The Betfair Insider Ratings: Darwin, Monday 1st August 2016

Posted: August 1, 2016 at 11:42 am

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Darwin.

Darwin Markets R1 – 9

R1 Fulton Logan HCP | 1100m | 12:55pm

The Hummel comes off a solid second to Dancing Poetess on Saturday in a race that stacked up well on time & sectional figures. Global Icon has won two straight and will be hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
2. The Hummel $2.70
1. Global Icon $3.40
4. Spoilspot $4.20
6. Street Royale $21.00
3. Group Hug $26.00
7. Poets Choice $51.00

Best Profile

R2 Wolf Blass Lightning Plate | 1000m | 1:35pm

Moot is flying with two big wins from his last three starts and a narrow defeat to the in-form Belle Ez, whom he gave 5kg in weight. Both the quality and consistency of his ratings make him a dominant top chance in this race. Kings Pardon was just fair behind Handsome Tycoon last start but two prior runs suggest he’s the main threat to Moot.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
7. Moot $2.10
2. Kings Pardon $3.50
5. Girls Away $8.00
1. Action Again $26.00
6. King Dejour $26.00
4. Canali $34.00
3. African Pulse $67.00

Best Profile

R3 Schweppes HCP | 1200m | 2:10pm

This looks a two horse race between Cadman and Belle Ez. Cadman gets the nod on the back of his enormous last start win where he travelled wide without cover the entire trip off a genuine pace and was still able to run on and win in good overall time. The quick back up appeals.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
1. Cadman $2.20
8. Belle Ez $3.00
2. Hes Commanding $12.00
4. Ticket To Toorak $18.00
5. Stereosonic $26.00
3. Set For A Bundle $31.00

Best Profile

R4 Mantra Darwin HCP | 1100m | 2:45pm

Roughly comes off a terrific win on Saturday where she showed good early speed to lead and then keep running to win easily in good overall time, showing good strength through the line. She’s drawn awkwardly, but the market will offer the right price for that risk. The quick back up and a similar aggressive ride appeals.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
7. Roughly $3.80
8. Tigra $5.50
1. Swingitlikesayers $6.00
4. Shining Mane $8.00
5. Macon County $12.00
3. Hot Spin $16.00
9. Sunset Strip $26.00
2. Tibet $34.00
11. Sparkling Vixen $41.00
6. Three Gorges $51.00
10. Another Mans Gain $101.00
12. Shes Nice $101.00

Best Profile

R5 Domain BM69 | 1300m | 3:20pm

Senor Juez is racing in great form this preparation with two quality ratings from his last two starts that are very hard to beat here. Le Commandant comes off a good last start win, but shock shod shoes first time are some concern.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
6. Senor Juez $2.20
1. Le Commandant $3.60
7. Dancing Poetess $12.00
3. Lago Girl $16.00
5. Gallant Express $18.00
4. Neat Feat $26.00
2. Gold Bundle $101.00
9. Bestihaveeverhad $201.00
8. De Starsandcirles $301.00
10. Arrayanes $501.00

Best Profile

R6 Ladbrokes HCP | 1300m | 3:55pm

A very open race. The top 3 chances all come off last start wins with similar quality ratings that look to set the winning standard here. They’re difficult to split with confidence.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
8. Harrebs Time $4.40
7. Lead Husson $4.80
1. Mavericks $5.50
3. Heirdom $11.00
4. Kilim $14.00
13. Zocalos $15.00
5. Bedisguised $21.00
2. Soldiers Secret $26.00
11. I Wrote The Book $34.00
6. Bomber Brown $51.00
10. Dance The Beat $61.00
12. Miss Insomnia $201.00

Best Profile



R7 Designer Kitchens BM70 | 1600m | 4:35pm

Bel Sir was a close second to Trancing over this track and distance last start with good quality rating right up to the winning mark than this. That performance represents the best recent form in this race and that gives him a slight edge over the others who have the winning quality, but need to improve on their last start effort.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
4. Bel Sir $5.50
5. More Than Frank $6.50
1. Adjuster $6.50
2. Abu Dhabi $6.50
7. Terio Tool $6.50
3. Pretty Blonde $14.00
8. Pot Black $21.00
9. Air Striker $34.00
14. Beldan $34.00
15. Ya Crackin Jokes $201.00

Best Profile

 

R8 GBI Racing HCP | 1900m | 5:15pm

Moonlight Hussler has been solid in his last two over 1600m at this track with ratings that are right up to the winning standard in this race. Of most appeal is that his two peak ratings have come over 1900m and 2200m in Victoria, so there’s every prospect that he could improve further with the step up in distance here.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
9. Moonlight Hussler $4.60
2. Zoom Lad $5.00
6. Hammered Art $6.00
7. Quantum Dot $8.00
3. Aldophin $9.00
5. Battle Of Hastings $21.00
8. Jigalong $26.00
1. Wicked Tycoon $31.00
12. The Wild Side $34.00
11. Newsworthy $61.00
10. Idatrice $101.00
4. Sakhero $151.00

Best Profile

R9 Carlton Mid Darwin Cup | 2000m | 5:55pm

A very competitive and even cup, any of the top 6 could win without surprising. Saturday Sorcerer and Royal Request ran 1 – 2 over 1900m last start with good quality overall time and decent enough late sectionals. With better than average speed expected here, that lead up beyond a mile could prove important. A leaning to Saturday Sorcerer as the top pick who comes into this race with a sense of timing third up and a great jockey change to D Yendall.

It’s hard to pot a horse that has won eight straight, but the 2000m figures out of Finke’s last start win lacked substance and perhaps highlight his vulnerability at this trip, especially against seasoned middle distance types in a race with better than average pace.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
7. Saturday Sorcerer $4.40
6. Royal Request $5.50
1. Lightinthenite $6.00
5. Finke $8.50
3. Whistle Stop $9.50
4. Our Valdivia $10.00
9. Moon Devil $18.00
8. Big Man $34.00
12. Spartan Eagle $51.00
11. Orion $201.00
13. Canny Ballad $201.00

Best Profile