The Betfair Insider Ratings: Moonee Valley, Friday 23rd September 2016

Posted: September 23, 2016

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Moonee Valley.

Moonee Valley Markets R1 – 8

R1 Ranvet BM78 | 2500m 6:30pm

A very moderate race to start the meeting. Firenze clearly has the best ratings leading into this race and should be suitable placed in the run. Just a slight query back to a firmer surface.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
4. Firenze $2.60
1. Azurite $4.60
3. Lord And Master $5.50
6. Margin Trader $8.00
7. Darlux $16.00
5. Spur On Gold $51.00
10. Black Soul $101.00
8. Toss And Tell $151.00

Best Profile

R2 John Paraskevas BM78 | 1600m | 7:00pm

Comment: Chivadahlii has been racing in good consistent form with ratings that are right up to winning this race and has a perfect opportunity to press forward on the map and settle up near the lead. On this track, that in running advantage could be a decisive factor over the current favourite Grand Dreamer.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Chivadahlii $3.60
4. Grand Dreamer $4.20
5. Walloon Region $10.00
10. Strindberg $12.00
1. Archean $13.00
6. Extra Choice $13.00
7. Amber Cavalier $15.00
2. Sly Romance $51.00
8. Eye The World $51.00

Best Profile

R3 Grosvenor Engineering Grp BM 84 | 1600m | 7:30pm

Comment: Daniela Rosa was just even last start, but back up to a mile here with the prospect of sitting handy to the pace she can bounce back to prior ratings which are right up to winning this race. I much prefer her over the more favourite Egypt and Dulverton who are likely to be well back in the field. That typically proves to be a disadvantage when the rail is out 5m at this track.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
2. Daniela Rosa $4.20
4. Egypt $5.50
3. Dulverton $6.00
9. My Obsession $13.00
10. Star Circle $13.00
7. Savannah Moon $16.00
8. Champagne Cocktail $16.00
6. Golden Century $21.00
12. Elegantly Wasted $28.00
5. To Be Honest $31.00
11. Doncella $31.00

Best Profile

R4 Simpson Construction BM 64 | 1200m | 8:00pm 

The favourite Alaskan Sun showed talent in her debut run back in February, but faces a risk of settling in an awkward spot here and is resuming after a long spell. She’s the best winning chance, but no value in current markets. If there is a desire to bet, then better value exists with Theodolite who was an impressive Maiden winner last start and Ballina class who has early speed, the ratings to be very competitive and looks suited back to 1200m.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
12. Alaskan Sun $4.40
11. Theodolite $5.00
1. Ballinaclash $10.00
6. Dexterous $13.00
9. Make Mine Brandy $13.00
13. Zupa Hero $14.00
5. Aurelius Hero $17.00
8. Sterno $21.00
10. Vainrite $21.00
4. Vicious $26.00
2. Bee Jay Zed $31.00
7. Unruly Student $41.00

Best Profile

R5 Inglis 55 Second Challenge HT BM78 | 955| 8:30pm

These 955m races can be tricky and there’s a stack of queries about all of the top chances in the market here. One at big odds, Rocket Tommy ($31) appeals as longshot value. He’s won four straight in the bush over 1000m and has good early speed to be right up on the lead here. If the track is favouring on pacers then he can give a good sight.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
3. Runson $5.50
1. Nordic Empire $6.50
8. Ability $7.00
11. Lasy Esprit $7.00
2. Villopoto $13.00
7. Rocket Tommy $14.00
6. Rock N Gold $17.00
4. Money Chaser $21.00
9. Marcado $21.00
12. Piccolo Miss $21.00
10. Jersey Whistler $41.00

Best Profile

R6 1Print Scarborough Stakes | 1200m | 9:00pm

Merriest is a talented filly and bounced back to form last start with a good win at this track and distance. That gives her the best figure leading into this race and although drawn awkwardly; the market is close to right here but we feel the value lies with My Country who profiles perfectly second up from a good barrier and will improve to a rating that is up to the winning mark for this race.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
4. My Country $3.80
3. Merriest $4.20
2. Prompt Response $7.50
10. Athena Lass $10.00
13. In Comptempt $14.00
11. Hear The Chant $15.00
1. Happy Event $34.00
8. Gretna $34.00
5. Tris $41.00
6. Selenia $51.00
9. Want To Rock $51.00
12. Stop Making Sense $61.00

Best Profile

R7 Strathmore Flowers BM64 | 2040| 9:30pm

A very even race with a large number of possible winners. Crackajack appeals as some value at double figure odds. His last start second at Sandown returned a rating up to the winning mark with this, he can press forward from a wide draw and looks suited back to a firmer surface.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
7. Thunder Connection $7.00
5. Palmera Lad $7.50
6. Ramsden Street $8.00
12. Resort $8.00
10. Crackajack $8.50
4. Cool $9.00
11. Knight Star $9.00
8. Deckhand $18.00
1. Devout Diamond $21.00
2. Fine Embers $41.00
14. The Tinker $81.00
3. Siddles Birthday $101.00

Best Profile

R8 William Hill BM70 | 1200m | 10:00pm

A very competitive race to finish the card. Lake Como has been very consistent in his ratings this preparation and only need to maintain that level of form to be right in the finish here. Zambezi Diamond is a longshot with some claims off the back of two wins at the Provincials and ratings that can be competitive in this.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
3. Lake Como $6.00
7. Swiss Kiss $7.00
14. Champagne Ready $7.00
2. Modesty $8.00
9. Maternal $9.00
4. Zambezi Diamond $10.00
8. Divine Chills $16.00
11. Shes On Target $17.00
12. Just Stellar $31.00
16. Try Pink $34.00
13. Mamzella Tess $41.00
15. Shes Just Lika $201.00

Best Profile

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