic Springs $81.00
8. Miss Mumazara $81.00

Best Profile

R3 Nine Mile Fresh BM70 | 2000| 7:00pm

Palmera Lad has been racing in very solid form with close up efforts over this distance and ratings that are right in the winning zone. Thunder Connection is fresh off a 48-day break, but is a lightly raced stayer on the improve and certainly has the talent to win.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
4. Palmera Lad $3.60
9. Thunder Connection $4.00
3. King Of England $6.00
7. Mr Pago $8.00
6. Hezagoa $18.00
5. Lilly Dazzler $21.00
1. Zenithal $26.00
10. My Naughty Hoaks $31.00
2. Kapset $51.00
8. Rong Door Reggie $201.00
11. McNulty $201.00

Best Profile

R4 Battery Zone Mdn Plate | 2500m | 7:30pm

There’s plenty of genuine winning chances here in what looks a very even race. Presumption looks ready to step up to 2500m and could show improvement over that distance. Others in the assessment market are all racing in solid form with competitive ratings and with the right trip can certainly challenge to win. Tough race.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. Presumption $3.90
9. Aristocratic $4.40
5. Our Billy Boy $4.50
1. Corruption $6.50
4. Foraoise $13.00
11. The Banana Stand $16.00
2. Final Approval $251.00
3. Firefree $251.00
8. Septagon $251.00

R5 Racing.Com BM70 | 1200m | 8:20pm

Another super competitive race with a stack of winning chances. It’s hard to separate them with confidence.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. Roman Fizz $5.00
8. Little Bita Spunk $6.00
2. Canelo $7.00
3. Cordoba $7.00
1. Az Given $9.00
4. San Amaro $10.00
5. Stride Out $10.00
9. Corcovado $21.00
7. Black Chevalier $126.00

R6 Meluca Group BM70 | 1400m | 8:30pm

The top two stand out well clear of the others here. Emoji is very consistent, can race up on the pace and gets Callow riding, who despite limited opportunities is one of the best jocks riding in Victoria. Rewarding Effort had the flashing light on last start when running on strongly from well back. That performance is right up to winning this race.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
2. Emoji $2.90
6. Rewarding Effort $3.10
7. Valderrama $10.00
3. Kerauno $12.00
9. Lopartega $14.00
1. Ballinaclash $21.00
8. Ashlee Marie $41.00

Best Profile

R7 Officer Grain Store BM64 | 1600m | 9:00pm

All That I know was solid first up over 1400m at this track when third and looks much better suited stepping up to 1600m. Crafty Devil has been good in her last two making up ground against a slow pace bias. She also looks well suited up to 1600m.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
1. All That I Know $3.80
6. Crafty Devil $4.20
9. Mawhooba $6.50
8. Sugar Mummy $7.00
3. Cry If I Want To $14.00
4. Divinely Magic $15.00
2. Teoflyte $21.00
7. Liming $34.00
10. Santegic $201.00

Best Profile

R8 Sportsbet Racing Form HCP | 1200m | 9:30pm

The top two stand out well clear of the others here. Adalita ran a solid first up rating at this track and distance last start and has scope to improve, while Fire Agate comes off two solid runs with ratings that are right up to winning this. Both can race handy to the lead and will be very hard to run down.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
6. Adalita $2.40
1. Fire Agate $2.50
4. Silence A Crown $8.50
2. Lucky Rock $34.00
5. Tuff Bickie $41.00
9. Tupelo Boy $101.00
10. Bellefontein $151.00
7. Run For Raffin $201.00

Best Profile

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