The Betfair Insider Ratings: Moonee Valley, Friday November 11 2016

Posted: November 11, 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Moonee Valley.

Moonee Valley Markets R1 – 8

R1 Total Collision Repairs BM84 | 1000m | 6:30pm

Run Gypsy Run comes into this with two very solid ratings that would win most races at this class level. The challenge she faces is the C Maher first starter Dunamite who has been supported in early markets and is currently the short priced favourite. That certainly has to be respects so it’s impossible to have confidence.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
7. Dunamite $2.60
5. Run Gypsy Run $3.10
1. Magnetar $5.00
6. Rylea Lass $16.00
2. Bringaroo $21.00

Best Profile

R2 Total Collision Repairs BM84 | 1000m | 7:00pm

Another Diamond has been excellent in both runs this prep, winning easily in strong figures that put her clearly on top of this field. With the rail out 7m here she’ll be very hard to run down again.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Another Diamond $2.10
4. Lady Esprit $3.70
1. Estaminet $7.00
2. Aunty Mo $10.00
5. Vegas Beauty $51.00
6. Parcel $101.00

Best Profile

R3 Fisher & Paykel Mdn Plate | 1200| 7:30pm

This is a moderate Maiden class race with most either first up or coming off sub standard performances. Tales of War is first up with a number of ratings up to winning this and should race up near the lead. Russian Ruby’s form reads moderate, but she does have a few figures that are capable of going very close here and her ability to race forward is likely to be an advantage on the night.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. Tales Of War $3.20
8. Russian Ruby $5.00
9. Zaaresque $7.00
7. The Black Isle $9.00
4. Spender $17.00
5. Stradista $18.00
2. Dragonbite $21.00
3. Special Feeling $81.00

Best Profile

R4 Merlin Garage Door BM78 | 3000m | 8:00pm

Uncertainty about which of these runners will best handle the 3000m trip makes it difficult to be confident. Bullish Stock is still on the improve this preparation, has solid recent rating and did run a career peak over 2800m at Flemington last preparation. Something close to that is hard to beat here.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. Bullish Stock $3.00
2. Cinnamon Carter $3.30
3. Azurite $3.80
4. Barge And Charge $26.00
7. Dont Be Shy $26.00
8. Ask The Price $41.00
5. Sun Disk $81.00
9. Taken Time $101.00

Best Profile

R5 Inglis 55 Second Challenge BM90 | 955| 8:30pm

The outcome of this race is likely to come down to which horse gets the best trip and luck in running. Any of the top 3 chances here could win without surprising at all. Gun Case has the best figures but looks awkward on the map. Sunday Escape had excuses leading into the wind at G2 level last start but has prior ratings that are very competitive.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
3. Gun Case $3.30
6. Runson $3.80
7. Sunday Escape $5.00
1. It Is Written $10.00
2. Trevinder $16.00
5. Exclusive Lass $16.00
4. Sirbible $31.00

R6 Strathmore Community Bank BM78 | 1600m | 9:00pm

Black Sheep took a clear step forward in his ratings last start when he won over this track and distance and Weir runners have an excellent record at maintaining their form or even improving again. He looks very hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
4. Black Sheep $2.20
10. Lannister $7.00
1. Entre Nous $7.50
9. Turfane $10.00
5. Catch The Cat $11.00
3. Temps Voleur $31.00
2. Sir Laszlo $34.00
6. Life Of Reilly $41.00
7. Us The Lot $67.00

Best Profile

R7 Art Series Group BM78 | 1200m | 9:30pm

Chase The Horizon is flying this prep and brings a clear ratings edge into this race and justifiably looks an odds on chance here. The step to 1200m is no problem, Bayliss just needs to make sure he doesn’t give away too much start.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
4. Chase The Horizon $1.75
9. Bob Of The Head $8.50
6. Star Fortune $10.00
3. Cauthen $13.00
10. All About Rhythm $18.00
1. Decircles $26.00
2. Solsay $51.00
7. Gilchrist $51.00
5. Hinchley Wood $81.00
8. Proverb $151.00

Best Profile

R8 Happy 70th Errol Perera BM78 | 2040| 10:00pm

A tricky race with the two best credentialed runners likely to be back on the field on a track that could strongly favour on pacers. I’ll Fly Away is an improving Mare with recent ratings that are right up to winning this race and looks well suited up to 2040m. Mount Omei was solid at Flemington last start when unsuited and previous to that showed above average talent in Sydney when making up a stack of ground against a slow pace bias. She also looks suited up to this distance.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
4. Ill Fly Away $2.70
6. Mount Omei $3.20
1. Miss Wynette $5.00
3. Arianne $21.00
5. Real Jazz $26.00
9. Caves $41.00
7. Ocouney $67.00
8. Platypus Duck $81.00

Best Profile

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