The Betfair Insider Ratings: Flemington, Tuesday 1st November 2016

Posted: November 1, 2016 at 9:08 am

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Flemington.

Flemington Markets R1 – 10

R1 Ottawa Stakes | 1000m | 10:40am

Madeenaty ran sizzling figures winning on debut up the Flemington straight and stamped herself as a potential top class 2YO. Unless there’s one right out of the box here, she only has to run somewhere that debut win to comfortably beat these.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
1. Madeenaty $1.60
3. Lucky Louie $18.00
18. Invincible Star $18.00
14. Straviera $21.00
7. Arctic Angel $31.00
8. Balle Dor $41.00
10. Carusmatic 651.00
11. Hard Faith $61.00
12. Purely Royal $61.00
5. Margot $81.00
13. Seduce Me Now $81.00
15. Super Snob $101.00
17. She Keeps Nosecret $101.00
6. New Blessing $301.00

Best Profile

R2 TAB.com.au Trophy | 1700m | 11:20am

Sort After brings solid ratings from Sydney and looks to get a much softer speed up front than she has had in recent start. That advantage could be a key. Model Dragon is a promising horse with 3 wins from 3 starts and looks ideally suited stepping up to 1700m.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
8. Sort After $3.60
11. Model Dragon $4.00
6. Amarela $10.00
7. Egypt $10.00
3. Every Faith $11.00
2. Metaphorical $13.00
1. Jessy Belle $15.00
9. Champagne Cocktail $31.00
10. Lilly Dazzler $81.00
14. Sleepless Nights $101.00

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R3 Prince of Penzance Plate | 2800| 12:00pm

This is a very competitive race with a stack of chances. Morning Mix has put two good ratings down this preparation and is still a lightly raced import on the way up. He probably has more scope to improve than the others here.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
11. Morning Mix $5.00
3. Murphys Delight $7.50
9. Firenze $9.00
18. Super Haze $10.00
7. Danjeu $12.00
16. Four Carat $12.00
1. Kinema $13.00
14. All I Survey $15.00
8. Pinstripe Lane $26.00
22. Dreaded $31.00
10. Flying Casino $34.00
2. Swacadelic $51.00
4. Sonntag $81.00
17. Dane Hussler $81.00
5. Crafty Cruiser $151.00
20. Barwon $501.00

Best Profile

R4 Lavazza Prontissimo BM 90 | 1400m | 12:40pm

Demonstrate has been impressive winning his last two and brings a solid edge in recent rating. There looks to be a clear lack of speed in this race and his ability to race forward looks a key advantage. He’s no certainty, but is clearly the one to beat.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
3. Demonstrate $2.00
8. Vostok $7.00
4. Sovereign Nation $7.50
2. Sebring Sun $11.00
11. Turfane $17.00
7. Magic Boy $31.00
12. Castelo $41.00
14. Give Us A Go $41.00
13. Typhhon Witness $151.00

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R5 Schweppes #FlemingtonFling Stakes | 1000m | 1:20pm

Speedeor comes off a good rating win first up at Cranbourne and being from the Weir stable there is no doubt he has scope to improve further. Just a slight query if they come to the outside of the straight again and whether he can find the right position from barrier 4.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
10. Speedeor $4.80
12. Amanaat $8.50
3. Biased Witness $10.00
13. Manuel $10.00
17. Dream First $10.00
4. Ashlor $11.00
2. Blue Tycoon $14.00
7. Falcool $21.00
15. Neapolitan $21.00
14. Kabrocco $31.00
5. Preemptive $51.00
16. Rebel Miss $51.00
6. Liberty Song $61.00
9. Invincible Al $101.00
11. Hellbound $101.00
8. Terindah $201.00

Best Profile

R6 Lexus Hybrid Plate | 1400m | 2:00pm

This is very competitive race with plenty of chances. Sweet Sherry has been flying this preparation with good overall ratings and some strong sustained sectional figures. She looks well suited up to 1400m here. Samara Dancer hasn’t had much luck in her last two runs but certainly has the talent to win this and looks to have a race set up which could see her show sudden improvement.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
3. Sweet Sherry $5.00
17. Sylpheed $6.00
15. Jennifer Lynn $10.00
1. Samara Dancer $11.00
12. Invinceibella $11.00
9. Prompt Response $16.00
8. Faraway Town $17.00
6. My Country $21.00
11. Skylight Glow $21.00
4. Flying Jess $26.00
10. Quick Feet $26.00
13. Jeanneau $31.00
7. Merriest $41.00
16. Summer Glen $81.00
5. Zamzam $201.00
18. Brulee $201.00

