The Betfair Insider Ratings: Pakenham, Thursday 27th October 2016

Posted: October 27, 2016 at 12:54 pm

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Pakenham.

Pakenham Markets R1 – 8

R1 Visit Club Officer Maiden Plate | 2500m 6:00pm

Arite Guru has shown good ratings improvement since he got out to 2400 2500  metres in his last two starts. He rates clearly on top of the opposition and is drawn for an ideal run, somewhere in the front half of the field.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
1. Arite Guru $2.30
2. Corruption $6.00
4. Emandems $9.00
8. Joseph $9.00
7. Foraoise $12.00
9. Rexmont $21.00
3. Duke Of Staghurst $26.00
5. Final Approval $151.00
6. Firefree $151.00
10. Septagon $151.00

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R2 XXXX Gold 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate | 1400m 6:30pm

This race has plenty of lightly raced improvers which presents some uncertainty. Soviet Secret was solid first up, but in her favour is significant scope to progress towards ratings that would win this race easily. The step up to 1400 metres looks suitable. It’s impossible to be confident, but she has to rate the horse to beat.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
11. Soviet Secret $2.60
4. Heavenly Descent $8.50
2. Cash Affair $10.00
13. Platinum Power $13.00
10. Saffron Sunset $15.00
12. Star Patriot $15.00
1. Abriola $17.00
9. Mojestic $31.00
14. Little Miss Toffee $31.00
5. Helmaski $151.00
8. Lady Marionette $151.00

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R3 John Duff & Co Maiden Plate | 1200m | 7:00pm

There’s a stack of uncertainty in this race with first starts and first uppers in the market. Doctor’s Mistress comes off a sound last start run at Cranbourne with ratings that could win this race. Equally, one of the others only need to have average maiden ability to match or beat her.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
8. Doctor’s Mistress $3.20
5. Erector $6.00
1. Barraaj $7.50
4. Critical Rhythm $11.00
6. Traffic Cop $11.00
10. Rock And Rose $12.00
12. Zaaresque $15.00
2. Baylen $31.00
7. Woke The Lion $67.00
13. Magic Springs $81.00

R4 Racing.com F&M BM64 Handicap | 1200m | 7:30pm

Fille Champagne was just fair in a G3 last start but drops significantly back in class here and has ratings in her previous two starts that are good enough to win this race. She’s certainly no good thing, but clearly rates as the horse to beat.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
9. Fille Champagne $3.00
8. Sallanches $6.00
6. Adalita $6.50
1. Penny Shares $12.00
2. Cullemmys Diamond $12.00
3. Teoflyte $14.00
4. Divinely Magic $14.00
5. Sweet Clementine $26.00
10. Taraji $151.00

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R5 Stables Plus PRC BM64 Handicap | 2500m | 8:00pm

Jovian has been very consistent in his last three runs, all returning ratings that are good enough to win this race. He should race up near the lead and looks very hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
4. Jovian $2.70
10. Beau Padrille $7.00
1. Delightful Son $8.50
2. The Ultimatum $10.00
3. The Tinker $11.00
8. Black Soul $14.00
6. Prospector $21.00
9. Dont Be Shy $501.00
11. Logovardi $51.00
12. Entirely Perfect $101.00

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R6 Weddings at PRC BM70 Handicap | 1200m | 8:30pm

World of Hope comes off a very solid third when first up at Mornington last start, with a rating that represents the best recent form in this race and has scope to improve towards even better figures from previous preparations.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
8. World Of Hope $3.80
3. Stringer Bell $4.60
4. I Bought A Horse $8.50
1. Beluga Caviar $10.00
5. Valderrama $10.00
7. Roman Fizz $10.00
6. Lopartega $16.00
9. Purrpussful $26.00
2. Totolo $41.00

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R7 Pakenhamracing.com.au BM70 Handicap | 1400m | 9:00pm

Kilmacurragh has shown above average talent in a limited career of three starts so far and resumes here over what looks an ideal 1400m, for a stable that excels with first up runners.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
9. Kilmacurragh $2.30
10. Lunar Spin $4.40
2. Gredington $11.00
5. Tintaglia $11.00
4. Shockaholic $18.00
3. Our Skeeta $26.00
8. Sir Nemo $26.00
7. Lannister $41.00
6. Ventic $51.00

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R8 Sportsbet Racing Form Class 1 Handicap | 1600m | 9:30pm

Barbies Boy was far from disgraced when beaten just 3.9 lengths in the G1 Caulfield Guineas and the rating from that run, along with his previous figures, put him clearly on top of this field. As long as the inside is holding up okay on the night, he looks very hard to beat. If the inside is off and they are swooping down the outside then I’d seriously reconsider.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
5. Barbies Boy $2.30
6. Electric Aura $8.00
2. Quedoutes $10.00
8. Fomo $14.00
10. Lola Lu $14.00
7. Midnight Warrior $15.00
9. Wichita Woman $21.00
3. Berserk $25.00
1. Rubme $26.00
4. Oscars Fight $51.00
12. Bonnard $251.00

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