The Betfair Insider Harness Ratings: Bendigo, Thursday October 13 2016

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Bendigo.

Bendigo Markets R1 – 7

R1 Aldebaran Park Trot | 1650m 6:30pm

The early lead is difficult to determine with numbers 1,2 and 3 all being inexperienced runners having had one start each. An extremely hard race. Plumbers Pettycash has always had plenty of ability, but has more often than not beaten herself with errors. Also has a rotten draw, but if she does it all right she is hard to beat at this level. Tiber has had five starts for three placings, and looks very honest and strong. Truscott Sun is better when she can race near the lead, but in this grade can still win from the back. Plenty of others with some hope so tread carefully.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
8. Plumbers Pettycash $3.60
7. Tiber $5.00
11. Truscott Sun $5.80
6. Scottish Sardius $10.00
9. Starlight Storm $11.00
10. The Blue Valliant $12.00
5. Rebel Starlight $16.00
2. Rhyme Nor Rhythm $150.00
1. Uncle Al $200.00
3. Kilkee $200.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Plumbers Pettycash

R2 Northern Rivers Equine Pace | 1650m | 7:00pm

Zuko Dream will be looking to punch up and hold out Major Lloyd at the start, this will be critical to the race. Art Prevails is a bit one paced but has been racing strongly in better grade than this, and although he doesn’t win often (won 4 from 117 starts), he can lob a handy trail and may be too strong at the finish for these. Zuko Dream is not going that well but grows a leg when leading and is right in this if he can hold the lead. The other chances are Illawong Fantasia who is limited but should get a nice run, and Major Lloyd, whose chances may revolve around finding the pegs early.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
4. Art Prevails $2.70
1. Zuko Dream $2.80
3. Illawong Fantasia $9.20
2. Major Lloyd $9.40
6. Miss Condoleezza $40.00
7. Gallery Girl $50.00
5. Tobias James $100.00
8. Major Change $300.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Art Prevails

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Zuko Dream

R3 Hygain Trotters Handicap | 2150m | 7:31pm

A stand start with only two horses off the front handicap, Tella Tall Tale will likely step to the early lead and then have options. Gidah is an enigma, but is grades above these when on song. If he steps cleanly he could well head around the field to lead, where he goes best. Note likely early leader is the stablemate of Gidah. Stuey D was enormous in his first run in Victoria after an early gallop, before being solid in a good race last time. His stand start record in NZ was indifferent so that is a query. If these two are not at their best any other horse is a possible winner with luck.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
7. Gidah $2.10
4. Stuey D $3.50
2. Brochel Bow $15.00
3. Lofty Success $15.00
5. Dabbsey $18.00
1. Tella Tall Tale $21.00
4. Love Dreaming $34.00
6. Quest Front $50.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Stuey D

R4 Bertocchi Pace | 1650m | 8:01pm

Ymbro Toto comes out of the gate ok and will be looking to hold a spot. Dougs Courage has good gate speed and would be advantaged by getting across that horse at the start. Ultimately, the leader might be Uroc Mman would is always aggressively driven. Animated is absolutely flying, and should trail through to a midfield position early and be clearly the horse to beat. Uroc Mman is a different horse when he leads and if he finds that position as anticipated he is the main danger. Dougs Courage and Times A Bonus both have sharp sprints and although they need everything to pan out to win, with the right luck are knockout hopes.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
9. Animated $1.60
4. Uroc Mman $7.50
2. Dougs Courage $15.00
10. Times A Bonus $18.00
1. Ymbro Toto $19.00
3. Daylight Dan $26.00
8. Indi Bapu $50.00
6. Morior Invictus $200.00
5. Springfield Tattoo $500.00
7. Grins Rendition $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Animated

R5 Dunlop & Pitson Earthmoving Pace | 2150m | 8:31pm

Cardon Merger has plenty of gate speed, and they generally look to hand the lead up over this longer distance. Master Mach Manus, Manoeuver Man and With Gusto can all press forward looking for that spot. Sticking with With Gusto as top pick with Alford aboard. He has been racing in great form when leading recently, and even though there is no guarantee of him finding that spot again, he is still likely to be right in the finish. Cardon Merger rarely wins these days but races well at this track and gets the type of run he needs. Will be highly competitive from there. Kenny Trickem is a sit sprinter who needs the right cart up to win but can sprint very fast when that run presents. Master Mach Manus and Manoeuver Man are both some chance if they could lead.

Race Confidence: Low

Runner Name Rating
4. With Gusto $2.60
1. Cardon Marger $4.70
7. Kenny Trickem $7.00
2. Master Mach Manus $12.00
3. Manoeuver Man $13.00
8. Hosier Lane $17.00
9. Rory Mach $34.00
5. Grinvil $100.00
6. Endorsement $400.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) With Gusto

R6 JL King Pace (2nd Heat) | 2150m | 9:02pm

Fleshing should hold the lead here as she did when winning two starts back. Nickys Idol does not possess much early speed but will be desperate to hold leaders back, and should be able to do so. From that position, Nickys Idol should be too good for these. Fleshing is the danger due to the perfect draw, prepared to overlook last run when she worked hard. Courtney John will be saved for one sprint and needs to get a trail into the race but sprints quickly enough to be a threat. Bettes Rose next best.

Race Confidence: High

Runner Name Rating
8. Nickys Idol $1.60
1. Fleshing $8.40
7. Courtney John $8.80
2. Bettes Rose $13.00
3. Big Bang Leonard $28.00
9. Koten Blosem Lombo $40.00
5. Playing The Ace $400.00
4. In A Rose Tattoo $500.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Nickys Idol

R7 Race Services Pace | 1650m | 9:32pm

Precious Desire is yet to win in five starts but has two recent seconds, and is likely to find the lead here over a mile and be the one to beat. Hez Razor Sharp has a very awkward draw, and may well stick to the inside and rely on luck, but if it comes would be very hard to hold out. Sun Of Sonoko is a high quality trotter who is sharper than most of these pacers. Can win but would definitely be better off over longer than a mile. Very minor chances to Joey Tee and Pop The Cork.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner Name Rating
3. Precious Desire $2.30
8. Hez Razor Sharp $3.30
9. Sun Of Sonoko $8.60
6. Joey Tee $16.00
1. Pop The Cork $17.00
4. Majors Fortune $60.00
7. Gunbalunya $200.00
2. Soho Machbeth $500.00
5. Juza $500.00

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Pop The Cork