The Betfair Insider Harness: Mildura, Thursday 29th December 2016

Posted: December 29, 2016 at 11:15 am

Race comments, confidence and ratings across the entire card at Mildura.

Mildura Markets R1 – 7

R1 – DNR Logistics Pace MS | 1790m | 6:18pm

Aintnooilpainting can lead here from the inside. Just Saying and Waratah Beach will both have a dig early so there could be early speed on. New Romantics should get the good run on the fence.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner NameRated Price
4. Waratah Beach$3.55
2. Aintnooilpainting$4.50
6. Crafty Old Fox$5.40
3. Just Saying$7.60
9. Crowbar Johnson$13.50
8. Greenmeansgo$28.00
7. New Romantics$34.00
10. Nevada Rocket$50.00
11. Elfonzo$110.00

 

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (PLACE) Aintnooilpainting 

R2 Park Douglas Printing 3yo & Older Pace MS | 2190m 6:36pm

Hionjolt should be able to hold out Magic Mach and Brohart here. Jedi Jett gets a gun run but it’s not good enough. Rocknroll Eyes must make a midrace move or be caught having to go late.

Race Confidence: High

Runner NameRated Price
9. Rocknroll Eyes$1.82
1. Hionjolt$5.30
4. Brohart$8.80
2. Magic Mach$22.00
5. Cheyenne Autumn$35.00
8. Vinnies Mystery$45.00
6. Ronzel Jack$50.00
3. Our Grand Torino$60.00
7. Jedi Jett$160.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Rocknroll Eyes

R3 Mildura Working Man’s Club Pace MS | 1790| 7:03pm

Primo Tapia can show good gate speed as can Youvegotobelieveit – will be a good run to the 1st turn. The class horses (Tezz Khora and Beachstar) will have their own tactical battle to see who goes 1st and who gets cover.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner NameRated Price
6. Beachstar$2.30
5. Tezz Khora$3.80
4. Flagbearer$6.10
1. Youvegotobelieveit$18.00
2. Primo Tapia$22.00
3. Daylight Dan$38.00

 

Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) Flagbearer

R4 Discounts Carpets Pace (1st Heat) MS | 1790| 7:30pm

Blitzin Annie has the speed to hold up here. Reasonstoremember can show pace but will probably get stuck in the chair. Leonardos Son gets the suck run behind the leader. Doubledipofheaven should get a nice run through the field.

Race Confidence: High

Runner NameRated Price
8. Doubledipofheaven$2.12
2. Sebastiens Lad$6.20
1. Blitzin Annie$8.80
7. Leonardos Son$14.50
4. Reasonstoremember$18.50
3. Kearney Lane$22.00
5. Noble Julius$24.00
9. Diamonds For Alady$75.00
10. Did It Alone$95.00
6. Shaka The Baker$160.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Doubledipofheaven

R5 Happy New Year Pace (2nd Heat) MS | 1790m | 8:03pm

Kayjay Mac should be able to lead here. Graffiti Lombo with the aggressive Caldow on will look to go forward thus giving a cushy run to Horizon Miss (but has not much chance). King Of Dreams must extricate off the fence while the other fancy Kamwood Archie has drawn outside 2nd row. Interesting betting race.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner NameRated Price
10. Kamwood Archie$3.10
2. Kayjay Mac$3.70
7. King Of Dreams$4.30
6. Graffiti Lombo$17.50
9. Mixedwithajasper$29.00
3. Wrinkle Knutt$38.00
4. Ruthless Jack$48.00
1. Horizon Miss$60.00
8. Wicked Isle$100.00


Betting Strategy

Laying on Betfair LAY (WIN) King Of Dreams

R6 WIN TV Pace MS  | 2190m | 8:33pm

Very good early speed here – Dark Side, Taj Bromac and Finedropofred will all be burning to the 1st turn. Yarrara Ben is probably the best horse here and should get room to get off the pegs with the early burn.

Race Confidence: Medium

Runner NameRated Price
7. Yarrara Ben$2.62
5. Finedropofred$3.95
3. Dark Side$5.50
1. One Golden Day$7.80
4. Taj Bromac$14.00
8. Myboy Nikola$17.50
2. Anarion$60.00
6. Montana Madge$200.00

Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Yarrara Ben

R7 We Now Have Eftpos Everywhere Pace MS | 1790m | 9:03pm

Dirty Diesel has good gate speed – First time at the track but Caldow on should ensure it leads. Santanna Jewel gets the perfect sit and looks the danger

Race Confidence: High

Runner NameRated Price
1. Dirty Diesel$3.10
7. Santanna Jewel$4.70
6. Fineandsunny$5.10
3. Artarama$9.80
4. Elslatsy$14.00
2. Gnarly$16.00
5. Angrist$55.00


Betting Strategy

Back on Betfair BACK (WIN) Dirty Diesel

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