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R7 Emirates Melbourne Cup | 3200m | 3:00pm

Oceanographer produced a top class performance to win the Lexus on Saturday with stunning sectional times. There’s big query about 3 runs in a short space which makes him a ‘hold’ at the current market price. Almandin has flown under the radar but brings ratings that make him very competitive at the weights and team Williams will have him ready to peak on the day. Respecting Heartbreak City & Wicklow Brave who both bring strong ratings from Europe.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
6. Hartnell $7.00
20. Oceanographer $9.50
17. Almandin $10.00
13. Heartbreak City $11.00
12. Jameka $13.00
4. Bondi Beach $13.00
8. Wicklow Brave $15.00
21. Secret Number $21.00
5. Exospheric $21.00
1. Big Orange $26.00
23. Qewy $31.00
3. Curren Mirotic $34.00
11. Grand Marshal $41.00
19. Grey Lion $41.00
9. Almoonqith $51.00
2. Our Ivanhowe $51.00
16. Beautiful Romance $67.00
15. Excess Knowledge $126.00
7. Who Shot Thebarman $151.00
14. Sir John Hawkwood $151.00
18. Assign $151.00
22. Pentathlon $501.00
24. Rose Of Virginia #####

Best Profile

R8 James Boag’s Premium Stakes | 1800m | 9:30pm

Fabrizio carries the best ratings into this race and his strong front running style will have the pressure on these chasers a fair way out. Lidari found his form last start when second to The United States at Moonee Valley and brings a rating that gives him a competitive chance at good odds.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
14. Fabrizio $2.30
2. Lidari $8.00
17. Plot The Course $12.00
4. Turnitaround $17.00
1. Jacquinot Bay $18.00
13. Tarquin $21.00
9. Hi World $26.00
10. Tashbeeh $31.00
11. Tucanchoo $34.00
7. Magnapal $41.00
15. First Course $41.00
5. Closing Bell $51.00
18. Muraqaba $51.00
20. Curren Glass Jaw $126.00
8. Desert Jeuney $251.00
3. Auvray $401.00

Best Profile

R9 MSS Security Stakes | 1200m | 4:40pm

This is a super competitive chance with a large number of potential winners. I’m happy to side with Sir Bacchus and Ruettiger who have continue to improve in ratings. Both look well suited to run up to their best despite being quite deep in their preparation.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
11. Sir Bacchus $6.50
13. Ravi $10.00
7. Supreme Effort $8.50
9. Ruettiger $7.50
1. Faatinah $11.00
6. Secret Agenda $14.00
2. Burning Front $21.00
3. Tried and Tired $21.00
19. Lord Von Costa $21.00
5. Miss Promiscuity $31.00
16. Flippant $31.00
15. Orujo $34.00
14. Well Srung $41.00
12. Hijack Hussy $51.00
18. Lord Barrington $51.00
8. Hazzabeel $61.00
10. Play Master $61.00
17. Usain Dane $81.00

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R10 Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes | 1400m | 5:15pm

Silent Sedition brings the best recent rating in this field courtesy of her first up second placing to Sheidel, which has been confirmed as a strong reference after that mare won on Derby Day. If Egyptian Symbol can improve up to 1400m she appeals as the value bet against the favourite. Shillelagh was a total forgive run last start when knocked over in the straight, but her prior win was very strong and suggests she’s capable of measuring right up to this race.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
3. Silent Sedition $4.00
15. Shillelagh $7.50
13. Denpurr $13.00
2. Egyptian Symbol $5.00
12. A Lotta Love $13.00
6. Artistry $17.00
7. Rockolicious $27.00
8. Cavaloce $21.00
10. Kimberly Star $13.00
1. Slightly Sweet $41.00
4. Onemorezeta $41.00
5. Vibrant Rouge $41.00
9. Just A Blur $41.00
14. Countess Marinov $81.00
11. Khutulun $151.00
17. Swiss Kiss $61.00

Best Profile

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