The Betfair Insider Ratings: Canterbury, Friday November 11 2016

Posted: November 11, 2016

Betfair Insider

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Canterbury.

Canterbury Markets R1 – 8

R1 Ranvet’s Neutrolene (BM69) | 11000m | 6:15pm

French Blue is first up after just one start in March 2016 where he was an easy winner at Wyong over 1000m, starting odds on. That rating is right in the winning zone here and he obviously has plenty of upside. Two recent trials look to have him tuned right up for this

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
4. French Blue $2.50
2. Diplomacia $4.40
3. Gibraltar Girl $4.40
5. Tornadic $13.00
7. Difficult To Get $13.00

Best Profile

R2 Schweppes Mdn Plate | 1900m | 6.45pm

Betcha Thinking was a total forgive run last start when held up and only got clear at the 100m mark. His overall rating profile suggests that he’s the best horse in this race and a step up to 1900m looks ideal.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
1. Betcha Thinking $2.50
8. Hold All Tickets $3.80
3. Lucky Tiger $14.00
4. Shaolin Kungfu $16.00
9. Royal Stamp $18.00
2. Delacroix $21.00
10. Typhoon Tess $21.00
5. Vindex $26.00
6. Bliss Point $51.00
7. Didnt Even Kiss Me $51.00

Best Profile

R3 Tab Rewards (Bm72) | 1900| 7:15pm

Estikhraaj comes off a very solid close second over this track and distance last start with a rating that is right up to winning this race. He appeals as nice value in the current market. The Bull is currently a dominant favourite and will be hard to beat, but hard to find any shorter than the assessed price.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
3. The Bull $3.50
8. Estikhraaj $4.00
5. El Campeador $8.00
4. Dylans Romance $11.00
2. Shalmaneser $12.00
6. No Return $14.00
9. Shanakee $18.00
7. Prince Morpheus $21.00
1. Collar $151.00

Best Profile

R4 #Theraces (BM72) | 1100m | 7:45pm

Secret Trail is first up here but that’s where the stable excels and he ran some slick figures in his recent trial. He looks set to return right up to his best figures which are certainly good enough to win this race.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
1. Secret Trail $4.00
4. Ciarlet $4.50
6. Bonny Oreilly $5.00
2. Donelle $9.00
3. Seeking Asylum $12.00
5. Navua Mist $16.00
9. Eccellere $16.00
8. Andsoitiswritten $101.00
10. Bay Truffle $101.00

Best Profile

R5 Tab.com.au (BM72) | 1100m | 8:15pm

Sugar Bay Leonard comes off an impressive last start win over this track and distance where he was wide with no cover, over-raced and was still good enough to run away from his opposition. With further scope to improve he looks very hard to beat in this.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
6. Sugar Bay Leonard $3.00
4. Firsthand $5.50
3. Echo Prince $8.00
7. Pale Ale $9.00
5. Prince Mayted $15.00
8. Worldly Impact $18.00
9. Golden Shoes $20.00
2. Petrossian $21.00
10. Vaniloquio $25.00
1. Grand Condor $201.00

Best Profile

R6 McGrath Estate Agents (BM72) | 1250m | 8:45pm

Satya is a long way down in class on her last two runs behind First Sea and Sort After and looks suited by a drop back to 1250m.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
6. Satya $3.20
4. Trois Choix $3.90
4. Red Extension $8.00
5. Hes A Given $11.00
9. Bogie $16.00
13. Know How $21.00
15. Run Louie Run $21.00
2. Aghamore $51.00
8. Im Rockin $51.00
12. Lolly Shoppe $51.00

Best Profile

R7 Tooheys New Evening Star (BM75) | 1250| 9:15pm

Hanwritten has been very consistent in recent runs, his last two in Brisbane returned ratings that make him the genuine top chance in this race. His ‘on lead’ style looks well suited to Canterbury and if he can established the lead early without working too hard, he could hit a new peak and prove extremely hard to beat.

Race Confidence: Average

Runner Name Rating
4. Hanwritten $3.60
8. Distraught $7.00
1. Ziggy Willie $7.50
5. Satirical Magic $11.00
3. Embley $14.00
10. Bearskin $15.00
7. Francesco $15.00
6. Can I Have $16.00
13. Storm Siren $26.00
12. Crossroad $31.00
2. Chrysolaus $51.00
14. Im Rockin $101.00

Best Profile

R8 Hyland Race Colours (BM67) | 1550| 9:45pm

Liapari did a good job at his first Australia start to overcome a slow start and other issues to finish strongly for second place. He looks a sharp improver here, ideally suited by the step up to 1550m.

Race Confidence: Good

Runner Name Rating
2. Liapari $2.50
5. Assertin Mischief $4.60
4. Lucky Fish $9.00
6. Rogue Missile $12.00
9. Hit The Floor $13.00
11. Fairyland $19.00
12. Lucky Ima Cugat $31.00
1. Alfred The Great $41.00
3. Fly Till Dawn $151.00
7. Uncle Sugar $151.00

Best Profile

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