The Betfair Insider Ratings: Pakenham, Thursday 17th November 2016

Posted: November 17, 2016

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Pakenham.

Pakenham Markets R1 – 8

R1 Evergreen Racing Surfaces Mdn | 1000m | 6:00pm

This is a low class maiden race, but of the exposed runners, Annagic shapes up best coming off a solid second placing on debut over 1100m. She’ll be fitter here and will make her own luck up near the lead again.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
7. Annagic $3.00
4. Kotinos $3.70
1. Bel Maiya $10.00
2. Henry George $14.00
6. Squadron Leader $14.00
11. Watch Me Blush $16.00
5. Quiet Order $21.00
3. Sergeant Sam $26.00
8. Fireband Ballet $101.00
9. Optic View $101.00
10. Softly $251.00
13. American Icon $251.00

Best Profile

R2 Meluca Group Mdn Plate | 1400m | 6:30pm

Dance For Me is first up here, but both career runs so far have returned ratings that are well clear of this opposition and her recent trial win at Cranbourne suggests she’s ready to return at that level or better. With Callow riding she deserves to be a dominant odds-on favourite.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Dance For Me $1.60
7. Plucky Rita $9.00
1. Canterbury Walk $14.00
5. Hoffs Off $14.00
8. Press Release $21.00
2. Custody $31.00
12. Unkapped $41.00
4. Gifted Gal $51.00
11. Queen Of Kandy $101.00
13. El Lil Hope $101.00
9. Hot As A Pistol $101.00

Best Profile

R3 Southern Cross Turf Group Mdn | 1200| 7:00pm

This is a very moderate race and Bartender Man brings clearly the best credentials after his third placing over this distance at Moonee Valley last Friday night. The quick back up and significant jockey change to N Callow look to make him very hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
1. Bartender Man $2.50
8. Delta Dor $6.50
12. Little Bita Sass $9.00
4. Mighty Meerkat $11.00
11. Bush Flight $18.00
2. Bee Cee Viking $21.00
9. Feed The Beast $21.00
10. Zartini $31.00
5. Nakitas Turf $41.00
14. Critical Rhythm $51.00
6. Pongo Pygmas $101.00
13. Zero Secrets $101.00

Best Profile

R4 Grand Prix Turf BM64 | 2000m | 7:30pm

This is a very competitive race with a number of genuine winning chances. Miss Dubois comes off an excellent last start win over this track and distance but does have a habit of getting a long way back. Beserk ran a competitive rating last start over 1600m and looks well suited stepping to 2000m here. His best figures can win this race comfortably. He’s A Genius was doing his best work over the final stages of 1850m at Kyneton and will appreciate getting out to 2000m.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
11. Miss Dubois $4.80
8. Bersek $5.50
7. Hes A Genius $5.50
3. Macs Mettle $8.50
5. Savvy Bandit $11.00
2. Alrouz $12.00
9. Deputy Dan $16.00
4. Onya Keithy $21.00
1. Aagas $31.00
13. Treichieln $101.00

Best Profile

R5 Evergreen Turf Mdn Plate | 1400m | 8:00pm

Spoken Word has led and just been run down in both career starts so far with ratings that are right up to winning this race. The change to Callow may just be enough to get him across the line here.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
6. Spoken Word $3.30
12. Little Miss Toffee $4.60
2. Astley $6.50
9. Zephora $8.00
8. Yasey Sun $11.00
10. Zoomesday $18.00
3. Gruosi $21.00
7. The Big Sur $21.00
1. Arno Bay $251.00

Best Profile

R6 Dav and Dave’s Turf BM64 | 1400m | 8:30pm

Jamaican Rain was an impressive winner on debut at Echuca, sitting wide but still drawing away to win by 3.3L with strength through the line to suggest she’ll appreciate the 1400m here. She should get an ideal run just off the speed and looks very hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Jamaican Rain $2.70
1. Antrim Belle $6.50
2. Comic Miss $8.00
6. Puzzled Princess $8.00
8. Fille Champagne $8.00
5. Mamzelle Tess $26.00
7. Monajet $26.00
4. Street Spun $51.00
9. Via Cavour $51.00
10. Taraji $251.00

Best Profile

R7 Gendore BM70 | 1200m | 9:00pm

Popovich returns from a longer than average break here but has trialled solidly and did show better than average talent in his two wins earlier this year. There is some decent opposition in this race, but he’s clearly the one to beat.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
3. Popovich $2.70
8. Sir Sagamore $6.50
6. Hes A Moral $7.00
9. Purrpussful $10.00
1. Ballinaclash $14.00
12. Lucky Prospector $16.00
2. Statton $21.00
5. Triple Snitz $41.00
7. Back To Life $51.00
11. Takeover $61.00
4. Sol Brillante $81.00

Best Profile

R8 Casey Cardina Foundation BM64 | 1600m | 9:30pm

Le Boss was very good first up at Cranbourne, racing back and wide but still making up good ground with fast sectionals in a race that was otherwise dominated by the two up on the lead. Going to 1600m here looks ideal.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
3. Le Boss $3.00
2. Lunar Spin $3.70
4. Our Kryptonite $9.00
8. Casinoholic $10.00
11. Lola Lu $14.00
12. Valentines Reward $18.00
1. Praesentia $61.00
6. Riddleofthesphinx $61.00
7. Time For Dancing $61.00
9. Outback Grande $61.00

Best Profile

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